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109 Bailey Ave
B Composite 71.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$85,000

109 Bailey Ave · Quitman, MS 39355
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,252 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1963 0.53 ac lot ↓ 40% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4-bedroom, 3-bathroom home featuring a living room, kitchen, dining area, back porch, and a spacious backyard. This property offers plenty of potential for updates and improvements to suit your needs and personal style. Don't miss this opportunity to make this property your own.

Key facts

  • 0.53 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1963

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached parking; 1-space carport; Total 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; House; One level
  • Construction: Wood siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Lot approximately 0.53 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Oven
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range; Oven; Central heating; Central air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#153 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Quitman School District (rural): math 13% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #106 of 130 in MS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $130 of equity ($588 loan paydown + $-458 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Clarke County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.37%
Cash-on-cash
21.72%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,964
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 E Church St 0.13mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,316 (+3%) 6mo $248,000 $107 71
100 Patton Pl 0.36mi 4/3.0 2,336 (+4%) 22mo $190,000 $81 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$22,838
Equity at exit
$22,414
10-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
3.69×
Total profit
$64,106
Equity at exit
$25,193

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39355

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,296 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,341/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $750
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $479 -5% $455 +0% $431 +5% $407 +10% $383
Rent -10% $328 -5% $380 +0% $431 +5% $482 +10% $533
Rate -1.0pp $474 -0.5pp $452 base $431 +0.5pp $409 +1.0pp $386

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    remarks 279-char remark
  3. 2026-06-19
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,341 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,341 · $112/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,549
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,341
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,244
− Management
−$1,244
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$4,061
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$975
After-tax cash flow
$4,194/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quitman School District
NCES district ID
2803780
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$30,062
Composite
12.26/100
National rank
#9646
State rank
#106 of 130 in MS

Livability — Quitman

Score
63/100
State rank
#153
US rank
#15260

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Quitman, MS
Population (ZIP)
6,056

Population outlook (Clarke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,792 people
By 2030
14,085 · -4.8%
By 2040
12,619 · -14.7%
By 2050
11,225 · -24.1%
By 2075
8,511 · -42.5%
By 2100
6,820 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 32% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clarke

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.2) · D 32.1% · R 67.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: -25.1pp · 2024: -35.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.2 2020: R+30.9 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+25.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.54%
Current HPI
110.0748
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-40.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $85,000 MLSU
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $85,000 EMR
  • 2026-03-20 Relisted EMR
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $90,000 EMR
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $93,000 EMR
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $95,000 EMR
  • 2024-02-23 Sold (MLS) EMR
  • 2023-12-01 Contingent EMR
  • 2023-11-01 Price Changed $155,000 EMR
  • 2023-09-01 Relisted EMR
  • 2023-09-01 Price Changed $169,000 EMR
  • 2023-08-24 Delisted EMR
  • 2023-03-08 Listed $173,900 EMR
  • 2021-08-10 Sold (MLS) EMR
  • 2021-04-09 Listed $142,500 EMR

Property tax history

+21.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,341 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…