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1866 County Rd 31
B Composite 70.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

1866 County Rd 31 · Chesapeake, OH 45619
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1963 1.40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3 bedroom home sits on approximately 1.4 acres with an additional homesite that already has a septic, water tap and electric hookup per seller. Plenty of parking or room for your boat, etc. . Wood floors in Living room and bedrooms. This property provides the perfect balance of rural privacy and convenient access to nearby amenities.

Key facts

  • 1.4 acres
  • Additional homesite
  • Electric hookup

Tags

1.4 ACRESADDITIONAL HOMESITESEPTICWATER TAPELECTRIC HOOKUPRURAL PRIVACY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Rolling slope, level, sloped and wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Floor furnace heating; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Range, Oven, Refrigerator; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#39 in OH, #392 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment C-.
  • Chesapeake Union Exempted Village (suburban): math 40% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #461 of 656 in OH (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Chesapeake High School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #528 of 781 statewide, top 71%, 310 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 50% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
13.39%
Cash-on-cash
25.34%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$18,299
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$61,442
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45619

Home prices YoY
-10.6%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,597 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $554/yr
Insurance
$44
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$554

Break-even live

Break-even rent $895
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $105,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-05-29
    listed $105,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$554 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,096 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$542/yr (+$45/mo · 97.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,159
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$554
− Insurance
−$1,322
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,533
− Management
−$1,533
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$5,280
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,267
After-tax cash flow
$5,384/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chesapeake Union Exempted Village
NCES district ID
3904529
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,731
Composite
41.16/100
National rank
#3553
State rank
#461 of 656 in OH

Livability — Chesapeake

Score
86/100
State rank
#39
US rank
#392

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lawrence · 57,020 people
Metro
Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
Population (ZIP)
7,273
Household income
$57,525
Rent vs Own
20.1% rent · 79.9% own
Severe rent burden
17.4

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,915 people
By 2030
55,650 · -3.9%
By 2040
50,523 · -12.8%
By 2050
45,103 · -22.1%
By 2075
32,441 · -44.0%
By 2100
21,754 · -62.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.4% · R 74.9%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -50.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.15%
Current HPI
170.5086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $105,000 HBRMLS

Property tax history

+13.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $554 · +158.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…