14512 SE County Road 230a · Starke, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready and FULLY UPDATED--this one is ready to be called HOME! This beautifully renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1990 single-wide offers modern upgrades throughout with peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy a brand NEW HVAC (2026), NEW water heater (2026), NEW septic system (2023), and a metal roof (2019). Step inside to find all new sub-flooring and stunning luxury click-and-lock laminate flooring flowing through an open, inviting floor plan. The completely updated kitchen features new cabinets, countertops, and appliances--perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Situated just off a paved road on the outskirts of town, you'll enjoy a quiet setting while still being close to everything. With major systems already updated, this home is ideal for buyers looking for low-maintenance living at an affordable price. Don't miss this opportunity--schedule your showing today! 2nd set Home
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Fully updated
- New hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Lot size approximately 0.35 acres (1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
- Financial info: No additional financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Faces East; Entry level: One
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Water filtration system
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.5% in Starke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#336 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
- Bradford (town): math 43% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #57 of 73 in FL (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bradford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.14%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $181,944
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14681 SE Cr 230a | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 938 (-12%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $171 | 58 |
| 14745 SE 25th Ln | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (+4%) | 23mo | $35,000 | $32 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,617
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $25,403
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32091
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,505 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $876/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $329
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $408 | -5% $368 | +0% $329 | +5% $290 | +10% $250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $210 | -5% $269 | +0% $329 | +5% $388 | +10% $448 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $399 | -0.5pp $364 | base $329 | +0.5pp $293 | +1.0pp $256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $139,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$165,500 Active 907-char remark
Show marketing remark (907 chars)
Move-in ready and FULLY UPDATED--this one is ready to be called HOME! This beautifully renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1990 single-wide offers modern upgrades throughout with peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy a brand NEW HVAC (2026), NEW water heater (2026), NEW septic system (2023), and a metal roof (2019). Step inside to find all new sub-flooring and stunning luxury click-and-lock laminate flooring flowing through an open, inviting floor plan. The completely updated kitchen features new cabinets, countertops, and appliances--perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Situated just off a paved road on the outskirts of town, you'll enjoy a quiet setting while still being close to everything. With major systems already updated, this home is ideal for buyers looking for low-maintenance living at an affordable price. Don't miss this opportunity--schedule your showing today! 2nd set Home
-
2026-05-01$165,500 Active
Show marketing remark (907 chars)
Move-in ready and FULLY UPDATED--this one is ready to be called HOME! This beautifully renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1990 single-wide offers modern upgrades throughout with peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy a brand NEW HVAC (2026), NEW water heater (2026), NEW septic system (2023), and a metal roof (2019). Step inside to find all new sub-flooring and stunning luxury click-and-lock laminate flooring flowing through an open, inviting floor plan. The completely updated kitchen features new cabinets, countertops, and appliances--perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Situated just off a paved road on the outskirts of town, you'll enjoy a quiet setting while still being close to everything. With major systems already updated, this home is ideal for buyers looking for low-maintenance living at an affordable price. Don't miss this opportunity--schedule your showing today! 2nd set Home
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $876 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,154 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$278/yr (+$23/mo · 31.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,056
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$876
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,444
- − Management
- −$1,444
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $1,767
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$424
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bradford
- NCES district ID
- 1200120
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,661
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4840
- State rank
- #57 of 73 in FL
Livability — Starke
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #336
- US rank
- #5839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 16,062
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,062
Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,999 people
- By 2030
- 23,895 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 21,329 · -14.7%
- By 2050
- 18,681 · -25.3%
- By 2075
- 13,557 · -45.8%
- By 2100
- 9,228 · -63.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Mexico, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bradford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.1% · R 78.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.3pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+52.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+42.1 2008: R+40.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.09%
- Current HPI
- 305.3668
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $165,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $165,500 realMLS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $876 · +44.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…