514 Franklin St · Colonial Beach, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +6.9/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your new home! Don’t miss out on the chance to own a piece of history with this charming 1950s bungalow. Schedule your private tour today to experience the warmth and character of this wonderful home which offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for family living, that second vacation cottage or moving into your next chapter. Built in 1950 this home has been recently renovated and well maintained. Just waiting for you to move in. Located in the heart of Colonial Beach this delightful home combines classic mid-century design with modern conveniences, offering a cozy and inviting space perfect for making lasting memories. Close to parks, schools, and shopping centers you’re sure to enjoy easy access to local events, farmers’ markets, and a nearby community center
Key facts
- Built 1950
- Listed 47 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric power
- Home design: Detached property; Effective year of major remodel 2025; Year built estimated
- Construction: Combination construction materials; Composite roof; Crawl space foundation; Above-grade other structures
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) for heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $319k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($498/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $284k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $284k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.4% in Colonial Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#460 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: schools B, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Colonial Beach Public School District (town): math 42% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #82 of 131 in VA (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 220 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,843/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 126% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westmoreland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($309k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $255k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.56%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $314,535
- List price
- $319,000
- Delta
- 1.42%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608 Kintz St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 920 (-8%) | 5mo | $277,500 | $302 | 71 |
| 1115 Mckinney Blvd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,022 (+2%) | 7mo | $289,999 | $284 | 68 |
| 119 1st St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 962 (-4%) | 9mo | $279,000 | $290 | 68 |
| 418 Lincoln Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,084 (+8%) | 13mo | $314,500 | $290 | 67 |
| 114 5th St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 975 (-2%) | 6mo | $294,000 | $302 | 62 |
| 310 Franklin St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-9%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $274 | 62 |
| 517 Billingsley | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+14%) | 8mo | $172,800 | $151 | 60 |
| 618 Franklin St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,103 (+10%) | 20mo | $315,000 | $286 | 57 |
| 150 5th | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 981 (-2%) | 15mo | $290,000 | $296 | 57 |
| 309 2nd St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 928 (-7%) | 12mo | $269,500 | $290 | 55 |
| 126 5th St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+12%) | 20mo | $310,000 | $277 | 39 |
| 300 Weems | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+10%) | 6mo | $375,000 | $341 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-49,003
- Equity at exit
- $47,564
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-39,091
- Equity at exit
- $27,581
Cash invested: $89,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 22443
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,843 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,673
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$399 /mo · $4,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$597
- Net cashflow
- $42
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,750
- Closing costs
- $9,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520 Jackson St Colonial Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,900 | $2.42 | 11d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3214 Riverview Dr Colonial Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $2,150 | $1.72 | 12d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 217 Mimosa Ave Colonial Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,895 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $319,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $319,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $319,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $319,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $319,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $319,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $319,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $319,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $319,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $319,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $319,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $319,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $319,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $319,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-03$329,900 Active 982-char remark
-
2026-04-30historical $329,900 982-char remark
-
2024-08-16soldstatus $255,000 Closed 803-char remark
Show marketing remark (803 chars)
Welcome to your new home! Don’t miss out on the chance to own a piece of history with this charming 1950s bungalow. Schedule your private tour today to experience the warmth and character of this wonderful home which offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for family living, that second vacation cottage or moving into your next chapter. Built in 1950 this home has been recently renovated and well maintained. Just waiting for you to move in. Located in the heart of Colonial Beach this delightful home combines classic mid-century design with modern conveniences, offering a cozy and inviting space perfect for making lasting memories. Close to parks, schools, and shopping centers you’re sure to enjoy easy access to local events, farmers’ markets, and a nearby community center
-
2024-07-26historical Active Under Contract 803-char remark
Show marketing remark (803 chars)
Welcome to your new home! Don’t miss out on the chance to own a piece of history with this charming 1950s bungalow. Schedule your private tour today to experience the warmth and character of this wonderful home which offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for family living, that second vacation cottage or moving into your next chapter. Built in 1950 this home has been recently renovated and well maintained. Just waiting for you to move in. Located in the heart of Colonial Beach this delightful home combines classic mid-century design with modern conveniences, offering a cozy and inviting space perfect for making lasting memories. Close to parks, schools, and shopping centers you’re sure to enjoy easy access to local events, farmers’ markets, and a nearby community center
-
2024-07-10$259,900 Active 803-char remark
Show marketing remark (803 chars)
Welcome to your new home! Don’t miss out on the chance to own a piece of history with this charming 1950s bungalow. Schedule your private tour today to experience the warmth and character of this wonderful home which offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfect for family living, that second vacation cottage or moving into your next chapter. Built in 1950 this home has been recently renovated and well maintained. Just waiting for you to move in. Located in the heart of Colonial Beach this delightful home combines classic mid-century design with modern conveniences, offering a cozy and inviting space perfect for making lasting memories. Close to parks, schools, and shopping centers you’re sure to enjoy easy access to local events, farmers’ markets, and a nearby community center
-
2022-12-14historical
-
2022-09-16soldstatus $215,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
This 4-bedroom home has a spacious front porch to sip your morning coffee/tea or waive at the neighbors. The backyard is large enough for playing with pets, hosting a happy hour, or enjoying quiet solitude. With new flooring, new washer/dryer, and fresh paint, very little needs to be done. All this just a few short blocks to the beach!
-
2022-08-01historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
This 4-bedroom home has a spacious front porch to sip your morning coffee/tea or waive at the neighbors. The backyard is large enough for playing with pets, hosting a happy hour, or enjoying quiet solitude. With new flooring, new washer/dryer, and fresh paint, very little needs to be done. All this just a few short blocks to the beach!
-
2022-07-19$215,000 Active
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
This 4-bedroom home has a spacious front porch to sip your morning coffee/tea or waive at the neighbors. The backyard is large enough for playing with pets, hosting a happy hour, or enjoying quiet solitude. With new flooring, new washer/dryer, and fresh paint, very little needs to be done. All this just a few short blocks to the beach!
-
2007-03-30soldstatus $170,000
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2007-02-12historical
-
2007-02-12$170,000
-
2004-09-30soldstatus $110,000
-
2004-08-14historical
-
2004-03-07$130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,118
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,869
- − Property taxes
- −$4,785
- − Insurance
- −$1,595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,729
- − Management
- −$2,729
- − Depreciation
- −$9,280
- Taxable loss
- −$4,870
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,169
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colonial Beach Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100930
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,397
- Composite
- 46.38/100
- National rank
- #2459
- State rank
- #82 of 131 in VA
Livability — Colonial Beach
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #460
- US rank
- #19615
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Colonial Beach, VA
- County
- Westmoreland County · 10,011 people
- City population
- 10,011
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,011
- Household income
- $64,810
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 126.0
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,643 people
- By 2030
- 17,520 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 17,041 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 16,397 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 15,012 · -14.9%
- By 2100
- 12,917 · -26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.5pp toward R · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+7.3 2012: D+0.5 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.23%
- Current HPI
- 152.1518
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+145.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $319,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-03 Listed $329,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $329,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-08-16 Sold (MLS) $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-07-26 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-07-10 Listed $259,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-12-14 Rental Removed — BRIGHTMLS
- 2022-09-16 Sold (MLS) $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-01 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-19 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-03-30 Sold (MLS) $170,000 MRIS
- 2007-02-12 Listed $170,000 MRIS
- 2007-02-12 Delisted — MRIS
- 2004-09-30 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MRIS
- 2004-08-14 Delisted — MRIS
- 2004-03-07 Listed $130,000 MRIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…