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138 36th Ave N
B- Composite 65.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,000

138 36th Ave N · St. Petersburg, FL 33704
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 770 sqft · Other · 22 Days on market
Built 1974 Poor condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Very nice quiet over 55 community. 1 bed 1 bath Ground Floor with front and back door. sorry no pets or rentals. Close to downtown St. Pete, walk to shopping, walk to Tampa Bay. Property sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Walk to tampa bay
  • Ground floor
  • Walk to shopping

Tags

GROUND FLOORFRONT AND BACK DOORCLOSE TO DOWNTOWN ST PETEWALK TO SHOPPINGWALK TO TAMPA BAY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1974
  • Construction: Living area approximately 770
  • Exterior features: Located in the North East Park subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $144k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($142k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,840 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.34%
Cash-on-cash
14.46%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$4,253
Equity at exit
$21,471
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$41,741
Equity at exit
$12,450

Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33704

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
239
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,875 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$755
Tax est. 1.5%
$180 /mo · $2,160/yr
Insurance
$60
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,344
Max offer price $144,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $519 -5% $469 +0% $419 +5% $370 +10% $320
Rent -10% $271 -5% $345 +0% $419 +5% $493 +10% $567
Rate -1.0pp $492 -0.5pp $456 base $419 +0.5pp $382 +1.0pp $344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,000
Closing costs
$4,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
252 33rd Ave N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,995 $2.85 18d 1 0.22mi
344 33rd Ave N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 560 $1,200 $2.14 4d 1 0.25mi
131 41st Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 933 $2,100 $2.25 4d 2 0.33mi
4200 1st St NE Unit 2 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 24d 1 0.39mi
646 38th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 978 $2,400 $2.45 4d 1 0.40mi
535 32nd Ave N Unit 5 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 675 $1,750 $2.59 14d 1 0.41mi
442 30th Ave N Unit 9 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $1,545 $2.81 13d 1 0.45mi
468 44th Ave N Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 693 $1,900 $2.74 24d 1 0.54mi
800 32nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 932 $1,349 $1.45 3d 3 0.61mi
613 44th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1124 $2,250 $2.00 4d 1 0.62mi
4651 1st St NE #306 Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $2,900 $2.59 4d 1 0.62mi
120 47th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 914 $1,399 $1.53 3d 8 0.66mi
4681 1st St NE #209 Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $2,250 $2.01 24d 1 0.68mi
547 46th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 837 $2,000 $2.39 8d 1 0.72mi
3460 Haines Rd N Unit 2 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 539 $1,350 $2.50 8d 1 0.74mi
321 24th Ave N Unit 2 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 560 $1,495 $2.67 8d 1 0.75mi
135 48th Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 800 $2,495 $3.12 24d 1 0.76mi
363 48th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,900 $2.53 24d 1 0.77mi
780 27th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 775 $2,000 $2.58 24d 1 0.78mi
310 24th Ave N Unit B2 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 2.0 600 $1,395 $2.33 18d 1 0.79mi
917 30th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 645 $1,499 $2.32 3d 1 0.79mi
3651 Haines Rd N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,800 $1.89 12d 1 0.80mi
2 23rd Ave N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 720 $1,800 $2.50 18d 1 0.83mi
3700 Haines Rd N St Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 675 $1,700 $2.52 15d 2 0.85mi
4880 Locust St NE St Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0–2.0 840 $1,375 $1.64 24d 3 0.85mi
4880 Locust St NE St Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.5–2.0 930 $1,500 $1.61 4d 2 0.85mi
440 50th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 825 $2,100 $2.55 24d 1 0.88mi
550 50th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 765 $1,700 $2.22 8d 2 0.91mi
2758 10th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1090 $3,350 $3.07 4d 1 0.92mi
4920 Locust St NE St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,825 $1.76 24d 1 0.93mi
265 Mateo Way NE St Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1055 $2,700 $2.56 21d 1 0.98mi
124 20th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 826 $3,200 $3.87 4d 1 1.00mi
925 24th Ave N Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 693 $1,900 $2.74 15d 1 1.04mi
828 22nd Ave N Apt 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $2,000 $3.64 18d 1 1.07mi
4104 1/2 Haines Rd N Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,850 $1.85 24d 1 1.12mi
5364 4th St N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 570 $1,150 $2.02 24d 1 1.12mi
1801 5th St N Unit 2 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 1.0 738 $1,595 $2.16 24d 1 1.13mi
1725 5th St N Unit 7 St. Petersburg, FL 1.0 629 $1,395 $2.22 24d 1 1.15mi
375 54th Ter N St. Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $2,375 $2.46 2d 13 1.17mi
3131 16th St N Unit 4 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 11d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $144,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $144,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,000 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-05-28
    listed $144,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,494
− Mortgage interest
−$8,066
− Property taxes
−$2,160
− Insurance
−$1,518
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,800
− Management
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$4,189
Taxable income
$2,962
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$711
After-tax cash flow
$4,320/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including landscaping and interior cleaning, to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Landscaping — Overgrown lawn and debris
  • Major Exterior cleaning — Overgrown lawn and debris
  • Major Interior cleaning — Overgrown lawn and debris

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and exterior cleaning — Improves curb appeal and overall property condition
  • Both Interior cleaning — Enhances the home's appearance and can attract more buyers/renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Landscaping · Overgrown lawn and debris Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior cleaning · Overgrown lawn and debris Major $15,000–50,000
Interior cleaning · Overgrown lawn and debris Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and exterior cleaning — Improves curb appeal and overall property condition
  • Both Interior cleaning — Enhances the home's appearance and can attract more buyers/renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Petersburg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Petersburg, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
249,151
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
16,232
Household income
$107,889
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
632.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -822.13%
Current HPI
473.0888
Rent YoY
▲ 3.43%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $144,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…