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121 Cypress Dr
B- Composite 68.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$82,875

121 Cypress Dr · Prudenville, MI 48651
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,562 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 139 Days on market
Built 1955 0.46 ac lot ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Large living room
  • Formal dining area

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING AREAFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Shared septic
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Fenced yard; Corner lot; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Full, unfinished basement with crawl space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $83k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $857 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $83k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#369 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Houghton Lake Community Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #410 of 540 in MI (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Roscommon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Roscommon County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,930 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.28%
Cap rate
18.69%
Cash-on-cash
44.29%
DSCR
2.97
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,250
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
121 Cypress Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,562 (0%) 1mo $73,001 $47 97
1758 W Nestel Rd 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,537 (-2%) 10mo $187,000 $122 71
1111 Woodsdale Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,560 (-0%) 15mo $195,000 $125 64
108 Eighth St 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,620 (+4%) 6mo $166,900 $103 60
233 Oakdale Dr 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,440 (-8%) 8mo $165,000 $115 58
302 White Fawn Ct 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,642 (+5%) 1mo $369,000 $225 58
130 White Deer Trl 0.47mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,633 (+4%) 10mo $312,000 $191 57
2930 S Gladwin Rd 0.18mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,700 (+9%) 12mo $50,000 $29 56
1100 Cedar Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,664 (+6%) 8mo $200,000 $120 55
310 White Fawn Ct 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,552 (-1%) 15mo $309,900 $200 51
2605 W Nestel Rd 0.73mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,600 (+2%) 15mo $280,000 $175 45
300 White Fawn Ct 0.53mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,360 (-13%) 12mo $325,000 $239 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.3%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$41,191
Equity at exit
$12,357
10-year hold
IRR
47.5%
Equity multiple
5.58×
Total profit
$106,391
Equity at exit
$7,166

Cash invested: $23,205 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48651

Home prices YoY
-25.6%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,892 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$435
Tax from tax record
$169 /mo · $2,030/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$857

Break-even live

Break-even rent $808
Max offer price $82,875
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $903 -5% $880 +0% $857 +5% $833 +10% $810
Rent -10% $707 -5% $782 +0% $857 +5% $931 +10% $1,006
Rate -1.0pp $898 -0.5pp $878 base $857 +0.5pp $835 +1.0pp $813

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,719
Closing costs
$2,486
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  2. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  3. 2026-04-21
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  4. 2026-04-21
    status Back on Market 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  5. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  6. 2026-04-10
    status Pending 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  7. 2026-03-31
    price $82,875 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  8. 2026-03-31
    price $82,875
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  9. 2026-03-02
    price $87,750 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  10. 2026-03-02
    price $87,750
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  11. 2026-01-28
    price $92,625 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  12. 2026-01-28
    price $92,625
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  13. 2025-12-05
    listed $97,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  14. 2025-12-05
    listed $97,500 Active 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 121 Cypress Dr. in Prudenville. Enjoy a bright and inviting layout featuring a large living room perfect for gathering, a formal dining area for entertaining, and a full unfinished basement offering endless possibilities for storage or future expansion. The fenced yard provides privacy and space for outdoor activities, while the property’s convenient location near the lake adds to its charm—ideal for enjoying Northern Michigan’s outdoor lifestyle. A wonderful opportunity to make this versatile home your own!

  15. 2025-10-01
    price $157,000
  16. 2025-09-19
    price $162,000
  17. 2025-08-25
    price $164,500
  18. 2025-08-18
    price $167,000
  19. 2025-08-08
    price $169,000
  20. 2025-07-28
    price $172,000
  21. 2025-07-21
    price $174,000
  22. 2025-07-07
    price $176,000
  23. 2025-06-27
    price $181,000
  24. 2025-06-25
    price $186,000
  25. 2025-06-10
    price $187,000
  26. 2006-01-06
    soldstatus $118,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,030 · $169/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,030 · $169/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,707
− Mortgage interest
−$4,642
− Property taxes
−$2,030
− Insurance
−$414
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,817
− Management
−$1,817
− Depreciation
−$2,411
Taxable income
$9,575
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,298
After-tax cash flow
$7,980/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houghton Lake Community Schools
NCES district ID
2618600
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$34,744
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8158
State rank
#410 of 540 in MI

Livability — Prudenville

Score
68/100
State rank
#369
US rank
#9621

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prudenville, MI
Population (ZIP)
4,331

Population outlook (Roscommon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,249 people
By 2030
21,206 · -4.7%
By 2040
19,070 · -14.3%
By 2050
17,564 · -21.1%
By 2075
15,420 · -30.7%
By 2100
13,168 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roscommon

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.9) · D 32.9% · R 65.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -32.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.9 2020: R+30.0 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.27%
Current HPI
252.9662
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.8% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $82,875 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $82,875 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $87,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $87,750 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $92,625 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $92,625 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $97,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $97,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $157,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $162,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Price Changed $164,500 WWMLS
  • 2025-08-18 Price Changed $167,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $169,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-07-28 Price Changed $172,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $174,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-07-07 Price Changed $176,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $181,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-06-25 Price Changed $186,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-06-10 Price Changed $187,000 WWMLS
  • 2006-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,030 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…