217 W Fairview St · Bethlehem, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity in Bethlehem! This semi-detached property includes both sides 217 and 219 is conveyed under a single deed. Prime location within walking distance to downtown, restaurants, and shopping. Property features access to a shared, fenced-in backyard and on-street parking. The property is in need of repairs and updating, offering strong value-add potential. Currently tenant-occupied on month-to-month lease in 219, unit 217 is now vacant, providing immediate income with flexibility for future improvements or repositioning. This property is being sold strictly "AS-IS". The seller will make no repairs.
Key facts
- On-street parking
- Prime location
- 3,150 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.3% in Bethlehem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#138 in PA, #1,122 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Bethlehem Area SD (urban): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #342 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 103 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,888/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 1361% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.67%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-10,667
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $13,059
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18018
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,888 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$303 /mo · $3,641/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$607
- Net cashflow
- $564
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $705 | -5% $635 | +0% $564 | +5% $493 | +10% $422 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $336 | -5% $450 | +0% $564 | +5% $678 | +10% $792 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $690 | -0.5pp $627 | base $564 | +0.5pp $499 | +1.0pp $433 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 W Union Blvd Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1804 | $2,295 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 522 W Union Blvd Bethlehem, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2272 | $2,700 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 917 Center St Bethlehem, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2300 | $2,500 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 401 W Broad St Bethlehem, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2694 | $4,000 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 409 E Washington Ave Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $2,645 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 435 Montclair Ave Bethlehem, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2051 | $3,375 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1718 Calypso Ave Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1912 | $2,700 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 612 E 5th St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1814 | $2,500 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-14soldstatus $240,000
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-04-06status Active
-
2026-03-21$249,900 Active
-
1993-07-01soldstatus $69,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,641 · $303/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,795 · $316/mo
- Expected delta
- +$153/yr (+$13/mo · 4.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,661
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$3,641
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,773
- − Management
- −$2,773
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $2,956
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$709
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,056/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethlehem Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,124
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5068
- State rank
- #342 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bethlehem
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #1122
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bethlehem, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 129,661
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,965
- Household income
- $75,417
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1361.0
Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 312,227 people
- By 2030
- 314,769 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 316,914 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 318,037 · +1.9%
- By 2075
- 334,003 · +7.0%
- By 2100
- 344,696 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 2% Polish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Northampton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.46%
- Current HPI
- 301.1699
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.85%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+247.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2026-04-09 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-21 Listed $249,900 GLVRMLS
- 1993-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $3,641 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…