121 Cypress Dr · Prudenville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,875
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Large living room
- Formal dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Shared septic
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Fenced yard; Corner lot; Shed(s)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Full, unfinished basement with crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $857 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#369 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Houghton Lake Community Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #410 of 540 in MI (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Roscommon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roscommon County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.29%
- DSCR
- 2.97
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Cypress Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,562 (0%) | 1mo | $73,001 | $47 | 97 |
| 1758 W Nestel Rd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,537 (-2%) | 10mo | $187,000 | $122 | 71 |
| 1111 Woodsdale Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-0%) | 15mo | $195,000 | $125 | 64 |
| 108 Eighth St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,620 (+4%) | 6mo | $166,900 | $103 | 60 |
| 233 Oakdale Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,440 (-8%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $115 | 58 |
| 302 White Fawn Ct | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,642 (+5%) | 1mo | $369,000 | $225 | 58 |
| 130 White Deer Trl | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,633 (+4%) | 10mo | $312,000 | $191 | 57 |
| 2930 S Gladwin Rd | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,700 (+9%) | 12mo | $50,000 | $29 | 56 |
| 1100 Cedar Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,664 (+6%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $120 | 55 |
| 310 White Fawn Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,552 (-1%) | 15mo | $309,900 | $200 | 51 |
| 2605 W Nestel Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,600 (+2%) | 15mo | $280,000 | $175 | 45 |
| 300 White Fawn Ct | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,360 (-13%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $239 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $41,191
- Equity at exit
- $12,357
- IRR
- 47.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.58×
- Total profit
- $106,391
- Equity at exit
- $7,166
Cash invested: $23,205 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48651
- Home prices YoY
- -25.6%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,892 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,030/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $857
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $903 | -5% $880 | +0% $857 | +5% $833 | +10% $810 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $707 | -5% $782 | +0% $857 | +5% $931 | +10% $1,006 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $898 | -0.5pp $878 | base $857 | +0.5pp $835 | +1.0pp $813 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,719
- Closing costs
- $2,486
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-05-04status Pending 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-04-21status Active
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-04-21status Back on Market 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-04-10status Pending
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-04-10status Pending 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-03-31price $82,875 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-03-31price $82,875
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-03-02price $87,750 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-03-02price $87,750
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-01-28price $92,625 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2026-01-28price $92,625
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2025-12-05$97,500 Active
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
-
2025-12-05$97,500 Active 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!
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2025-10-01price $157,000
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2025-09-19price $162,000
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2025-08-25price $164,500
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2025-08-18price $167,000
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2025-08-08price $169,000
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2025-07-28price $172,000
-
2025-07-21price $174,000
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2025-07-07price $176,000
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2025-06-27price $181,000
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2025-06-25price $186,000
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2025-06-10price $187,000
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2006-01-06soldstatus $118,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,030 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,030 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,707
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,642
- − Property taxes
- −$2,030
- − Insurance
- −$414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,817
- − Management
- −$1,817
- − Depreciation
- −$2,411
- Taxable income
- $9,575
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,298
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,980/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houghton Lake Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2618600
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,744
- Composite
- 22.19/100
- National rank
- #8158
- State rank
- #410 of 540 in MI
Livability — Prudenville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #369
- US rank
- #9621
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prudenville, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,331
Population outlook (Roscommon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,249 people
- By 2030
- 21,206 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 19,070 · -14.3%
- By 2050
- 17,564 · -21.1%
- By 2075
- 15,420 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 13,168 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roscommon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.9) · D 32.9% · R 65.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.9 2020: R+30.0 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.27%
- Current HPI
- 252.9662
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-29.8% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $82,875 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $82,875 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $87,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $87,750 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $92,625 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $92,625 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Listed $97,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Listed $97,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $157,000 WWMLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $162,000 WWMLS
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $164,500 WWMLS
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed $167,000 WWMLS
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $169,000 WWMLS
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $172,000 WWMLS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $174,000 WWMLS
- 2025-07-07 Price Changed $176,000 WWMLS
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $181,000 WWMLS
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $186,000 WWMLS
- 2025-06-10 Price Changed $187,000 WWMLS
- 2006-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,030 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…