902 Laredo Ave · Medina, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$53,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your vision to this 1,550 square foot residence, a prime candidate for a complete transformation. While the property requires extensive renovations, it offers unique structural advantages including two separate carports. One features an oversized clearance specifically designed to accommodate a boat or high-profile vehicle. Whether you are looking for a high-potential flip or a custom rental project, this home provides the space and versatility to create something truly remarkable. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- Oversized clearance
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1987
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Manuel Medina Addition subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link and wood fencing; Level lot
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No central heating
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Carpet, tile, and vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $601 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,280 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Zapata County ISD (town): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #767 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($373 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Zapata County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.75%
- DSCR
- 3.12
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,239
- List price
- $53,900
- Delta
- -80.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.89×
- Total profit
- $43,689
- Equity at exit
- $23,056
- IRR
- 52.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.85×
- Total profit
- $103,412
- Equity at exit
- $34,641
Cash invested: $15,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78076
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,308 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$283
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,533/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $601
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $631 | -5% $616 | +0% $601 | +5% $585 | +10% $570 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $497 | -5% $549 | +0% $601 | +5% $652 | +10% $704 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $628 | -0.5pp $614 | base $601 | +0.5pp $587 | +1.0pp $572 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,475
- Closing costs
- $1,617
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $53,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $53,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $53,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $53,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $53,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $53,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $53,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $53,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $53,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $53,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $53,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$53,900 Active 504-char remark
-
2024-09-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,533 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,533 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,698
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,019
- − Property taxes
- −$1,533
- − Insurance
- −$270
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,256
- − Management
- −$1,256
- − Depreciation
- −$1,568
- Taxable income
- $6,796
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,631
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,575/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Zapata County ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4846710
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,189
- Composite
- 18.09/100
- National rank
- #8974
- State rank
- #767 of 826 in TX
Livability — Medina
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1280
- US rank
- #22294
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Medina, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,085
Population outlook (Zapata County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,795 people
- By 2030
- 14,837 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 14,759 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 14,316 · -3.2%
- By 2075
- 11,647 · -21.3%
- By 2100
- 7,265 · -50.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 94% Two or more races 52% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 89%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 16% English-only · Spanish 84% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Zapata
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.4) · D 38.5% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -58.0pp toward R · 2008: 35.6pp · 2024: -22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.4 2020: R+5.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+43.2 2008: D+35.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Current HPI
- 117.0315
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $53,900 LAOR
- 2026-05-12 Listed $53,900 LAOR
- 2024-09-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,533 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…