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12953 28 1/2 Mile Rd
D- Composite 39.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

12953 28 1/2 Mile Rd · Albion, MI 49224
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,385 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1965 Average condition 0.30 ac lot Est $165k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.

Key facts

  • Half bath
  • Walkout basement
  • Ample cabinetry

Tags

AMPLE CABINETRYCOUNTER SPACEFULL BATHROOMHALF BATHWALKOUT BASEMENTADDITIONAL LIVING SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $170k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($140/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 8.6% in Albion — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#328 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities D+, schools F.
  • Marshall Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #268 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $170k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $150,100 (11.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.29%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$164,815
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
901 N Ionia St 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,470 (+6%) 11mo $175,000 $119 45
308 E Broadwell St 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,224 (-12%) 16mo $147,000 $120 40
515 Maple Rdg 0.64mi 4/1.5 1,242 (-10%) 10mo $160,000 $129 40
909 Burr Oak St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,496 (+8%) 16mo $155,000 $104 36
903 N Monroe St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,360 (-2%) 23mo $133,000 $98 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-26,766
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-22,260
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49224

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,501 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $129 -5% $70 +0% $12 +5% $-47 +10% $-106
Rent -10% $-107 -5% $-48 +0% $12 +5% $71 +10% $130
Rate -1.0pp $97 -0.5pp $55 base $12 +0.5pp $-32 +1.0pp $-77

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1200 Westover Blvd Albion, MI 3.0–4.0 2.0 1456 $1,501 $1.03 44d 4 1.31mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-03
    status Pending 824-char remark
    Show marketing remark (824 chars)

    Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.

  2. 2026-04-03
    status Pending 824-char remark
    Show marketing remark (824 chars)

    Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.

  3. 2026-04-03
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (824 chars)

    Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.

  4. 2026-03-31
    listed $169,900 Active 824-char remark
    Show marketing remark (824 chars)

    Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.

  5. 2026-03-31
    listed $169,900 Active 824-char remark
    Show marketing remark (824 chars)

    Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.

  6. 2026-03-31
    listed $169,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (824 chars)

    Spacious and well-designed, this four-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath home offers a functional layout with room to spread out. The main level features a spacious living area, beautiful kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, and convenient access to the attached two-car garage. The home includes two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms on the lower level, providing flexible living arrangements. A full bathroom is located on each level, along with a half bath in the basement for added convenience. The walkout basement offers excellent potential for additional living space, storage, or a variety of uses to suit your needs. Thoughtfully laid out for both everyday living and entertaining, this home provides comfort, space, and versatility. Call or text Aron Hodo at 517-677-5986 to schedule your private tour today.

  7. 2018-01-26
    soldstatus $95,000
  8. 2018-01-26
    soldstatus $95,000 Sold
  9. 2018-01-01
    status Pending
  10. 2017-12-19
    listed $99,900
  11. 2017-12-19
    listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,012
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,548
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,441
− Management
−$1,441
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$2,728
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$655
After-tax cash flow
$794/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

A well-maintained single-family home with average condition, offering potential for cosmetic updates to enhance its resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen backsplash — tile appears old and could be replaced
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — some fixtures may need updating

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace carpet in bedrooms — new carpet improves comfort and appearance
  • Resale update kitchen backsplash — new backsplash adds modern look

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen backsplash · tile appears old and could be replaced Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · some fixtures may need updating Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace carpet in bedrooms — new carpet improves comfort and appearance
  • Resale update kitchen backsplash — new backsplash adds modern look

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall Public Schools
NCES district ID
2622970
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,020
Composite
30.93/100
National rank
#6112
State rank
#268 of 540 in MI

Livability — Albion

Score
70/100
State rank
#328
US rank
#8096

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,309

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,157 people
By 2030
126,691 · -2.7%
By 2040
118,517 · -8.9%
By 2050
109,855 · -15.6%
By 2075
90,486 · -30.5%
By 2100
70,766 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.85%
Current HPI
205.078
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+70.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-03 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $169,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-01-26 Sold (MLS) $95,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-01-26 Sold (MLS) $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-01-01 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2017-12-19 Listed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2017-12-19 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…