1866 County Rd 31 · Chesapeake, OH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3 bedroom home sits on approximately 1.4 acres with an additional homesite that already has a septic, water tap and electric hookup per seller. Plenty of parking or room for your boat, etc. . Wood floors in Living room and bedrooms. This property provides the perfect balance of rural privacy and convenient access to nearby amenities.
Key facts
- 1.4 acres
- Additional homesite
- Electric hookup
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Rolling slope, level, sloped and wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Floor furnace heating; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Range, Oven, Refrigerator; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#39 in OH, #392 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Chesapeake Union Exempted Village (suburban): math 40% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #461 of 656 in OH (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Chesapeake High School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #528 of 781 statewide, top 71%, 310 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 50% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.34%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $18,299
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $61,442
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45619
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $554/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $554
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $105,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$105,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $554 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,096 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$542/yr (+$45/mo · 97.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$554
- − Insurance
- −$1,322
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $5,280
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,267
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesapeake Union Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904529
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,731
- Composite
- 41.16/100
- National rank
- #3553
- State rank
- #461 of 656 in OH
Livability — Chesapeake
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #392
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lawrence · 57,020 people
- Metro
- Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,273
- Household income
- $57,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17.4
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,915 people
- By 2030
- 55,650 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 50,523 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 45,103 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 32,441 · -44.0%
- By 2100
- 21,754 · -62.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.4% · R 74.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -50.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.15%
- Current HPI
- 170.5086
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $105,000 HBRMLS
Property tax history
+13.3%/yrLatest (2025): $554 · +158.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…