920 Fortner St · Dothan, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New to the market. You don't want you to miss out. This listing includes two properties in 1. (0.96234005007000). The property is 3 bedroom and 2.5 bath that sits on a large corner lot with spacious backyard that includes a large shed. This property also consists of a bonus room with wood burning fireplace. All of the floors are hardwood flooring throughout. Don't wait, contact me or your realtor to come check it out. MOTIVATED SELLER
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Spacious backyard
- Large corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $833 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $59k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $120k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.74%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $137,142
- List price
- $120,500
- Delta
- -12.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1200 S Edgewood Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,768 (-4%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $57 | 75 |
| 1300 S Edgewood Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,859 (+0%) | 8mo | $92,000 | $49 | 75 |
| 1300 S Edgewood Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,952 (+6%) | 8mo | $92,000 | $47 | 66 |
| 1000 Martin St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,607 (-13%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $50 | 65 |
| 308 Lakeview Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,818 (-2%) | 6mo | $179,500 | $99 | 64 |
| 460 W Selma St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,825 (-1%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $93 | 62 |
| 505 Somerset St | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,960 (+6%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $37 | 58 |
| 601 Ashland Dr | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-11%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $70 | 54 |
| 111 Pettus St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,787 (-3%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $64 | 54 |
| 24 Parkplace Ct | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (-3%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $131 | 52 |
| 503 Catalpa Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,112 (+14%) | 5mo | $119,000 | $56 | 37 |
| 1315 Haisten Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 2,118 (+14%) | 9mo | $243,900 | $115 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,021
- Equity at exit
- $17,967
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $35,823
- Equity at exit
- $10,419
Cash invested: $33,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36301
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 412
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,382 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$632
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $285/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $455 | -5% $420 | +0% $386 | +5% $352 | +10% $318 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $277 | -5% $332 | +0% $386 | +5% $441 | +10% $496 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $447 | -0.5pp $417 | base $386 | +0.5pp $355 | +1.0pp $323 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,125
- Closing costs
- $3,615
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 Holly Ln Dothan, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 45d | 4 | 0.42mi |
| 1205 Magnolia Ave Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1916 | $1,900 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 310 W Lafayette St Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1459 | $995 | $0.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2004 Roebuck St Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1609 | $1,175 | $0.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1809 Haisten Dr Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $1,300 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,500 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $120,500 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $120,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,500 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-03price $120,500 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $169,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $169,900 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
New to the market. You don't want you to miss out. This listing includes two properties in 1. (0.96234005007000). The property is 3 bedroom and 2.5 bath that sits on a large corner lot with spacious backyard that includes a large shed. This property also consists of a bonus room with wood burning fireplace. All of the floors are hardwood flooring throughout. Don't wait, contact me or your realtor to come check it out. MOTIVATED SELLER
-
2026-04-20price $175,900 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
New to the market. You don't want you to miss out. This listing includes two properties in 1. (0.96234005007000). The property is 3 bedroom and 2.5 bath that sits on a large corner lot with spacious backyard that includes a large shed. This property also consists of a bonus room with wood burning fireplace. All of the floors are hardwood flooring throughout. Don't wait, contact me or your realtor to come check it out. MOTIVATED SELLER
-
2026-04-10$179,900 Active 438-char remark
Show marketing remark (438 chars)
New to the market. You don't want you to miss out. This listing includes two properties in 1. (0.96234005007000). The property is 3 bedroom and 2.5 bath that sits on a large corner lot with spacious backyard that includes a large shed. This property also consists of a bonus room with wood burning fireplace. All of the floors are hardwood flooring throughout. Don't wait, contact me or your realtor to come check it out. MOTIVATED SELLER
-
2023-09-11soldstatus $80,000 Closed 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Don't miss this special! New to the market! This listing includes two properties in one- adjacent parcel of land (0 Virginia: parcel 0906234005007000) also included. Large corner lot, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, bonus room, wood burning fireplace, large storage building, hardwood floors, and much more!! Call/ text today to schedule a showing! Buyer/ Buyer's agent to satisfy self to pertinent information.
-
2023-09-11soldstatus $80,000
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Don't miss this special! New to the market! This listing includes two properties in one- adjacent parcel of land (0 Virginia: parcel 0906234005007000) also included. Large corner lot, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, bonus room, wood burning fireplace, large storage building, hardwood floors, and much more!! Call/ text today to schedule a showing! Buyer/ Buyer's agent to satisfy self to pertinent information.
-
2023-09-06historical Active Under Contract 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Don't miss this special! New to the market! This listing includes two properties in one- adjacent parcel of land (0 Virginia: parcel 0906234005007000) also included. Large corner lot, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, bonus room, wood burning fireplace, large storage building, hardwood floors, and much more!! Call/ text today to schedule a showing! Buyer/ Buyer's agent to satisfy self to pertinent information.
-
2023-08-16historical 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Don't miss this special! New to the market! This listing includes two properties in one- adjacent parcel of land (0 Virginia: parcel 0906234005007000) also included. Large corner lot, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, bonus room, wood burning fireplace, large storage building, hardwood floors, and much more!! Call/ text today to schedule a showing! Buyer/ Buyer's agent to satisfy self to pertinent information.
-
2023-08-06historical Active Under Contract 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Don't miss this special! New to the market! This listing includes two properties in one- adjacent parcel of land (0 Virginia: parcel 0906234005007000) also included. Large corner lot, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, bonus room, wood burning fireplace, large storage building, hardwood floors, and much more!! Call/ text today to schedule a showing! Buyer/ Buyer's agent to satisfy self to pertinent information.
-
2023-07-10status Active 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Don't miss this special! New to the market! This listing includes two properties in one- adjacent parcel of land (0 Virginia: parcel 0906234005007000) also included. Large corner lot, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, bonus room, wood burning fireplace, large storage building, hardwood floors, and much more!! Call/ text today to schedule a showing! Buyer/ Buyer's agent to satisfy self to pertinent information.
-
2023-03-25$108,000 Active 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Don't miss this special! New to the market! This listing includes two properties in one- adjacent parcel of land (0 Virginia: parcel 0906234005007000) also included. Large corner lot, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, bonus room, wood burning fireplace, large storage building, hardwood floors, and much more!! Call/ text today to schedule a showing! Buyer/ Buyer's agent to satisfy self to pertinent information.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $285 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $494 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$209/yr (+$17/mo · 73.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,590
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,750
- − Property taxes
- −$285
- − Insurance
- −$602
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,327
- − Management
- −$1,327
- − Depreciation
- −$3,505
- Taxable income
- $2,793
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$670
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,965/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dothan City
- NCES district ID
- 0101230
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,279
- Composite
- 24.56/100
- National rank
- #7640
- State rank
- #73 of 129 in AL
Livability — Dothan
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #146
- US rank
- #13662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dothan, AL
- City population
- 47,783
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,627
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,280 people
- By 2030
- 112,668 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 116,149 · +5.3%
- By 2050
- 117,805 · +6.8%
- By 2075
- 118,577 · +7.5%
- By 2100
- 110,940 · +0.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.46%
- Current HPI
- 161.1212
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+57.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $169,900 LCMLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $175,900 LCMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $179,900 LCMLS
- 2023-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2023-09-11 Sold (MLS) $80,000 SAMLS
- 2023-09-06 Contingent — SAMLS
- 2023-08-16 Delisted — SAMLS
- 2023-08-06 Contingent — SAMLS
- 2023-07-10 Relisted — SAMLS
- 2023-03-25 Listed $108,000 SAMLS
Property tax history
-5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $285 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…