1501 SW Baker St #70 · McMinnville, OR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well cared for 1991, 2 bedroom/ 2 bath home in 55+ Park.1148 square foot home. Newer roof, Ideal location in Park for privacy and convenience to shopping . Skylite, All appliances including washer/Dryer. Air condition heating/cooling is provided by an Electric Resistance Unit. Provides better service.Seller will consider all offers.
Key facts
- Built in microwave
- Induction range
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on leased land within a mobile home park; Directions: follow roadway in park to the left all the way down around the back; unit #70 is in the last cul-de-sac
- HOA & community: Park name: Southwest Mobile Terrace; Garbage service included with space rent; water and sewer billed by the park; Pet restrictions: ask manager; Land lease (lot rent $807 monthly); lease expires December 31, 2026; Lot is leased and located on a cul-de-sac
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Driveway parking (1 space total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (fuel for hot water and systems); Cable and fiber-optic internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home in park (not attached); Updated/remodeled condition; Seasonal view
- Construction: Built in 1991; Cement siding; Composition roof; Skirting foundation
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Dog run; Tool shed; Private road access; Yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Induction cooktop; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave; Stainless steel appliances; Eating area / kitchen-dining combo
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with bathroom, walk-in closet, and wall-to-wall carpet; Second bedroom on main level with wall-to-wall carpet
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring in living areas and kitchen; Wall-to-wall carpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High-speed internet; Laundry area; Skylights; Vaulted ceilings; Vinyl and wall-to-wall carpet flooring; Double-pane windows; Crawl space basement; Main-floor bedroom with bath (accessible, one-level layout)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $511 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.2% in McMinnville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#79 in OR, #3,556 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: commute D+.
- Mcminnville SD 40 (town): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #20 of 183 in OR (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 396 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $155k implies a 520% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.12%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $49,312
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- 214.32%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1501 SW Baker St #25 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+11%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $125 | 58 |
| 1145 SW Cypress St #80 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+7%) | 13mo | $69,000 | $56 | 44 |
| 1145 SW Cypress St #76 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,069 (-7%) | 22mo | $140,000 | $131 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,348
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $28,874
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97128
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 396
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,838 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $772/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $511
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $598 | -5% $554 | +0% $511 | +5% $467 | +10% $423 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $365 | -5% $438 | +0% $511 | +5% $583 | +10% $656 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $589 | -0.5pp $550 | base $511 | +0.5pp $470 | +1.0pp $430 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815 SW Cozine Ln McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,195 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1149 SW Brockwood Ave McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $3,600 | $2.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 925 SW Fleishauer Ln Unit 1550283P McMinnville, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $2,070 | $2.47 | 17d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 727 SW Drumwood Ave Unit 13 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 8d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 727 SW Drumwood Ave Unit 2 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,525 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 550 SW Edmunston St Apt 14 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,449 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1647 SW Fellows St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,495 | $1.82 | 2d | 5 | 0.58mi |
| 624 SW Drumwood Ave McMinnville, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 878 | $1,898 | $2.16 | 2d | 4 | 0.58mi |
| 410 SE Debbie St Unit WES410 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 998 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1794 SW Fellows St Unit 1764-58 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1794 SW Fellows St Unit 1802-40 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 404 SW Elmwood Ave Unit 404 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,695 | $2.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 981 SE Ford St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 136 SW Sharon Jane Pl McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $2,150 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 855 SE Ford St McMinnville, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,475 | $2.03 | 2d | 7 | 0.87mi |
| 1126 SE Rummel St Unit 1128 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,795 | $1.68 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 982 SW Hawthorne St McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $2,375 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1910 SW Old Sheridan Rd McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,585 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 725 SE Ford St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,425 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 711 SE Ford St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,690 | $1.96 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1355 NW 2nd St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,622 | $1.93 | 2d | 3 | 0.99mi |
| 1795 NW 2nd St McMinnville, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,425 | $1.14 | 2d | 2 | 1.02mi |
| 230 SE Evans St Unit 22 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 230 SE Evans St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 230 SE Evans St Unit 06 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 603 NW Beary St Unit 605 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,695 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 467 NW Meadows Dr McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,100 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 605 NW Adams St McMinnville, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,449 | $1.69 | 3d | 2 | 1.17mi |
| 1025 NE 1st St Unit 8 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,695 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 700 NW 12th St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,495 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1031 NE Cowls St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-18price $155,000 935-char remark
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2026-04-29$165,000 Active 935-char remark
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2025-09-23historical
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2025-08-13price $135,000
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2025-07-17status Active
-
2025-07-15status Pending
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2025-06-07price $137,900
-
2025-06-02price $149,900
-
2025-05-03price $154,900
-
2025-04-25$159,900 Active
-
2015-04-20soldstatus $25,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Well cared for 1991, 2 bedroom/ 2 bath home in 55+ Park.1148 square foot home. Newer roof, Ideal location in Park for privacy and convenience to shopping . Skylite, All appliances including washer/Dryer. Air condition heating/cooling is provided by an Electric Resistance Unit. Provides better service.Seller will consider all offers.
-
2015-04-06status Pending
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Well cared for 1991, 2 bedroom/ 2 bath home in 55+ Park.1148 square foot home. Newer roof, Ideal location in Park for privacy and convenience to shopping . Skylite, All appliances including washer/Dryer. Air condition heating/cooling is provided by an Electric Resistance Unit. Provides better service.Seller will consider all offers.
-
2014-12-05price $31,000
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Well cared for 1991, 2 bedroom/ 2 bath home in 55+ Park.1148 square foot home. Newer roof, Ideal location in Park for privacy and convenience to shopping . Skylite, All appliances including washer/Dryer. Air condition heating/cooling is provided by an Electric Resistance Unit. Provides better service.Seller will consider all offers.
-
2014-12-03status Active
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Well cared for 1991, 2 bedroom/ 2 bath home in 55+ Park.1148 square foot home. Newer roof, Ideal location in Park for privacy and convenience to shopping . Skylite, All appliances including washer/Dryer. Air condition heating/cooling is provided by an Electric Resistance Unit. Provides better service.Seller will consider all offers.
-
2014-11-26status Pending
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Well cared for 1991, 2 bedroom/ 2 bath home in 55+ Park.1148 square foot home. Newer roof, Ideal location in Park for privacy and convenience to shopping . Skylite, All appliances including washer/Dryer. Air condition heating/cooling is provided by an Electric Resistance Unit. Provides better service.Seller will consider all offers.
-
2014-10-02price $35,000
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Well cared for 1991, 2 bedroom/ 2 bath home in 55+ Park.1148 square foot home. Newer roof, Ideal location in Park for privacy and convenience to shopping . Skylite, All appliances including washer/Dryer. Air condition heating/cooling is provided by an Electric Resistance Unit. Provides better service.Seller will consider all offers.
-
2014-07-07$38,000 Active
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Well cared for 1991, 2 bedroom/ 2 bath home in 55+ Park.1148 square foot home. Newer roof, Ideal location in Park for privacy and convenience to shopping . Skylite, All appliances including washer/Dryer. Air condition heating/cooling is provided by an Electric Resistance Unit. Provides better service.Seller will consider all offers.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $772 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,504 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$731/yr (+$61/mo · 94.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 3/10 Moderate
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,061
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$772
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,765
- − Management
- −$1,765
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $3,792
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$910
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,216/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcminnville SD 40
- NCES district ID
- 4108010
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,382
- Composite
- 47.69/100
- National rank
- #4919
- State rank
- #20 of 183 in OR
Livability — McMinnville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #79
- US rank
- #3556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McMinnville, OR
- County
- Yamhill County · 71,150 people
- City population
- 38,664
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,664
- Household income
- $75,896
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1508.0
Population outlook (Yamhill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,295 people
- By 2030
- 112,060 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 115,975 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 118,155 · +8.1%
- By 2075
- 120,968 · +10.7%
- By 2100
- 116,163 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yamhill
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.1) · D 45.3% · R 51.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: -6.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.1 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+8.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.59%
- Current HPI
- 320.373
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.79%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+255.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-23 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $135,000 WVMLS
- 2025-07-17 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2025-07-15 Pending — WVMLS
- 2025-06-07 Price Changed $137,900 WVMLS
- 2025-06-02 Price Changed $149,900 WVMLS
- 2025-05-03 Price Changed $154,900 WVMLS
- 2025-04-25 Listed $159,900 WVMLS
- 2015-04-20 Sold (MLS) $25,000 RMLS
- 2015-04-06 Pending — RMLS
- 2014-12-05 Price Changed $31,000 RMLS
- 2014-12-03 Relisted — RMLS
- 2014-11-26 Pending — RMLS
- 2014-10-02 Price Changed $35,000 RMLS
- 2014-07-07 Listed $38,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $772 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…