230 Fairview Ave W Unit 3 · Marietta, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Basic living in a very quiet Marietta park. If you are handy, you can have a very nice home after renovations. The roof and HVAC are solid but this home needs flooring, paint probably kitchen and bath upgrades. If you are a flipper, you could be in and out of this in a week and make a nice profit.
Key facts
- Built 1985
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is recorded under other ownership interest
- HOA & community: Monthly community fee of $400; Community fee includes water, sewer and trash
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric available; Natural gas available; Cable TV available
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Estimated year of major remodel 2026; Entry level: main floor; Exterior finished above grade
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Manufactured structure; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Located in Fairview Mobile Home Park; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed with no restrictions
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; No basement; Property in excellent condition; Property manager on site
- Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $798 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#347 in PA, #3,048 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Donegal SD (rural): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #251 of 539 in PA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Donegal Intermediate School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #815 of 1,518 statewide, top 56%, 833 students, 50% FRL); Donegal Jhs (math 26% / reading 53%, grade F, #268 of 512 statewide, top 53%, 457 students, 49% FRL); Donegal Hs (math 62% / reading 30%, grade D-, #178 of 437 statewide, top 42%, 930 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 30% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $90k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.07%
- DSCR
- 2.69
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,078
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -64.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $36,255
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 41.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $96,918
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17547
- Home prices YoY
- -31.0%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,676 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $196/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $798
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $849 | -5% $824 | +0% $798 | +5% $773 | +10% $640 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $666 | -5% $732 | +0% $798 | +5% $865 | +10% $931 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $844 | -0.5pp $821 | base $798 | +0.5pp $775 | +1.0pp $751 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Essex St Marietta, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 421 W Market St Marietta, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $1,725 | $1.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 379 Rivermoor Dr Marietta, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1020 | $1,325 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $94,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$99,000 Active 385-char remark
-
2026-02-20soldstatus $20,000 Closed 298-char remark
Show marketing remark (298 chars)
Basic living in a very quiet Marietta park. If you are handy, you can have a very nice home after renovations. The roof and HVAC are solid but this home needs flooring, paint probably kitchen and bath upgrades. If you are a flipper, you could be in and out of this in a week and make a nice profit.
-
2026-02-05status Pending 298-char remark
Show marketing remark (298 chars)
Basic living in a very quiet Marietta park. If you are handy, you can have a very nice home after renovations. The roof and HVAC are solid but this home needs flooring, paint probably kitchen and bath upgrades. If you are a flipper, you could be in and out of this in a week and make a nice profit.
-
2026-02-03$20,000 Active 298-char remark
Show marketing remark (298 chars)
Basic living in a very quiet Marietta park. If you are handy, you can have a very nice home after renovations. The roof and HVAC are solid but this home needs flooring, paint probably kitchen and bath upgrades. If you are a flipper, you could be in and out of this in a week and make a nice profit.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $196 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $808 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- +$612/yr (+$51/mo · 312.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,107
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$196
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,609
- − Management
- −$1,609
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $8,593
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,062
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,519/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Donegal SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207650
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,514
- Composite
- 39.56/100
- National rank
- #3935
- State rank
- #251 of 539 in PA
Livability — Marietta
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #347
- US rank
- #3048
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marietta, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,100
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.50%
- Current HPI
- 257.1115
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+349.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Price Changed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $94,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-20 Sold (MLS) $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2026): $196 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…