Multi-family
4150 State Street Dr · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
NEW ROOF!!!! Lovely Double in Great Location! Both units have 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Each unit has a spacious living/dining/kitchen area. Off street parking. ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period. ****
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Listed 612 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $270k).
- Recommended offer: $238k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 217 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,880/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1270% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 612 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $121k; list at $270k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 612 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.10%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $427,789
- List price
- $270,000
- Delta
- -36.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3803 05 State Street Dr | 0.29mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,707 (+1%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $109 | 73 |
| 4824 Thalia St | 0.23mi | 6/4.0 | 2,500 (-6%) | 13mo | $283,000 | $113 | 68 |
| 7217 19 Pritchard Pl | 0.22mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,788 (+4%) | 14mo | $390,000 | $140 | 64 |
| 1117 29 S Dupre St | 0.62mi | 6/4.0 | 2,592 (-3%) | 4mo | $355,000 | $137 | 63 |
| 1704 06 S Dupre St | 0.49mi | 6/4.0 | 2,332 (-13%) | 1mo | $359,000 | $154 | 55 |
| 3411 Pine St | 0.41mi | 6/2.0 | 2,600 (-3%) | 21mo | $135,000 | $52 | 51 |
| 3964-66 Louisiana Ave Pkwy | 0.57mi | 6/2.0 | 2,372 (-11%) | 0mo | $162,500 | $69 | 46 |
| 2210 12 Pine St | 0.54mi | 6/2.0 | 2,347 (-12%) | 1mo | $415,000 | $177 | 46 |
| 7833 S Claiborne Ave | 0.53mi | 6/3.0 | 3,022 (+13%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $86 | 44 |
| 1505 07 S White St | 0.56mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,268 (-15%) | 3mo | $144,900 | $64 | 33 |
| 3600 02 Upperline St | 0.58mi | 6/2.5 | 3,063 (+15%) | 18mo | $330,000 | $108 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $20,100
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $77,172
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70125
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,880 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$333 /mo · $3,999/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$815
- Net cashflow
- $1,137
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,880 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,940 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,940 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,880 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2117 S Lopez St New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1920 | $2,000 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 6326 S Johnson St Unit 1 New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2013 | $3,950 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6321 S Prieur St New Orleans, LA | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $4,200 | $2.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2818 Palmer Ave New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1832 | $4,900 | $2.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2808 Calhoun St New Orleans, LA | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3037 | $7,500 | $2.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3112 Upperline St New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2800 | $3,650 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2715 Palmer Ave New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2184 | $4,900 | $2.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1609 Broadway St New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $5,000 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2703 Palmer Ave New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2349 | $5,500 | $2.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1519 Pine St New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3000 | $4,000 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7011 Jeannette St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2200 | $5,000 | $2.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7015 Willow St New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $4,200 | $2.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2325 State St New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $4,000 | $2.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 939 Broadway St New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1900 | $4,000 | $2.11 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4 Cromwell Pl New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2600 | $7,000 | $2.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $270,000 Active 612 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $270,000 Active 611 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $270,000 Active 610 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $270,000 Active 609 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $270,000 Active 607 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $270,000 Active 604 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active 603 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active 602 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active 601 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $270,000 Active 598 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $270,000 Active 597 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $270,000 Active 596 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $270,000 Active 595 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $270,000 Active 594 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $270,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
NEW ROOF!!!! Lovely Double in Great Location! Both units have 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Each unit has a spacious living/dining/kitchen area. Off street parking. ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period. ****
-
2026-02-23price $280,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
NEW ROOF!!!! Lovely Double in Great Location! Both units have 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Each unit has a spacious living/dining/kitchen area. Off street parking. ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period. ****
-
2025-11-05price $295,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
NEW ROOF!!!! Lovely Double in Great Location! Both units have 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Each unit has a spacious living/dining/kitchen area. Off street parking. ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period. ****
-
2025-11-04price $290,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
NEW ROOF!!!! Lovely Double in Great Location! Both units have 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Each unit has a spacious living/dining/kitchen area. Off street parking. ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period. ****
-
2025-07-30price $305,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
NEW ROOF!!!! Lovely Double in Great Location! Both units have 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Each unit has a spacious living/dining/kitchen area. Off street parking. ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period. ****
-
2025-06-11price $315,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
NEW ROOF!!!! Lovely Double in Great Location! Both units have 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Each unit has a spacious living/dining/kitchen area. Off street parking. ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period. ****
-
2025-04-04price $325,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
NEW ROOF!!!! Lovely Double in Great Location! Both units have 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Each unit has a spacious living/dining/kitchen area. Off street parking. ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period. ****
-
2025-02-27price $335,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
NEW ROOF!!!! Lovely Double in Great Location! Both units have 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Each unit has a spacious living/dining/kitchen area. Off street parking. ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period. ****
-
2024-07-25$349,900 Active 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
NEW ROOF!!!! Lovely Double in Great Location! Both units have 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Each unit has a spacious living/dining/kitchen area. Off street parking. ***This property is eligible under the First Look Initiative. All Owner Occupant offers will be responded to after 7 days on the market and Investor offers will be responded to after 30 days. However, all offers can be submitted during the First Look period. ****
-
2024-03-19historical
-
2024-02-24$410,000 Active
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2024-02-24$410,000
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2017-08-24historical
-
2017-07-09price $439,900
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2017-03-03$445,000 Active
-
2017-03-03$439,900
-
2016-04-03historical
-
2016-02-10price $460,000
-
2015-10-06$500,000 Active
-
2015-10-02$460,000
-
2011-05-11soldstatus $121,000
-
2007-12-18soldstatus $125,923
-
1992-01-30soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,999 · $333/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,999 · $333/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,560
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$3,999
- − Insurance
- −$2,148
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,725
- − Management
- −$3,725
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable income
- $9,985
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,249/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,821
- Household income
- $61,174
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1270.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.68%
- Current HPI
- 255.5998
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+671.4% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $270,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $280,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $295,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $290,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $305,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-06-11 Price Changed $315,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-04 Price Changed $325,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $335,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-07-25 Listed $349,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-03-19 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2024-02-24 Listed $410,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-02-24 Listed $410,000 GBRMLS
- 2017-08-24 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2017-07-09 Price Changed $439,900 GSREIN
- 2017-03-03 Listed $445,000 GSREIN
- 2017-03-03 Listed $439,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2016-04-03 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2016-02-10 Price Changed $460,000 GSREIN
- 2015-10-06 Listed $500,000 GSREIN
- 2015-10-02 Listed $460,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2011-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
- 2007-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $125,923 Public Records
- 1992-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2026): $3,999 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…