703 N Dudley Ave #1203 · Ventnor City, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,988
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CAPTIVATING, SPACIOUS, RENOVATED UNIT AT THE DREAM BAY! 805 Sq Ft. This lovely one bedroom, one bath features refinished hardwood floors, Italian tiles newer kitchen, newer bath and more! Freshly painted, new blinds, new lighting fixtures! JUST MOVE-IN AND ENJOY! Terrace with garden view. Stack-able washer/dryer, gas in unit. Lots of closets! First floor. Perfect for first-time home buyers, a beach getaway or for investment! Call today!
Key facts
- Newer kitchen
- Italian tiles
- Newer bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $846 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.1% in Ventnor City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#202 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A-, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Ventnor City School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #266 of 472 in NJ (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+57.3%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,084/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 329% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $160k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.66%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,567
- List price
- $159,988
- Delta
- -2.19%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $44,595
- Equity at exit
- $23,855
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.10×
- Total profit
- $183,780
- Equity at exit
- $13,833
Cash invested: $44,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08406
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 57.3%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,084 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$599
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$648
- Net cashflow
- $846
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,997
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 N Dorset Ave Unit 1309019P Ventnor City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $3,457 | $5.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 16 N Sacramento Ave Unit 2 Ventnor City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,600 | $2.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 101 S Victoria Ave Unit B1 Ventnor City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,100 | $3.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 21 S Windsor Ave Unit b1 Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,650 | $2.58 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 101 S Raleigh Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $10,125 | $13.78 | 13d | 7 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $599 · $7,188/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-19days on market $159,988 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $159,988 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $159,988 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $159,988 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $159,988 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $159,988 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $159,988 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $159,988 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $159,988 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $159,988 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $159,988 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $159,988 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $159,988 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $159,988 Active 129 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $159,988 Active 128 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $159,988 Active 127 DOM
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2026-01-23$159,988 Active 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
CAPTIVATING, SPACIOUS, RENOVATED UNIT AT THE DREAM BAY! 805 Sq Ft. This lovely one bedroom, one bath features refinished hardwood floors, Italian tiles newer kitchen, newer bath and more! Freshly painted, new blinds, new lighting fixtures! JUST MOVE-IN AND ENJOY! Terrace with garden view. Stack-able washer/dryer, gas in unit. Lots of closets! First floor. Perfect for first-time home buyers, a beach getaway or for investment! Call today!
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2022-07-08soldstatus $60,000
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1988-12-05soldstatus $61,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,025 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,504 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,479/yr (+$123/mo · 144.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$1,025
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,960
- − Management
- −$2,960
- − HOA
- −$7,188
- − Depreciation
- −$4,654
- Taxable income
- $8,454
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,029
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,123/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ventnor City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416680
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,220
- Composite
- 32.96/100
- National rank
- #5588
- State rank
- #266 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Ventnor City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #5716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ventnor City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- City population
- 8,972
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,972
- Household income
- $69,099
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 9% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.99%
- Current HPI
- 449.3494
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 57.28%
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+160.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-23 Listed $159,988 SJSRMLS
- 2022-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1988-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,025 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…