CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
719 State Road 26
C Composite 58.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

719 State Road 26 · Keystone Heights, FL 32666
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1983 2.04 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom second set-up mobile home with a permitted addition sits on just over 2 acres and offers plenty of space both inside and out. Metal roof and septic tank new in 2023 adds peace of mind for future owners. The home previously had central heat and air, and while newer flooring was installed, the vents were left in place for easy future reconnection if desired. Outside, the property features a pole barn located just behind the home, providing great space for storage, equipment, or hobbies. Zoned agricultural, this property offers flexibility for a variety of uses. Conveniently located with easy access to Palatka, Keystone Heights, and Gainesville, you'll enjoy a more private setting without being too far from town.

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Metal roof
  • Pole barn

Tags

METAL ROOFNEW SEPTIC TANKPOLE BARNZONED AGRICULTURALEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned RR; Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Manufactured Home; Total acreage between 2 and less than 5 acres
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Faces northeast; One level; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Construction: Metal siding; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built on pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; 2.04-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.7% in Keystone Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#109 in FL, #1,684 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $51k; list at $149k implies a 192% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.88%
Cash-on-cash
9.22%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-3,738
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$22,983
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32666

Home prices YoY
-5.4%
Active inventory
111
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,629 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$123 /mo · $1,476/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$321

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,223
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $405 -5% $363 +0% $321 +5% $278 +10% $236
Rent -10% $192 -5% $256 +0% $321 +5% $385 +10% $449
Rate -1.0pp $396 -0.5pp $359 base $321 +0.5pp $282 +1.0pp $243

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $149,000 Pending 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-05-08
    listed $149,000 Active
  11. 2026-05-04
    listed $149,000 Active 749-char remark
    Show marketing remark (749 chars)

    This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom second set-up mobile home with a permitted addition sits on just over 2 acres and offers plenty of space both inside and out. Metal roof and septic tank new in 2023 adds peace of mind for future owners. The home previously had central heat and air, and while newer flooring was installed, the vents were left in place for easy future reconnection if desired. Outside, the property features a pole barn located just behind the home, providing great space for storage, equipment, or hobbies. Zoned agricultural, this property offers flexibility for a variety of uses. Conveniently located with easy access to Palatka, Keystone Heights, and Gainesville, you'll enjoy a more private setting without being too far from town.

  12. 2004-08-20
    soldstatus $51,000
  13. 1992-11-01
    soldstatus $13,000
  14. 1991-05-01
    soldstatus $16,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,476 · $123/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,476 · $123/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,551
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$1,476
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,564
− Management
−$1,564
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable income
$1,521
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$365
After-tax cash flow
$3,483/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Putnam
NCES district ID
1201620
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$33,350
Composite
29.99/100
National rank
#6361
State rank
#66 of 73 in FL

Livability — Keystone Heights

Score
80/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#1684

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,542

Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,299 people
By 2030
61,255 · -6.2%
By 2040
52,930 · -18.9%
By 2050
45,051 · -31.0%
By 2075
28,720 · -56.0%
By 2100
15,852 · -75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 7% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Putnam

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.6 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.77%
Current HPI
314.0055
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+819.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $149,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $149,000 realMLS
  • 2004-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 1992-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 1991-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,476 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…