12953 28 1/2 Mile Rd · Albion, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.
Key facts
- Half bath
- Walkout basement
- Ample cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $170k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($140/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (11.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 8.6% in Albion — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#328 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities D+, schools F.
- Marshall Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #268 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $170k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.29%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,815
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 901 N Ionia St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,470 (+6%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $119 | 45 |
| 308 E Broadwell St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-12%) | 16mo | $147,000 | $120 | 40 |
| 515 Maple Rdg | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 | 1,242 (-10%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $129 | 40 |
| 909 Burr Oak St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,496 (+8%) | 16mo | $155,000 | $104 | 36 |
| 903 N Monroe St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,360 (-2%) | 23mo | $133,000 | $98 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-26,766
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-22,260
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49224
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,501 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $12
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $129 | -5% $70 | +0% $12 | +5% $-47 | +10% $-106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-107 | -5% $-48 | +0% $12 | +5% $71 | +10% $130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $97 | -0.5pp $55 | base $12 | +0.5pp $-32 | +1.0pp $-77 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1200 Westover Blvd Albion, MI | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,501 | $1.03 | 44d | 4 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-03status Pending 824-char remark
Show marketing remark (824 chars)
Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.
-
2026-04-03status Pending 824-char remark
Show marketing remark (824 chars)
Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.
-
2026-04-03status Pending
Show marketing remark (824 chars)
Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.
-
2026-03-31$169,900 Active 824-char remark
Show marketing remark (824 chars)
Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.
-
2026-03-31$169,900 Active 824-char remark
Show marketing remark (824 chars)
Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.
-
2026-03-31$169,900 Active
Show marketing remark (824 chars)
Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.
-
2018-01-26soldstatus $95,000
-
2018-01-26soldstatus $95,000 Sold
-
2018-01-01status Pending
-
2017-12-19$99,900
-
2017-12-19$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,012
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$2,548
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,441
- − Management
- −$1,441
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$2,728
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$655
- After-tax cash flow
- $794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
A well-maintained single-family home with average condition, offering potential for cosmetic updates to enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen backsplash — tile appears old and could be replaced
- Minor bathroom fixtures — some fixtures may need updating
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace carpet in bedrooms — new carpet improves comfort and appearance
- Resale update kitchen backsplash — new backsplash adds modern look
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen backsplash · tile appears old and could be replaced | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · some fixtures may need updating | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace carpet in bedrooms — new carpet improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Resale update kitchen backsplash — new backsplash adds modern look ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2622970
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,020
- Composite
- 30.93/100
- National rank
- #6112
- State rank
- #268 of 540 in MI
Livability — Albion
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #328
- US rank
- #8096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,309
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.85%
- Current HPI
- 205.078
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+70.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $169,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
- 2018-01-26 Sold (MLS) $95,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-01-26 Sold (MLS) $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-01-01 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2017-12-19 Listed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2017-12-19 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…