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3 Derby Cir
F Composite 32.58
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Cash flow +4.1/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$419,000

3 Derby Cir · Nashua, NH 03062
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 968 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1960 0.27 ac lot $433/sqft · 33% above area Est $533k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great starter home in a well established neighborhood. This three bedroom one bath ranch sits on a corner lot and has so much potential! Hardwood floors adorn the bedrooms, living room and hallway. The roof is only 4 years old. Attached two car garage and great porch off the back is perfect for outdoor dining or just relaxing. Partially finished basement is a fun 'throwback' and offers more space for gatherings. Sellers have never lived at the property and it is being sold "as-is". Easy to show and quick closing possible.

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp service with circuit breakers; Cable available; Internet availability unknown
  • Home design: Ranch-style home; Existing construction
  • Construction: Built in 1960; Wood frame construction; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved driveway; White exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen/Dining area on the main level (approx. 9.4x19.1); Electric cooktop; Wall oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (sizes approx. 9.6x10.4; 9.2x11.6; 11.7x13.8)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level (approx. 6.1x6.9)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement with an interior entrance; 6 total rooms; Recreation room in the basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $419k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (48.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (43.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $214k (48.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in NH, #983 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+.
  • Nashua School District (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #77 of 98 in NH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 981 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (381 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $214,203 (48.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.57%
Cap rate
2.97%
Cash-on-cash
-11.86%
DSCR
0.47
GRM
14.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$533,065
List price
$419,000
Delta
-21.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
46 Northeastern Blvd 0.31mi 3/1.0 960 (-1%) 14mo $468,000 $488 73
28 Timberline Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 936 (-3%) 8mo $420,000 $449 58
35 Victor Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+4%) 16mo $450,000 $446 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.53% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-38.6%
Equity multiple
-0.22×
Total profit
$-142,729
Equity at exit
$62,474
10-year hold
IRR
-62.1%
Equity multiple
-0.90×
Total profit
$-223,412
Equity at exit
$36,227

Cash invested: $117,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03062

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
14.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,371 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,197
Tax from tax record
$661 /mo · $7,930/yr
Insurance
$175
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$498
Net cashflow
$-1,159

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,839
Max offer price $214,203
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$104,750
Closing costs
$12,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
53 Congress St Nashua, NH 2.0 1.0 743 $2,430 $3.27 12d 1 0.99mi
16 Linwood St Apt A Nashua, NH 2.0 1.0 588 $1,795 $3.05 21d 1 1.28mi
5 Avery LN Unit 201 Nashua, NH 2.0 1.0 838 $1,993 $2.38 13d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 537-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $419,000 Active 537-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,930 · $661/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,532 · $711/mo
Expected delta
+$602/yr (+$50/mo · 7.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,457
− Mortgage interest
−$23,471
− Property taxes
−$7,930
− Insurance
−$2,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,277
− Management
−$2,277
− Depreciation
−$12,189
Taxable loss
−$21,781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,227
After-tax cash flow
$-8,684/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nashua School District
NCES district ID
3304980
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,393
Composite
30.62/100
National rank
#6189
State rank
#77 of 98 in NH

Livability — Nashua

Score
83/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#983

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nashua, NH
County
Hillsborough County · 309,362 people
City population
91,294
Metro
Manchester-Nashua, NH
Population (ZIP)
29,441
Household income
$107,540
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
658.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
412,771 people
By 2030
410,974 · -0.4%
By 2040
399,959 · -3.1%
By 2050
381,542 · -7.6%
By 2075
339,855 · -17.7%
By 2100
289,270 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Asian 15% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-0.9pp no change · 2008: 3.8pp · 2024: 2.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.9 2020: D+7.7 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+1.7 2008: D+3.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -432.67%
Current HPI
309.5007
Rent YoY
▲ 2.53%
Metro
Manchester-Nashua, NH
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+6.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $446,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $419,000 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,930 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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