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444 Isabella Ave
A- Composite 80.86
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$60,000

444 Isabella Ave · North Charleroi, PA 15022
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,464 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 208 Days on market
Built 1920 4,399 sqft lot $41/sqft · 33% below area Est $90k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming Craftsman-Style Home – 3 Bed | 2 Bath | Detached Garage – $70,000 Step into the potential of this classic home, full of character and ready for restoration. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a detached garage, this property offers a floorplan with several customization possibilities. The home showcases signature Craftsman details - wide trim, built-ins, and timeless architectural charm - just waiting to be brought back to life. Ideal for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project, this property requires updates, with the most urgent being a new roof.

Key facts

  • Wide trim
  • Craftsman details
  • Architectural charm

Tags

CRAFTSMAN DETAILSWIDE TRIMBUILT-INSARCHITECTURAL CHARMNEW ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#379 in PA, #3,397 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Charleroi SD (rural): math 20% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $60k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $52,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
14.41%
Cash-on-cash
28.98%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,105
List price
$60,000
Delta
-33.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
719 Fourth St 0.13mi 3/3.0 1,456 (-0%) 11mo $37,000 $25 76
6 Mckinley Rd 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,480 (+1%) 10mo $16,000 $11 73
716 Highland Ave 0.32mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,343 (-8%) 1mo $177,000 $132 66
708 Monongahela Ave 0.32mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,605 (+10%) 5mo $25,750 $16 58
1013 Lower Meadow Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,504 (+3%) 24mo $25,000 $17 44
905 Lincoln Ave 0.73mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,312 (-10%) 15mo $41,000 $31 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
2.14×
Total profit
$19,171
Equity at exit
$12,131
10-year hold
IRR
32.0%
Equity multiple
4.15×
Total profit
$52,890
Equity at exit
$10,827

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15022

Home prices YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,117 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,646/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$406

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1204 Lower Meadow Ave Charleroi, PA 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,150 $1.12 1d 1 0.57mi
1022 McKean Ave Charleroi, PA 3.0 3.0 1344 $1,450 $1.08 1d 1 0.62mi
925 Leeds Ave Monessen, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $700 $0.70 14d 1 0.85mi
925 Leeds Ave Monessen, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $700 $0.70 1d 1 0.85mi
1221 Graham Ave Monessen, PA 3.0 1.0 960 $1,300 $1.35 1d 1 0.86mi
1136 Reservoir Ave Monessen, PA 3.0 2.0 1550 $650 $0.42 1d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 208 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 207 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 206 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 205 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $60,000 Active 203 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 199 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 198 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 197 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 194 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 193 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 192 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 191 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 190 DOM
  14. 2026-03-10
    price $65,000 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    Charming Craftsman-Style Home – 3 Bed | 2 Bath | Detached Garage – $70,000 Step into the potential of this classic home, full of character and ready for restoration. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a detached garage, this property offers a floorplan with several customization possibilities. The home showcases signature Craftsman details - wide trim, built-ins, and timeless architectural charm - just waiting to be brought back to life. Ideal for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project, this property requires updates, with the most urgent being a new roof.

  15. 2026-01-21
    price $67,500 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    Charming Craftsman-Style Home – 3 Bed | 2 Bath | Detached Garage – $70,000 Step into the potential of this classic home, full of character and ready for restoration. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a detached garage, this property offers a floorplan with several customization possibilities. The home showcases signature Craftsman details - wide trim, built-ins, and timeless architectural charm - just waiting to be brought back to life. Ideal for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project, this property requires updates, with the most urgent being a new roof.

  16. 2025-11-22
    listed $70,000 Active 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    Charming Craftsman-Style Home – 3 Bed | 2 Bath | Detached Garage – $70,000 Step into the potential of this classic home, full of character and ready for restoration. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a detached garage, this property offers a floorplan with several customization possibilities. The home showcases signature Craftsman details - wide trim, built-ins, and timeless architectural charm - just waiting to be brought back to life. Ideal for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project, this property requires updates, with the most urgent being a new roof.

  17. 1995-02-20
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,646 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,646 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,407
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,646
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,073
− Management
−$1,073
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$4,209
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,010
After-tax cash flow
$3,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charleroi SD
NCES district ID
4205640
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$40,410
Composite
29.72/100
National rank
#6450
State rank
#421 of 539 in PA

Livability — North Charleroi

Score
76/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#3397

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Charleroi, PA
Population (ZIP)
10,044

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,060 people
By 2030
207,168 · -0.4%
By 2040
202,738 · -2.6%
By 2050
195,269 · -6.1%
By 2075
175,588 · -15.6%
By 2100
145,827 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.83%
Current HPI
174.218
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $65,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $67,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-22 Listed $70,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1995-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,646 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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