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230 Fairview Ave W Unit 3
B Composite 70.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

230 Fairview Ave W Unit 3 · Marietta, PA 17547
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1985 $107/sqft · 64% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Basic living in a very quiet Marietta park. If you are handy, you can have a very nice home after renovations. The roof and HVAC are solid but this home needs flooring, paint probably kitchen and bath upgrades. If you are a flipper, you could be in and out of this in a week and make a nice profit.

Key facts

  • Built 1985
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is recorded under other ownership interest
  • HOA & community: Monthly community fee of $400; Community fee includes water, sewer and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric available; Natural gas available; Cable TV available
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Estimated year of major remodel 2026; Entry level: main floor; Exterior finished above grade
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Manufactured structure; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Located in Fairview Mobile Home Park; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed with no restrictions

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; No basement; Property in excellent condition; Property manager on site
  • Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $798 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#347 in PA, #3,048 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Donegal SD (rural): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #251 of 539 in PA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Donegal Intermediate School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #815 of 1,518 statewide, top 56%, 833 students, 50% FRL); Donegal Jhs (math 26% / reading 53%, grade F, #268 of 512 statewide, top 53%, 457 students, 49% FRL); Donegal Hs (math 62% / reading 30%, grade D-, #178 of 437 statewide, top 42%, 930 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 30% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $90k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,203 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
16.95%
Cash-on-cash
38.07%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$252,078
List price
$89,900
Delta
-64.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$36,255
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
41.0%
Equity multiple
4.85×
Total profit
$96,918
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17547

Home prices YoY
-31.0%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,676 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$16 /mo · $196/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$798

Break-even live

Break-even rent $665
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $849 -5% $824 +0% $798 +5% $773 +10% $640
Rent -10% $666 -5% $732 +0% $798 +5% $865 +10% $931
Rate -1.0pp $844 -0.5pp $821 base $798 +0.5pp $775 +1.0pp $751

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
108 Essex St Marietta, PA 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,700 $1.70 25d 1 0.23mi
421 W Market St Marietta, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 881 $1,725 $1.96 15d 1 0.31mi
379 Rivermoor Dr Marietta, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1020 $1,325 $1.30 15d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,900 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 23 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,900 Active 22 DOM
  18. 2026-05-08
    listed $99,000 Active 385-char remark
  19. 2026-02-20
    soldstatus $20,000 Closed 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Basic living in a very quiet Marietta park. If you are handy, you can have a very nice home after renovations. The roof and HVAC are solid but this home needs flooring, paint probably kitchen and bath upgrades. If you are a flipper, you could be in and out of this in a week and make a nice profit.

  20. 2026-02-05
    status Pending 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Basic living in a very quiet Marietta park. If you are handy, you can have a very nice home after renovations. The roof and HVAC are solid but this home needs flooring, paint probably kitchen and bath upgrades. If you are a flipper, you could be in and out of this in a week and make a nice profit.

  21. 2026-02-03
    listed $20,000 Active 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Basic living in a very quiet Marietta park. If you are handy, you can have a very nice home after renovations. The roof and HVAC are solid but this home needs flooring, paint probably kitchen and bath upgrades. If you are a flipper, you could be in and out of this in a week and make a nice profit.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$196 · $16/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$808 · $67/mo
Expected delta
+$612/yr (+$51/mo · 312.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,107
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$196
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,609
− Management
−$1,609
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$8,593
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,062
After-tax cash flow
$7,519/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Donegal SD
NCES district ID
4207650
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$60,514
Composite
39.56/100
National rank
#3935
State rank
#251 of 539 in PA

Livability — Marietta

Score
77/100
State rank
#347
US rank
#3048

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B- Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marietta, PA
Population (ZIP)
9,100

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
561,011 people
By 2030
570,969 · +1.8%
By 2040
585,929 · +4.4%
By 2050
591,056 · +5.4%
By 2075
594,747 · +6.0%
By 2100
558,850 · -0.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

2024 margin
R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.50%
Current HPI
257.1115
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+349.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Price Changed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $94,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Sold (MLS) $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-05 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-2.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $196 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…