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3062 Michelle Dr
B Composite 74.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$100,000

3062 Michelle Dr · Chester, SC 29014
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,611 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 245 Days on market
Built 1904 2.41 ac lot ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special or rebuild opportunity! This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home sits on 2.4 acres and includes a basement, storage shed, and an additional building once used as a store. The property was impacted by a fire in September 2024 and is ready for someone with vision to restore or rebuild to its full potential. Well and septic are already installed on the property. Conveniently located approximately 10 minutes from Chester and just 15 minutes from I-77, this property offers peaceful rural living with easy access to nearby towns. Home is SOLD AS IS!! * * * * Seller is extremely motivated and welcomes all offers * * * * *

Key facts

  • Well and septic
  • Storage shed
  • Additional building

Tags

STORAGE SHEDADDITIONAL BUILDINGWELL AND SEPTIC

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Well water (and other - see remarks); Septic system installed
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two levels; Basement entry level; Site built
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Located on a publicly maintained dirt/gravel road; Lot approximately 2.407 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (2 on main level, 2 on upper level)
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Fireplace; Room count: 4
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer/Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $734 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 2.7% in Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#344 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Fairfield 01 (rural): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #53 of 80 in SC (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Fairfield County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 43% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
15.10%
Cash-on-cash
31.44%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.5%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$59,643
Equity at exit
$45,925
10-year hold
IRR
37.4%
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$145,697
Equity at exit
$71,531

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29014

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,684 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $367/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$734

Break-even live

Break-even rent $755
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 245 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 244 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 243 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 242 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 240 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 239 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 237 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 236 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 235 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 234 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 230 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 229 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 228 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 227 DOM
  15. 2026-01-14
    price $100,000
  16. 2026-01-09
    price $60,000
  17. 2025-10-17
    listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$367 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$570 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$203/yr (+$17/mo · 55.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 43% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,208
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$367
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,617
− Management
−$1,617
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$7,596
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,823
After-tax cash flow
$6,981/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairfield 01
NCES district ID
4502100
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$34,836
Composite
26.37/100
National rank
#7232
State rank
#53 of 80 in SC

Livability — Chester

Score
52/100
State rank
#344
US rank
#24754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety D- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,229

Population outlook (Fairfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,017 people
By 2030
19,778 · -5.9%
By 2040
16,973 · -19.2%
By 2050
14,251 · -32.2%
By 2075
9,195 · -56.2%
By 2100
5,722 · -72.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 18% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 12%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fairfield

2024 margin
D (+13.2) · D 56.0% · R 42.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-18.4pp toward R · 2008: 31.7pp · 2024: 13.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.2 2020: D+22.7 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+31.6 2008: D+31.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.17%
Current HPI
358.1915
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $100,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $60,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $150,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $367 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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