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997 Percy Johnson Rd
C- Composite 50.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$119,900

997 Percy Johnson Rd · White Hall, AL 36785
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,842 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1953 2.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid 4-sided brick family farmhouse with approximately 100 years of ownership. Rich in history and character, this property offers a rare opportunity to restore and modernize a true legacy home. The home features strong construction and classic farmhouse appeal, but will require TLC, updates, and repairs—ideal for buyers seeking value-add potential. Situated on 2± acres, to be surveyed and divided from a larger 43-acre tract. Enjoy a private, rural setting with flexibility to expand—additional acreage available for purchase (negotiable). Priced to sell—bring your vision and make this historic property your own.

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1953

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (3.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#515 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Lowndes County (rural): math 22% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #124 of 133 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lowndes County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.03%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$21,630
Equity at exit
$53,912
10-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$66,953
Equity at exit
$83,085

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36785

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,159 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,491/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,016
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $181 -5% $147 +0% $113 +5% $79 +10% $45
Rent -10% $21 -5% $67 +0% $113 +5% $159 +10% $204
Rate -1.0pp $173 -0.5pp $143 base $113 +0.5pp $82 +1.0pp $50

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-03-30
    listed $119,900 Active 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Solid 4-sided brick family farmhouse with approximately 100 years of ownership. Rich in history and character, this property offers a rare opportunity to restore and modernize a true legacy home. The home features strong construction and classic farmhouse appeal, but will require TLC, updates, and repairs—ideal for buyers seeking value-add potential. Situated on 2± acres, to be surveyed and divided from a larger 43-acre tract. Enjoy a private, rural setting with flexibility to expand—additional acreage available for purchase (negotiable). Priced to sell—bring your vision and make this historic property your own.

  17. 2026-03-19
    historical $119,900 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Solid 4-sided brick family farmhouse with approximately 100 years of ownership. Rich in history and character, this property offers a rare opportunity to restore and modernize a true legacy home. The home features strong construction and classic farmhouse appeal, but will require TLC, updates, and repairs—ideal for buyers seeking value-add potential. Situated on 2± acres, to be surveyed and divided from a larger 43-acre tract. Enjoy a private, rural setting with flexibility to expand—additional acreage available for purchase (negotiable). Priced to sell—bring your vision and make this historic property your own.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,491 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,491 · $124/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,911
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,491
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,113
− Management
−$1,113
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$610
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$146
After-tax cash flow
$1,500/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lowndes County
NCES district ID
0102160
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$28,508
Composite
20.29/100
National rank
#13821
State rank
#124 of 133 in AL

Livability — White Hall

Score
51/100
State rank
#515
US rank
#25318

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
969

Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,899 people
By 2030
8,133 · -8.6%
By 2040
6,789 · -23.7%
By 2050
5,785 · -35.0%
By 2075
4,745 · -46.7%
By 2100
4,957 · -44.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% White 16% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes

2024 margin
Solid D (+37.3) · D 68.4% · R 31.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.7pp toward R · 2008: 50.0pp · 2024: 37.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+37.3 2020: D+45.9 2016: D+46.9 2012: D+53.1 2008: D+50.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $119,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Coming Soon $119,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,491 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…