314 NE Union St · Aiken, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute ranch in downtown Aiken! Nice covered front porch to enjoy the fresh air while drinking coffee & reading a good book. Interior has vinyl flooring thru out. Lovely living room w/ wood burning fireplace. 2nd bedroom has decorative fireplace. Spacious kitchen features: range, refrigerator, dishwasher, built in microwave & pantry. Owners suite has sitting room w/ closet. Owners bedroom w/ private bathroom that features a walk in shower. Side covered deck. Storage building. Chain link fence around entire yard. Big backyard. Close to all downtown restaurants, shopping, entertainment. Seller is a licensed SC real estate agent.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Owners suite
- Vinyl flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water
- Home design: Single-story property
- Construction: Aluminum exterior finish; Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Chain link fencing; Paved road access; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Vinyl flooring; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Built-in microwave; Free-standing range
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with private bath and private closet; Second bedroom with private closet (main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central heating with gas on main level
- Interior features: Ceiling fan; Attic with pull-down access; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Utility room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $149k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.1% in Aiken — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Chukker Creek Elementary (math 51% / reading 55%, grade C, #138 of 597 statewide, top 24%, 664 students, 30% FRL); Aiken High (math 19% / reading 84%, grade D+, #146 of 196 statewide, top 75%, 1,195 students, 100% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Aiken 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.93%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,967
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 NE Williamsburg St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,139 (-2%) | 5mo | $129,000 | $113 | 72 |
| 512 NE Hampton Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,068 (-8%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $51 | 62 |
| 547 Gwinnett St NE | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+8%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $80 | 60 |
| 122 SE Union St | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,204 (+4%) | 19mo | $285,000 | $237 | 56 |
| 413 Union St NE | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,302 (+12%) | 16mo | $230,000 | $177 | 55 |
| 458 Williamsburg St NE | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+4%) | 17mo | $189,500 | $158 | 54 |
| 341 Greenville St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,111 (-4%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $180 | 52 |
| 811 Colleton Ave SE | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (-8%) | 8mo | $450,000 | $423 | 45 |
| 406 NE Hampton Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+2%) | 20mo | $70,000 | $59 | 45 |
| 512 NE Hampton Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,068 (-8%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $51 | 41 |
| 242 Williamsburg St NE | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,298 (+12%) | 23mo | $125,000 | $96 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,632
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $35,536
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29801
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 521
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,629 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,114/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328 Williamsburg St Aiken, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 126 Park Ave SE Unit C Aiken, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,900 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 206 Sumter St SE Aiken, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $2,200 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 524 Colleton Ave SE Aiken, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,695 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 816 York St Aiken, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1308 | $1,450 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 326 Sumter St SE Aiken, SC | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 811 Laurens St NW Aiken, SC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $1,379 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 630 Morgan St NW Unit A Aiken, SC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 566 Newberry St Aiken, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $3,000 | $2.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 337 E Boundary Ave SE Aiken, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,750 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1532 Colleton Ave SE Aiken, SC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1223 York St NE Aiken, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 461 E Boundary Ave SE Aiken, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1445 Lyon Dr SE Apt 3 Aiken, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1330 | $895 | $0.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-01$159,000 Active 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
Cute ranch in downtown Aiken! Nice covered front porch to enjoy the fresh air while drinking coffee & reading a good book. Interior has vinyl flooring thru out. Lovely living room w/ wood burning fireplace. 2nd bedroom has decorative fireplace. Spacious kitchen features: range, refrigerator, dishwasher, built in microwave & pantry. Owners suite has sitting room w/ closet. Owners bedroom w/ private bathroom that features a walk in shower. Side covered deck. Storage building. Chain link fence around entire yard. Big backyard. Close to all downtown restaurants, shopping, entertainment. Seller is a licensed SC real estate agent.
-
2026-04-01$159,000 Active
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
Cute ranch in downtown Aiken! Nice covered front porch to enjoy the fresh air while drinking coffee & reading a good book. Interior has vinyl flooring thru out. Lovely living room w/ wood burning fireplace. 2nd bedroom has decorative fireplace. Spacious kitchen features: range, refrigerator, dishwasher, built in microwave & pantry. Owners suite has sitting room w/ closet. Owners bedroom w/ private bathroom that features a walk in shower. Side covered deck. Storage building. Chain link fence around entire yard. Big backyard. Close to all downtown restaurants, shopping, entertainment. Seller is a licensed SC real estate agent.
-
2005-01-11soldstatus $172,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,114 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,114 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,548
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$1,114
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,564
- − Management
- −$1,564
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $980
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$235
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,293/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aiken 01
- NCES district ID
- 4500720
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,081
- Composite
- 31.91/100
- National rank
- #5857
- State rank
- #36 of 80 in SC
Livability — Aiken
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #10443
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aiken, SC
- County
- Aiken County · 116,534 people
- City population
- 71,807
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,108
- Household income
- $59,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1260.0
Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,003 people
- By 2030
- 182,876 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 189,970 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 193,840 · +8.9%
- By 2075
- 199,453 · +12.1%
- By 2100
- 192,403 · +8.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Aiken
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -278.52%
- Current HPI
- 173.7944
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.06%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-7.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $159,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $159,000 AMLS
- 2005-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $172,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,114 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…