1402 22nd St NE #261 · Auburn, WA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lovely, light-filled updated home in Rio Verde, a gated 55+ community! The refreshed kitchen features white cabinetry, black appliances, a breakfast island, bamboo flooring, and a ceiling fan. Enjoy a spacious, open living and dining area, plus a separate family room with sliding door access to the large covered porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Newer vinyl windows bring in abundant natural light throughout. The guest bedroom connects to a remodeled continental full bath. The generous primary suite includes a mirrored closet and an updated 3/4 bath with large vanity, neo-angle shower, and linen storage. Utility room offers a newer stack washer/dryer and utility sink. Outside
Key facts
- Breakfast island
- Large covered porch
- Newer vinyl windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Buyer broker compensation: 2.5%; Calculated living area: 1,440 (per title)
- Financial info: Cash offers accepted
- HOA & community: Rio Verde Estates park; Park approved for sale; Senior community; Park amenities: exercise room, high-speed internet available, RV parking, security gate, sidewalks; 287 homes in park; Pets: see remarks; Land lease: $1,340
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; RV parking (park amenity); Extra parking available near home
- Security: Security gate
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (billed by park); Sewer billed by park; Power provided by PSE; Xfinity cable and internet
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; South facing
- Construction: Metal/vinyl construction; Composition roof; Good condition; Mobile home remains
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Landscaped; Paved with sidewalks; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 2 bathtubs; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump heating; Forced air cooling; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Water heater in closet; Bath off primary; Walk-in closet; Patio/porch/deck
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
- Recommended offer: $125k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.96%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $126,720
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1402 22nd St NE #402 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $115,500 | $80 | 99 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #127 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (-8%) | 4mo | $137,500 | $104 | 82 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #509 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $90 | 82 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #52 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $83 | 78 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #27 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $48 | 74 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #549 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,459 (+1%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $48 | 74 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #11 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-5%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $44 | 73 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #29 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (+7%) | 5mo | $149,500 | $97 | 68 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #65 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,535 (+7%) | 8mo | $86,500 | $56 | 66 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #424 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 1mo | $124,500 | $100 | 60 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #203 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,632 (+13%) | 5mo | $143,500 | $88 | 51 |
| 31101 116th Ave SE #93 | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,548 (+8%) | 8mo | $169,000 | $109 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $16,905
- Equity at exit
- $19,756
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $56,338
- Equity at exit
- $11,456
Cash invested: $37,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98002
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,979 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$695
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$166 /mo · $1,988/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $648
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,125
- Closing costs
- $3,975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1741 22nd St NE Auburn, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 2d | 2 | 0.25mi |
| 2212 O St NE Unit D Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,925 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 31900 104th Ave SE Unit A206 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1413 12th St NE Unit ADU Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2025 M St NE Unit 2045 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $2,095 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2414 N St NE Unit C Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1271 | $1,950 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2409 N St NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2222 L St NE Unit 2222LA Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,995 | $2.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1015 18th St NE Unit 931 935 1001 1007 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,699 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2502 M St NE Unit 2502MA Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $2,050 | $2.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1433 8th St NE Auburn, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1025 | $2,244 | $2.19 | 1d | 13 | 0.58mi |
| 2545 M Pl NE Unit 2545MPC Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2556 M Pl NE Unit 2556MPC Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 19d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2315 L St NE Unit 2315LA Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,995 | $2.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2319 L St NE Unit 2319LB Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,995 | $2.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1314 6th Pl NE Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1180 | $3,200 | $2.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 634 M St NE Unit 3 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2602 J St NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,972 | $2.20 | 2d | 10 | 0.74mi |
| 987 26th Pl NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 939 | $1,795 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,275 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2441 I St NE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,795 | $1.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 29 R St NE Unit A Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 107 N St SE Unit A Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1221 A St NE Auburn, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 741 | $1,986 | $2.68 | 1d | 14 | 1.18mi |
| 12110 SE 312th St Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $2,095 | $2.02 | 24d | 4 | 1.19mi |
| 330 V St SE Unit 1 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,400 | $2.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 30819 124th Ave SE Auburn, WA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $1,694 | $1.86 | 1d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 225 I St SE Unit 225 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,100 | $2.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 44 5th St NE Apt 4 Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,999 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 515 N Division St Auburn, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,750 | $2.50 | 24d | 4 | 1.39mi |
| 24 Auburn Way S Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $132,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $132,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $132,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $132,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $132,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $132,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $132,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $132,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $132,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $132,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $132,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $132,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $132,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-16$132,500 Active
-
2023-08-14soldstatus $127,000 Closed
-
2023-07-09status Pending
-
2023-06-20$129,500 Active
-
2016-04-15historical
-
2016-04-11soldstatus $38,000 Sold
-
2016-04-06status Pending
-
2016-03-28status Pending Inspection
-
2016-03-09$39,900 Active
-
2011-01-12soldstatus $5,000 Sold
-
2010-11-14status Pending
-
2010-10-22price $10,000
-
2010-08-17price $23,000
-
2010-07-22price $14,000
-
2010-05-19$26,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,752
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,422
- − Property taxes
- −$1,988
- − Insurance
- −$662
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,900
- − Management
- −$1,900
- − Depreciation
- −$3,855
- Taxable income
- $6,025
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,446
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,330/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300300
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,048
- Composite
- 46.73/100
- National rank
- #5240
- State rank
- #125 of 291 in WA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1371
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 74,969
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,509
- Household income
- $78,684
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2202.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -677.96%
- Current HPI
- 298.0849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $132,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-14 Sold (MLS) $127,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-09 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-20 Listed $129,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-15 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-11 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-06 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-28 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-09 Listed $39,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-01-12 Sold (MLS) $5,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-14 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-10-22 Price Changed $10,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-08-17 Price Changed $23,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-07-22 Price Changed $14,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-19 Listed $26,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…