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1402 22nd St NE #261
B- Composite 69.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$132,500

1402 22nd St NE #261 · Auburn, WA 98002
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 63 Days on market
Built 1975 Est $127k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Lovely, light-filled updated home in Rio Verde, a gated 55+ community! The refreshed kitchen features white cabinetry, black appliances, a breakfast island, bamboo flooring, and a ceiling fan. Enjoy a spacious, open living and dining area, plus a separate family room with sliding door access to the large covered porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Newer vinyl windows bring in abundant natural light throughout. The guest bedroom connects to a remodeled continental full bath. The generous primary suite includes a mirrored closet and an updated 3/4 bath with large vanity, neo-angle shower, and linen storage. Utility room offers a newer stack washer/dryer and utility sink. Outside

Key facts

  • Breakfast island
  • Large covered porch
  • Newer vinyl windows

Tags

REFRESHED KITCHENBREAKFAST ISLANDBAMBOO FLOORINGSEPARATE FAMILY ROOMLARGE COVERED PORCHNEWER VINYL WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Buyer broker compensation: 2.5%; Calculated living area: 1,440 (per title)
  • Financial info: Cash offers accepted
  • HOA & community: Rio Verde Estates park; Park approved for sale; Senior community; Park amenities: exercise room, high-speed internet available, RV parking, security gate, sidewalks; 287 homes in park; Pets: see remarks; Land lease: $1,340

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; RV parking (park amenity); Extra parking available near home
  • Security: Security gate
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (billed by park); Sewer billed by park; Power provided by PSE; Xfinity cable and internet
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; South facing
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl construction; Composition roof; Good condition; Mobile home remains
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Landscaped; Paved with sidewalks; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 2 bathtubs; 2 showers
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump heating; Forced air cooling; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Water heater in closet; Bath off primary; Walk-in closet; Patio/porch/deck
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $124,550 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.16%
Cash-on-cash
20.96%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$126,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1402 22nd St NE #402 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 2mo $115,500 $80 99
1402 22nd St NE #127 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,320 (-8%) 4mo $137,500 $104 82
1402 22nd St NE #509 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 1mo $130,000 $90 82
1402 22nd St NE #52 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 6mo $120,000 $83 78
1402 22nd St NE #27 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 0mo $65,000 $48 74
1402 22nd St NE #549 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,459 (+1%) 2mo $70,000 $48 74
1402 22nd St NE #11 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,368 (-5%) 2mo $60,000 $44 73
1402 22nd St NE #29 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,536 (+7%) 5mo $149,500 $97 68
1402 22nd St NE #65 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,535 (+7%) 8mo $86,500 $56 66
1402 22nd St NE #424 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-13%) 1mo $124,500 $100 60
1402 22nd St NE #203 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,632 (+13%) 5mo $143,500 $88 51
31101 116th Ave SE #93 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,548 (+8%) 8mo $169,000 $109 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$16,905
Equity at exit
$19,756
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$56,338
Equity at exit
$11,456

Cash invested: $37,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98002

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,979 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$695
Tax est. 1.5%
$166 /mo · $1,988/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$648

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,159
Max offer price $132,500
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,125
Closing costs
$3,975
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1741 22nd St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 902 $1,650 $1.83 2d 2 0.25mi
2212 O St NE Unit D Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,925 $1.93 21d 1 0.39mi
31900 104th Ave SE Unit A206 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 1250 $2,000 $1.60 24d 1 0.40mi
1413 12th St NE Unit ADU Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,400 $2.40 4d 1 0.45mi
2025 M St NE Unit 2045 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 1248 $2,095 $1.68 21d 1 0.48mi
2414 N St NE Unit C Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1271 $1,950 $1.53 24d 1 0.50mi
2409 N St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,950 $2.17 14d 1 0.53mi
2222 L St NE Unit 2222LA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 895 $1,995 $2.23 2d 1 0.55mi
1015 18th St NE Unit 931 935 1001 1007 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,699 $1.89 24d 1 0.57mi
2502 M St NE Unit 2502MA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 910 $2,050 $2.25 2d 1 0.58mi
1433 8th St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1025 $2,244 $2.19 1d 13 0.58mi
2545 M Pl NE Unit 2545MPC Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 24d 1 0.59mi
2556 M Pl NE Unit 2556MPC Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 19d 1 0.60mi
2315 L St NE Unit 2315LA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 990 $1,995 $2.02 2d 1 0.60mi
2319 L St NE Unit 2319LB Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 895 $1,995 $2.23 2d 1 0.61mi
1314 6th Pl NE Auburn, WA 3.0 1.5 1180 $3,200 $2.71 24d 1 0.69mi
634 M St NE Unit 3 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,650 $1.83 24d 1 0.71mi
2602 J St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 897 $1,972 $2.20 2d 10 0.74mi
987 26th Pl NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 939 $1,795 $1.91 24d 1 0.79mi
2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,275 $1.62 24d 1 0.79mi
2441 I St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 910 $1,795 $1.97 14d 1 0.82mi
29 R St NE Unit A Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 24d 1 0.97mi
107 N St SE Unit A Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,750 $1.62 21d 1 1.16mi
1221 A St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 741 $1,986 $2.68 1d 14 1.18mi
12110 SE 312th St Auburn, WA 2.0 2.0 1035 $2,095 $2.02 24d 4 1.19mi
330 V St SE Unit 1 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 950 $2,400 $2.53 21d 1 1.24mi
30819 124th Ave SE Auburn, WA 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 908 $1,694 $1.86 1d 2 1.29mi
225 I St SE Unit 225 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 980 $2,100 $2.14 14d 1 1.38mi
44 5th St NE Apt 4 Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,999 $2.00 24d 1 1.39mi
515 N Division St Auburn, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,750 $2.50 24d 4 1.39mi
24 Auburn Way S Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,495 $1.50 24d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $132,500 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $132,500 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $132,500 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $132,500 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $132,500 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $132,500 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $132,500 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $132,500 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $132,500 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $132,500 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $132,500 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $132,500 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $132,500 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $132,500 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    listed $132,500 Active
  16. 2023-08-14
    soldstatus $127,000 Closed
  17. 2023-07-09
    status Pending
  18. 2023-06-20
    listed $129,500 Active
  19. 2016-04-15
    historical
  20. 2016-04-11
    soldstatus $38,000 Sold
  21. 2016-04-06
    status Pending
  22. 2016-03-28
    status Pending Inspection
  23. 2016-03-09
    listed $39,900 Active
  24. 2011-01-12
    soldstatus $5,000 Sold
  25. 2010-11-14
    status Pending
  26. 2010-10-22
    price $10,000
  27. 2010-08-17
    price $23,000
  28. 2010-07-22
    price $14,000
  29. 2010-05-19
    listed $26,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,752
− Mortgage interest
−$7,422
− Property taxes
−$1,988
− Insurance
−$662
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,900
− Management
−$1,900
− Depreciation
−$3,855
Taxable income
$6,025
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,446
After-tax cash flow
$6,330/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,509
Household income
$78,684
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2202.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -677.96%
Current HPI
298.0849
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $132,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-14 Sold (MLS) $127,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-20 Listed $129,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-15 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-11 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-06 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-28 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-09 Listed $39,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-01-12 Sold (MLS) $5,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-14 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-10-22 Price Changed $10,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-08-17 Price Changed $23,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-22 Price Changed $14,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-05-19 Listed $26,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…