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15375 Arrowhead Dr
F Composite 32.14
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

15375 Arrowhead Dr · Oklahoma City, OK 73099
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,507 sqft · Land public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1980 0.75 ac lot $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You will love this remodeled home on almost an acre. This home has the most wonderful cathedral ceilinged large living room that features a brick fireplace with an insert that has a blower, helps keep your home warm in the winter without high utility bills. The home has all new paint, wood look tile flooring, carpeting, granite kitchen counters as well as new baths, stools, tile and shower. Windows are updated, storm shelter has a new door and the sellers poured lots of new concrete the right way. The property features a very nice above ground pool with a very nice deck and a seating platform with amazing views. The workshop has a roll up and walk thru door and a great slab. There is also a firepit and a small metal shed to store wood in. Amazing front and partial sides fence, wood on iron, with door and gates will last forever. You will love the beautiful views of the sunsets. Open Sunday Nov 13th 2-4

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Fire-pit
  • Workshop

Tags

SPACIOUS BACKYARDLARGE PERGOLAFIRE-PITWORKSHOPCHICKEN COOP

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Mandatory association dues; Association fee: $250 (includes grounds maintenance)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Security: Outdoor storm shelter
  • Utilities: Utilities: standard electric service
  • Home design: Single Family Residence; One story; Property faces east; Residential property, existing
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof; Built on slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Fire pit; Outbuildings; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric range and oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: One living area; Wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Slab foundation (utility access at slab)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-235 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (15.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (24.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Yukon (suburban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #47 of 270 in OK (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Es (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #107 of 845 statewide, top 14%, 330 students, 0% FRL); Yukon Hs (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #67 of 447 statewide, top 16%, 2,833 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 32% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1560 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $168k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,764 (24.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.04%
Cash-on-cash
-4.47%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.9%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-54,412
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-29.7%
Equity multiple
-0.25×
Total profit
$-78,497
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73099

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
1560
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,698 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax est. 1.5%
$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$-235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,995
Max offer price $191,026
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $225,000 Active
  2. 2017-01-25
    soldstatus $167,500
  3. 2017-01-20
    soldstatus $167,500 Sold 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    You will love this remodeled home on almost an acre. This home has the most wonderful cathedral ceilinged large living room that features a brick fireplace with an insert that has a blower, helps keep your home warm in the winter without high utility bills. The home has all new paint, wood look tile flooring, carpeting, granite kitchen counters as well as new baths, stools, tile and shower. Windows are updated, storm shelter has a new door and the sellers poured lots of new concrete the right way. The property features a very nice above ground pool with a very nice deck and a seating platform with amazing views. The workshop has a roll up and walk thru door and a great slab. There is also a firepit and a small metal shed to store wood in. Amazing front and partial sides fence, wood on iron, with door and gates will last forever. You will love the beautiful views of the sunsets. Open Sunday Nov 13th 2-4

  4. 2017-01-01
    status Pending 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    You will love this remodeled home on almost an acre. This home has the most wonderful cathedral ceilinged large living room that features a brick fireplace with an insert that has a blower, helps keep your home warm in the winter without high utility bills. The home has all new paint, wood look tile flooring, carpeting, granite kitchen counters as well as new baths, stools, tile and shower. Windows are updated, storm shelter has a new door and the sellers poured lots of new concrete the right way. The property features a very nice above ground pool with a very nice deck and a seating platform with amazing views. The workshop has a roll up and walk thru door and a great slab. There is also a firepit and a small metal shed to store wood in. Amazing front and partial sides fence, wood on iron, with door and gates will last forever. You will love the beautiful views of the sunsets. Open Sunday Nov 13th 2-4

  5. 2016-10-31
    listed $174,900 Active 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    You will love this remodeled home on almost an acre. This home has the most wonderful cathedral ceilinged large living room that features a brick fireplace with an insert that has a blower, helps keep your home warm in the winter without high utility bills. The home has all new paint, wood look tile flooring, carpeting, granite kitchen counters as well as new baths, stools, tile and shower. Windows are updated, storm shelter has a new door and the sellers poured lots of new concrete the right way. The property features a very nice above ground pool with a very nice deck and a seating platform with amazing views. The workshop has a roll up and walk thru door and a great slab. There is also a firepit and a small metal shed to store wood in. Amazing front and partial sides fence, wood on iron, with door and gates will last forever. You will love the beautiful views of the sunsets. Open Sunday Nov 13th 2-4

  6. 2010-02-04
    soldstatus $130,000
  7. 2010-01-28
    soldstatus $129,800 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Great lot in a wonderful neighborhood in top rated Yukon Schools. Acreage backs to large open field that will most likely never be developed. Livingroom is very large with a gorgeous beamed ceiling. Needs a little love but tremendous find. Everything here you need for a great price!

  8. 2009-12-22
    listed $139,900 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Great lot in a wonderful neighborhood in top rated Yukon Schools. Acreage backs to large open field that will most likely never be developed. Livingroom is very large with a gorgeous beamed ceiling. Needs a little love but tremendous find. Everything here you need for a great price!

  9. 1999-02-16
    soldstatus $92,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,372
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,375
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,630
− Management
−$1,630
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$6,789
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,629
After-tax cash flow
$-1,188/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yukon
NCES district ID
4033480
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$63,741
Composite
28.35/100
National rank
#6776
State rank
#47 of 270 in OK

Livability — Oklahoma City

Score
80/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1635

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Canadian County · 154,341 people
City population
498,656
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
91,014
Household income
$88,030
Rent vs Own
26.1% rent · 73.9% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Canadian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,062 people
By 2030
195,170 · +12.1%
By 2040
239,293 · +37.5%
By 2050
285,457 · +64.0%
By 2075
403,766 · +132.0%
By 2100
498,766 · +186.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Canadian

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.4) · D 28.8% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
+11.9pp toward D · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -40.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.4 2020: R+43.3 2016: R+51.2 2012: R+54.4 2008: R+52.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -206.04%
Current HPI
244.6836
Rent YoY
▲ 1.19%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+144.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $225,000 MLSOK
  • 2017-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $167,500 Public Records
  • 2017-01-20 Sold (MLS) $167,500 MLSOK
  • 2017-01-01 Pending MLSOK
  • 2016-10-31 Listed $174,900 MLSOK
  • 2010-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2010-01-28 Sold (MLS) $129,800 MLSOK
  • 2009-12-22 Listed $139,900 MLSOK
  • 1999-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-19.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $130 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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