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638 Luzerne St Triplex
B Composite 72.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$252,500

638 Luzerne St · Westmont, PA 15905
None bd · None ba · 4,688 sqft · MultiFamily · 2 Days on market
8,000 sqft lot Est $263k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

YOU WON'T FIND A NICER MULT-UNIT than this brick 3-story. Located on a corner lot on historic Luzerne Street in Westmont, this beautiful home features 3 separate apartments. Old-world charm with all of the modern conveniences of today. Beautiful woodwork stained and beveled glass windows/doors. Gorgeous newly updated kitchens with all newer appliances. Enclosed sunroom access in rear for all 3 floors. Full basement with laundry facilities. Large 3 car detached garage. Just steps away from Stackhouse Park and trails.

Key facts

  • Historic westmont
  • Updated kitchens
  • Original woodwork

Tags

TREE-LINED LUZERNE STREETHISTORIC WESTMONTORIGINAL WOODWORKSTAINED AND BEVELED GLASSUPDATED KITCHENSENCLOSED REAR SUNROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community:

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached concrete parking
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Cable available; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property; Multi-family; 3 stories
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range/Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms:
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Ceramic tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms:
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Hot water heating; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $252k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $436/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $252k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#144 in PA, #1,167 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F.
  • Westmont Hilltop SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #252 of 539 in PA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,929/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 359% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $215k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $252,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
12.52%
Cash-on-cash
22.22%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$262,528
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
508 Luzerne St 0.13mi 9/5.0 4,919 (+5%) 10mo $275,000 $56 78
304 State St 0.72mi 8/4.0 5,140 (+10%) 15mo $265,800 $52 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$42,561
Equity at exit
$37,649
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$144,800
Equity at exit
$21,832

Cash invested: $70,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15905

Home prices YoY
-31.1%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
16.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,929 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,324
Tax from tax record
$365 /mo · $4,384/yr
Insurance
$105
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$825
Net cashflow
$1,309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,272
Max offer price $252,500
Occupancy floor 62%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $3,929

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,125
Closing costs
$7,575
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $252,500 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $252,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,384 · $365/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,384 · $365/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$47,148
− Mortgage interest
−$14,144
− Property taxes
−$4,384
− Insurance
−$1,262
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,772
− Management
−$3,772
− Depreciation
−$7,345
Taxable income
$12,469
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,992
After-tax cash flow
$12,719/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westmont Hilltop SD
NCES district ID
4226130
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$59,325
Composite
39.49/100
National rank
#3955
State rank
#252 of 539 in PA

Livability — Westmont

Score
82/100
State rank
#144
US rank
#1167

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westmont, PA
County
Cambria County · 30,791 people
City population
30,791
Metro
Johnstown, PA
Population (ZIP)
19,329
Household income
$69,212
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
359.0

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.18%
Current HPI
142.5218
Rent YoY
Metro
Johnstown, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+271.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $252,500 CSMLS
  • 2022-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
  • 2022-03-17 Sold (MLS) $215,000 CSMLS
  • 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
  • 1985-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,384 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…