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14512 SE County Road 230a
B- Composite 67.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

14512 SE County Road 230a · Starke, FL 32091
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Manufactured public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1985 0.35 ac lot Est $182k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move-in ready and FULLY UPDATED--this one is ready to be called HOME! This beautifully renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1990 single-wide offers modern upgrades throughout with peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy a brand NEW HVAC (2026), NEW water heater (2026), NEW septic system (2023), and a metal roof (2019). Step inside to find all new sub-flooring and stunning luxury click-and-lock laminate flooring flowing through an open, inviting floor plan. The completely updated kitchen features new cabinets, countertops, and appliances--perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Situated just off a paved road on the outskirts of town, you'll enjoy a quiet setting while still being close to everything. With major systems already updated, this home is ideal for buyers looking for low-maintenance living at an affordable price. Don't miss this opportunity--schedule your showing today! 2nd set Home

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Fully updated
  • New hvac

Tags

FULLY UPDATEDNEW HVACNEW WATER HEATERNEW SEPTIC SYSTEMMETAL ROOFUPDATED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Lot size approximately 0.35 acres (1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
  • Financial info: No additional financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Faces East; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Water filtration system
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.5% in Starke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#336 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
  • Bradford (town): math 43% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #57 of 73 in FL (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bradford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.13%
Cash-on-cash
10.14%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$181,944
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14681 SE Cr 230a 0.18mi 2/2.0 (-1) 938 (-12%) 10mo $160,000 $171 58
14745 SE 25th Ln 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,104 (+4%) 23mo $35,000 $32 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,617
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$25,403
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32091

Home prices YoY
-10.6%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,505 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $876/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$329

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,088
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $408 -5% $368 +0% $329 +5% $290 +10% $250
Rent -10% $210 -5% $269 +0% $329 +5% $388 +10% $448
Rate -1.0pp $399 -0.5pp $364 base $329 +0.5pp $293 +1.0pp $256

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $139,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,500 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,500 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,500 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,500 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,500 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,500 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,500 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,500 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,500 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,500 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,500 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,500 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,500 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $165,500 Active 29 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $165,500 Active 907-char remark
    Show marketing remark (907 chars)

    Move-in ready and FULLY UPDATED--this one is ready to be called HOME! This beautifully renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1990 single-wide offers modern upgrades throughout with peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy a brand NEW HVAC (2026), NEW water heater (2026), NEW septic system (2023), and a metal roof (2019). Step inside to find all new sub-flooring and stunning luxury click-and-lock laminate flooring flowing through an open, inviting floor plan. The completely updated kitchen features new cabinets, countertops, and appliances--perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Situated just off a paved road on the outskirts of town, you'll enjoy a quiet setting while still being close to everything. With major systems already updated, this home is ideal for buyers looking for low-maintenance living at an affordable price. Don't miss this opportunity--schedule your showing today! 2nd set Home

  18. 2026-05-01
    listed $165,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (907 chars)

    Move-in ready and FULLY UPDATED--this one is ready to be called HOME! This beautifully renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1990 single-wide offers modern upgrades throughout with peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy a brand NEW HVAC (2026), NEW water heater (2026), NEW septic system (2023), and a metal roof (2019). Step inside to find all new sub-flooring and stunning luxury click-and-lock laminate flooring flowing through an open, inviting floor plan. The completely updated kitchen features new cabinets, countertops, and appliances--perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Situated just off a paved road on the outskirts of town, you'll enjoy a quiet setting while still being close to everything. With major systems already updated, this home is ideal for buyers looking for low-maintenance living at an affordable price. Don't miss this opportunity--schedule your showing today! 2nd set Home

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$876 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,154 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$278/yr (+$23/mo · 31.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,056
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$876
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,444
− Management
−$1,444
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$1,767
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$424
After-tax cash flow
$3,522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bradford
NCES district ID
1200120
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$41,661
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4840
State rank
#57 of 73 in FL

Livability — Starke

Score
72/100
State rank
#336
US rank
#5839

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
16,062
Population (ZIP)
16,062

Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,999 people
By 2030
23,895 · -4.4%
By 2040
21,329 · -14.7%
By 2050
18,681 · -25.3%
By 2075
13,557 · -45.8%
By 2100
9,228 · -63.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Mexico, Jamaica
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bradford

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.1% · R 78.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.3pp · 2024: -57.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.2 2020: R+52.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+42.1 2008: R+40.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.09%
Current HPI
305.3668
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $165,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $165,500 realMLS

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $876 · +44.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…