Duplex
3018 Grant Blvd · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Prime Location and Unique Multi-Use Investment Opportunity 2 family home with expanded off-street parking, includes adjacent lot for possible expansion. Oversized garage (could rent for storage or use has sewer/water hookup). New roof on house and garage. Prime location minutes from Destiny, Mets Stadium, downtown, hospitals, SU, highways. Watch fireworks at Stadium from your porch!
Key facts
- 6,204 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1890
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $240/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $226k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,524/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $240k implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.59%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $251,652
- List price
- $239,900
- Delta
- -4.67%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722-724 Lemoyne Ave | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,747 (+0%) | 11mo | $155,500 | $89 | 83 |
| 1210 Carbon St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,594 (-8%) | 10mo | $42,500 | $27 | 60 |
| 218-20 Turtle St | 0.65mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,698 (-2%) | 8mo | $106,500 | $63 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $161,232
- Equity at exit
- $216,121
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.71×
- Total profit
- $450,615
- Equity at exit
- $466,073
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13208
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 15.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,524 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,861/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $481
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $617 | -5% $549 | +0% $481 | +5% $413 | +10% $345 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $281 | -5% $381 | +0% $481 | +5% $581 | +10% $680 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $602 | -0.5pp $542 | base $481 | +0.5pp $419 | +1.0pp $355 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,524 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,262 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,262 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,524 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 286 Ross Park Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 130 Old Liverpool Rd Liverpool, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 126 Woodruff Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,675 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 106 Harrington St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,875 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 746 E Laurel St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $239,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $239,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-26$239,900 Active 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Prime Location and Unique Multi-Use Investment Opportunity 2 family home with expanded off-street parking, includes adjacent lot for possible expansion. Oversized garage (could rent for storage or use has sewer/water hookup). New roof on house and garage. Prime location minutes from Destiny, Mets Stadium, downtown, hospitals, SU, highways. Watch fireworks at Stadium from your porch!
-
2025-12-31historical
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2025-09-20price $249,900
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2025-04-30price $259,900
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2025-01-01price $279,900
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2024-07-13price $239,000
-
2024-05-24price $247,000
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2024-03-29historical $850
-
2024-03-07status Active
-
2024-01-31$850
-
2024-01-05historical
-
2023-06-14$199,900 Active
-
2005-12-20soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,861 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,958 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,097/yr (+$91/mo · 58.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,288
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$1,861
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,423
- − Management
- −$2,423
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable income
- $1,965
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$471
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,299/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,993
- Household income
- $44,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1437.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.91%
- Current HPI
- 399.3284
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+499.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listed $239,900 CNYIS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-09-20 Price Changed $249,900 CNYIS
- 2025-04-30 Price Changed $259,900 CNYIS
- 2025-01-01 Price Changed $279,900 CNYIS
- 2024-07-13 Price Changed $239,000 CNYIS
- 2024-05-24 Price Changed $247,000 CNYIS
- 2024-03-29 Rental Removed $850 NYSAMLS
- 2024-03-07 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2024-01-31 Listed for Rent $850 NYSAMLS
- 2024-01-05 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2023-06-14 Listed $199,900 CNYIS
- 2005-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,861 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…