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991 Ogden Ave
C- Composite 52.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

991 Ogden Ave · Benton Harbor, MI 49022
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1945 6,096 sqft lot $97/sqft · at area comps Est $91k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well cared for 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with 924 sq ft of living space. It features beautiful flooring throughout and plenty of natural light. This property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity over time. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways.

Key facts

  • 6,096 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1945

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Cape Cod style; Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1945; Wood siding; Composition roof; Living area approximately 924
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk on the lot; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (18 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (18 x 12); Second bedroom (14 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Total of 5 rooms; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($925 rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#671 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Benton Harbor Area Schools (urban): math 4% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #732 of 760 in MI (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.52%
Cash-on-cash
7.95%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,771
List price
$90,000
Delta
-0.85%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1190 Monroe St 0.25mi 3/1.0 908 (-2%) 2mo $62,500 $69 84
1250 Superior St 0.33mi 3/1.0 960 (+4%) 2mo $65,000 $68 76
1097 Pearl St 0.23mi 3/1.0 993 (+8%) 5mo $25,000 $25 73
791 Mcallister Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (-4%) 0mo $125,000 $141 68
1086 Union Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,044 (+13%) 2mo $80,000 $77 65
1221 Pearl St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 845 (-8%) 1mo $124,000 $147 64
1199 Monroe St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-9%) 4mo $129,900 $155 64
1342 Monroe St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 876 (-5%) 2mo $125,000 $143 64
973 Lavette Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-6%) 3mo $20,000 $23 61
1129 Jennings Ave 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,045 (+13%) 5mo $120,000 $115 60
1061 Agard Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+14%) 4mo $133,000 $127 59
177 Hastings Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+4%) 2mo $136,500 $142 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-3,970
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$10,149
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49022

Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$925 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $655/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $714
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $218 -5% $192 +0% $167 +5% $142 +10% $116
Rent -10% $94 -5% $130 +0% $167 +5% $204 +10% $240
Rate -1.0pp $212 -0.5pp $190 base $167 +0.5pp $144 +1.0pp $120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
797 Ogden Ave Benton Harbor, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.25mi
1903 Union Ave Benton Harbor, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 613 $1,107 $1.81 44d 2 1.27mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $90,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 21 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
  17. 2026-05-10
    listed $100,000 Active 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Welcome to this well cared for 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with 924 sq ft of living space. It features beautiful flooring throughout and plenty of natural light. This property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity over time. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways.

  18. 2026-05-10
    listed $100,000 Active 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Welcome to this well cared for 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with 924 sq ft of living space. It features beautiful flooring throughout and plenty of natural light. This property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity over time. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways.

  19. 2026-05-10
    listed $100,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Welcome to this well cared for 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with 924 sq ft of living space. It features beautiful flooring throughout and plenty of natural light. This property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity over time. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways.

  20. 2001-04-22
    listed $48,500
  21. 2001-04-22
    listed $48,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$655 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,020 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$366/yr (+$30/mo · 55.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,104
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$655
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$888
− Management
−$888
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$563
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$135
After-tax cash flow
$1,869/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Benton Harbor Area Schools
NCES district ID
2604830
Math proficiency
4% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$27,038
Composite
7.53/100
National rank
#14787
State rank
#732 of 760 in MI

Livability — Benton Harbor

Score
55/100
State rank
#671
US rank
#23724

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Benton Harbor, MI
Population (ZIP)
29,796

Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
149,273 people
By 2030
145,211 · -2.7%
By 2040
135,435 · -9.3%
By 2050
125,543 · -15.9%
By 2075
103,986 · -30.3%
By 2100
82,256 · -44.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Berrien

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -309.81%
Current HPI
209.9723
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $90,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $100,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-04-22 Listed $48,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2001-04-22 Listed $48,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $655 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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