620 112th St SE #30 · Everett, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Lago De Plata, a desirable 55+ community offering comfortable, low-maintenance living. Completely refreshed in 2025, this bright 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features an open floor plan with vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light throughout. Recent updates include a new furnace, new hot water tank, triple-pane windows for improved energy efficiency, and durable laminate hardwood flooring throughout and Quartz countertops. The spacious primary bedroom features an oversized private bath for added comfort. Additional highlights include double covered parking, a landscaped yard, and a large storage shed for extra storage. Lago De Plata residents enjoy wonderful community amenities inc
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- New furnace
- New hot water tank
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $910 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 2.5% in Everett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Everett School District (urban): math 60% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #26 of 291 in WA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.2%/yr); 277 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $119k implies a 376% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.76%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,978
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- 40.04%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 112th St SE #196 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,030 (0%) | 15mo | $155,000 | $150 | 82 |
| 11622 Silver Lake Rd #14 | 0.28mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 1,072 (+4%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $61 | 68 |
| 620 112th St SE #305 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,160 (+13%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $95 | 65 |
| 11622 Silver Lake Rd #65 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-7%) | 14mo | $81,000 | $84 | 60 |
| 620 112th St SE #336 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (+11%) | 22mo | $99,500 | $87 | 60 |
| 11622 Silver Lake Rd #90 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $74 | 59 |
| 11622 Silver Lake Rd #57 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (-10%) | 13mo | $98,000 | $106 | 55 |
| 11622 Silver Lake Rd #96 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 18mo | $117,500 | $102 | 52 |
| 12410 10th Dr SE | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 996 (-3%) | 20mo | $475,500 | $477 | 47 |
| 11622 Silver Lake Rd #6 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (-15%) | 23mo | $58,000 | $66 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $32,586
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $79,513
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98208
- Rents YoY
- -3.2%
- Active inventory
- 277
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,060 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $532/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $910
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $977 | -5% $943 | +0% $910 | +5% $876 | +10% $842 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $747 | -5% $828 | +0% $910 | +5% $991 | +10% $1,072 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $970 | -0.5pp $940 | base $910 | +0.5pp $879 | +1.0pp $848 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525 112th St SE Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1019 | $2,416 | $2.37 | 2d | 6 | 0.17mi |
| 1009 112th St SE Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,995 | $2.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 11401 3rd Ave SE Everett, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $1,892 | $2.20 | 0d | 15 | 0.21mi |
| 515 112th St SE Everett, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1050 | $1,745 | $1.66 | 0d | 2 | 0.24mi |
| 11005 16th Ave SE Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 841 | $2,031 | $2.41 | 0d | 5 | 0.58mi |
| 133 124th St SE Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $2,055 | $2.50 | 3d | 9 | 0.69mi |
| 1304 Bruskrud Rd Everett, WA | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 0d | 5 | 0.71mi |
| 1701 121st St SE Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $2,354 | $2.71 | 3d | 12 | 0.78mi |
| 10101 7th Ave SE Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1073 | $2,277 | $2.12 | 0d | 15 | 0.84mi |
| 305 127th St SE Unit A Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1456 | $2,649 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 120 SE Everett Mall Way Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $2,134 | $2.62 | 0d | 43 | 0.87mi |
| 2020 Lake Heights Dr Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $2,106 | $2.29 | 0d | 14 | 0.88mi |
| 128 127th St SE Everett, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $2,747 | $3.11 | 0d | 12 | 0.88mi |
| 11225 19th Ave SE Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,230 | $2.41 | 0d | 10 | 0.90mi |
| 12115 19th Ave SE Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $2,090 | $2.36 | 0d | 12 | 0.97mi |
| 11311 19th Ave SE Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $2,283 | $2.45 | 0d | 14 | 1.00mi |
| 923 112th St SW Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 858 | $1,950 | $2.27 | 3d | 24 | 1.11mi |
| 11207 9th Pl W Everett, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,899 | $1.91 | 21d | 7 | 1.14mi |
| 215 100th St SW Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 856 | $1,845 | $2.16 | 6d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 12600 4th Ave W Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1336 | $2,295 | $1.72 | 17d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 9925 4th Ave W Apt 9 Everett, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,245 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 9925 4th Ave W Apt 6 Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 13401 Dumas Rd Mill Creek, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $2,277 | $2.55 | 0d | 6 | 1.16mi |
| 2601 106th Pl SE Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1221 | $3,245 | $2.66 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 12601 8th Ave W Everett, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $1,839 | $2.88 | 6d | 15 | 1.22mi |
| 1020 112th St SW Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 853 | $1,752 | $2.05 | 0d | 8 | 1.23mi |
| 13004 Meridian Ave S Everett, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,642 | $2.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 222 W Marilyn Ave Everett, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 17d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1108 Center Rd Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,150 | $1.79 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 820 124th St SW Apt D Everett, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,595 | $1.66 | 6d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 13510 N Creek Dr Mill Creek, WA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $1,642 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 11812 E Gibson Rd Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $1,814 | $1.90 | 0d | 6 | 1.29mi |
| 10111 9th Ave W Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1098 | $2,550 | $2.32 | 6d | 4 | 1.33mi |
| 12522 8th Ave W Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1005 | $2,146 | $2.13 | 0d | 9 | 1.35mi |
| 9615 Holly Dr Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $2,220 | $3.44 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 233 Dorn Ave Unit 1 Everett, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,950 | $2.07 | 12d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 12121 Admiralty Way Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1116 | $2,245 | $2.01 | 0d | 16 | 1.40mi |
| 13105 21st Dr SE Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,899 | $1.77 | 0d | 5 | 1.41mi |
| 10115 Holly Dr Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $2,278 | $2.27 | 11d | 22 | 1.43mi |
| 10115 Holly Dr Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $2,208 | $2.20 | 0d | 25 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 24 events
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2026-06-21days on market $119,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $119,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $127,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $127,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $127,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $127,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $127,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $127,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $127,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $127,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-05-12price $127,000
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2026-03-04$139,950 Active
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2025-04-10soldstatus $25,000
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2025-04-10$25,000
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2014-03-28soldstatus $30,000 Sold
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2014-03-11status Pending
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2014-02-21$31,900 Active
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2000-10-27soldstatus $36,900
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2000-08-16$36,919
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $532 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,166 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$634/yr (+$53/mo · 119.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$532
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,978
- − Management
- −$1,978
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $9,514
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,283
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,633/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Everett School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302670
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,815
- Composite
- 59.0/100
- National rank
- #1964
- State rank
- #26 of 291 in WA
Livability — Everett
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5489
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Everett, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 786,756 people
- City population
- 173,457
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,915
- Household income
- $103,705
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1617.0
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -884.74%
- Current HPI
- 337.856
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.16%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+244.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $127,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Listed $139,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-10 Listed $25,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-10 Sold (MLS) $25,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-28 Sold (MLS) $30,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-11 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-21 Listed $31,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-10-27 Sold (MLS) $36,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-08-16 Listed $36,919 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2026): $532 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…