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🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 62.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$469,500

1011 Friendly Ln · Anchorage, AK 99504
7 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,272 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1972 8,580 sqft lot Est $670k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Brand New Roof! New Windows in 2 units Perfect Starter Investment! Owner Occupy this Triplex with a Newer Boiler & H/W heater. Lower Two bed unit and Upstairs Three bed unit have been updated over past few years - Southern Two bed unit has long time tenant-needs updating. All Units have their OWN Washer & Dryer. Great Western Exposure, lots of light!

Key facts

  • Brand new roof
  • Newer boiler
  • Western exposure

Tags

BRAND NEW ROOFNEW WINDOWSNEWER BOILEROWN WASHER DRYERWESTERN EXPOSURE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $469,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$670,240) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $470k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $750 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $250/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $470k).
  • Recommended offer: $462k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Muldoon Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #139 of 156 statewide, top 92%, 466 students, 100% FRL); Nicholas J. Begich Middle School (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #32 of 36 statewide, top 89%, 882 students, 78% FRL); Bartlett High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #42 of 61 statewide, top 82%, 1,373 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 38% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Anchorage School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,925/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($87k/yr) (locally 1052% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($462k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask is 29244% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $462,457 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.21%
Cash-on-cash
6.85%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$670,240
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1011 Boston St 0.06mi 7/3.0 2,272 (0%) 7mo $670,000 $295 91
1031 Boston St 0.06mi 7/3.0 2,272 (0%) 22mo $51,000 $22 78

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-30,408
Equity at exit
$70,004
10-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$26,460
Equity at exit
$40,594

Cash invested: $131,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alaska
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; security deposits capped; courts moderate-paced.

ZIP-level market 99504

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
214
Price-to-rent
23.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,925 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,462
Tax from tax record
$483 /mo · $5,793/yr
Insurance
$196
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,034
Net cashflow
$750

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,975
Max offer price $469,500
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,016 -5% $883 +0% $750 +5% $617 +10% $484
Rent -10% $361 -5% $556 +0% $750 +5% $945 +10% $1,139
Rate -1.0pp $987 -0.5pp $870 base $750 +0.5pp $629 +1.0pp $505

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $4,925

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$117,375
Closing costs
$14,085
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-03-25
    historical $1,600
  2. 2026-03-25
    status Pending
  3. 2026-02-26
    listed $1,600
  4. 2026-02-22
    listed $469,500 Active
  5. 2025-10-20
    price $469,000
  6. 2025-09-12
    price $469,500
  7. 2025-06-16
    listed $469,900 Active
  8. 2000-11-28
    soldstatus
  9. 2000-09-14
    listed $162,900
  10. 2000-03-29
    listed $162,900
  11. 1999-12-31
    listed $169,900
  12. 1997-05-19
    soldstatus
  13. 1997-03-07
    listed $142,000
  14. 1996-04-29
    listed $147,000
  15. 1994-12-28
    listed $135,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,793 · $483/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,793 · $483/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$59,100
− Mortgage interest
−$26,299
− Property taxes
−$5,793
− Insurance
−$2,348
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,728
− Management
−$4,728
− Depreciation
−$13,658
Taxable income
$1,546
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$371
After-tax cash flow
$8,632/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anchorage School District
NCES district ID
0200180
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$76,447
Composite
37.0/100
National rank
#4523
State rank
#6 of 21 in AK

Livability — Anchorage

Score
78/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2553

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anchorage, AK
County
Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
City population
218,117
Metro
Anchorage, AK
Population (ZIP)
42,093
Household income
$86,710
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
1052.0

Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,993 people
By 2030
321,771 · +2.2%
By 2040
335,493 · +6.5%
By 2050
352,799 · +12.0%
By 2075
414,771 · +31.7%
By 2100
474,485 · +50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.80)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 13% Native American 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Pacific Islander 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Ukrainian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 9% Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage

2024 margin
D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
2016→2024 swing
+27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -184.29%
Current HPI
259.8803
Rent YoY
▲ 2.57%
Metro
Anchorage, AK
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-98.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Rental Removed $1,600 AKMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Pending AKMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Listed for Rent $1,600 AKMLS
  • 2026-02-22 Listed $469,500 AKMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $469,000 AKMLS
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $469,500 AKMLS
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $469,900 AKMLS
  • 2000-11-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-09-14 Listed $162,900 AKMLS
  • 2000-03-29 Listed $162,900 AKMLS
  • 1999-12-31 Listed $169,900 AKMLS
  • 1997-05-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-03-07 Listed $142,000 AKMLS
  • 1996-04-29 Listed $147,000 AKMLS
  • 1994-12-28 Listed $135,000 AKMLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,793 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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