191 Barker Ln · Morganton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your private family retreat, perfectly situated at the end of a quiet, private road. This spacious home offers plenty of room for the whole family, featuring 3 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. The main level includes a comfortable master suite with its own bathroom, as well as a guest bedroom and full bath. Soaring vaulted ceilings in the living room and kitchen create an open, airy atmosphere—ideal for entertaining and everyday living. Downstairs, the walk-out basement with a private entrance provides additional living space, including an oversized bedroom, a full bathroom, and a large laundry room. The opposite side of the basement offers endless possibilities—whether you envision a media room, game room, second living area, or a versatile bonus space, the choice is yours. This home combines comfort, privacy, and flexibility to fit your family's lifestyle.
Key facts
- Oversized bedroom
- Quiet private road
- Walk-out basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $759 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $340k).
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.7% in Morganton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#456 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Fannin County (rural): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #51 of 174 in GA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 306 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 375 units permitted in Fannin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.57%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $435,793
- List price
- $339,900
- Delta
- -19.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Barker Ln | 0.14mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,254 (+8%) | 11mo | $435,000 | $193 | 65 |
| 211 Loving Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 2,040 (-2%) | 3mo | $324,900 | $159 | 62 |
| 100 South Rd | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 | 1,836 (-12%) | 17mo | $645,000 | $351 | 39 |
| 100 South Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,836 (-12%) | 17mo | $645,000 | $351 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-6,877
- Equity at exit
- $50,680
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $55,641
- Equity at exit
- $29,388
Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30560
- Home prices YoY
- -9.6%
- Active inventory
- 306
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,782
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $979/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $759
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $952 | -5% $855 | +0% $759 | +5% $663 | +10% $567 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $483 | -5% $621 | +0% $759 | +5% $898 | +10% $1,036 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $930 | -0.5pp $846 | base $759 | +0.5pp $671 | +1.0pp $582 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,975
- Closing costs
- $10,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360 Prince Dr Morganton, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2400 | $3,500 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $339,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $349,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $349,900 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $349,900 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $349,900 Active 355 DOM
-
2025-10-31price $349,900 891-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
LESS THAN 15 MINUTES TO DOWNTOWN BLUE RIDGE! Welcome to your private family retreat, perfectly situated at the end of a quiet, private road. This spacious home offers plenty of room for the whole family, featuring 3 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. The main level includes a comfortable primary suite with its own bathroom, as well as a guest bedroom and full bath. Soaring vaulted ceilings in the living room and kitchen create an open, airy atmosphere—ideal for entertaining and everyday living. Downstairs, the walk-out basement with a private entrance provides additional living space, including an oversized bedroom, a full bathroom, and a large laundry room. The opposite side of the basement offers endless possibilities—whether you envision a media room, game room, second living area, or a versatile bonus space, the choice is yours. This home combines comfort, privacy, and flexibility to fit your family's lifestyle.
-
2025-10-31price $349,900 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
LESS THAN 15 MINUTES TO DOWNTOWN BLUE RIDGE! Welcome to your private family retreat, perfectly situated at the end of a quiet, private road. This spacious home offers plenty of room for the whole family, featuring 3 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. The main level includes a comfortable primary suite with its own bathroom, as well as a guest bedroom and full bath. Soaring vaulted ceilings in the living room and kitchen create an open, airy atmosphere—ideal for entertaining and everyday living. Downstairs, the walk-out basement with a private entrance provides additional living space, including an oversized bedroom, a full bathroom, and a large laundry room. The opposite side of the basement offers endless possibilities—whether you envision a media room, game room, second living area, or a versatile bonus space, the choice is yours. This home combines comfort, privacy, and flexibility to fit your family's lifestyle.
-
2025-07-24price $385,000 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (891 chars)
Welcome to your private family retreat, perfectly situated at the end of a quiet, private road. This spacious home offers plenty of room for the whole family, featuring 3 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. The main level includes a comfortable master suite with its own bathroom, as well as a guest bedroom and full bath. Soaring vaulted ceilings in the living room and kitchen create an open, airy atmosphere—ideal for entertaining and everyday living. Downstairs, the walk-out basement with a private entrance provides additional living space, including an oversized bedroom, a full bathroom, and a large laundry room. The opposite side of the basement offers endless possibilities—whether you envision a media room, game room, second living area, or a versatile bonus space, the choice is yours. This home combines comfort, privacy, and flexibility to fit your family's lifestyle.
-
2025-07-24price $385,000 891-char remark
Show marketing remark (891 chars)
Welcome to your private family retreat, perfectly situated at the end of a quiet, private road. This spacious home offers plenty of room for the whole family, featuring 3 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. The main level includes a comfortable master suite with its own bathroom, as well as a guest bedroom and full bath. Soaring vaulted ceilings in the living room and kitchen create an open, airy atmosphere—ideal for entertaining and everyday living. Downstairs, the walk-out basement with a private entrance provides additional living space, including an oversized bedroom, a full bathroom, and a large laundry room. The opposite side of the basement offers endless possibilities—whether you envision a media room, game room, second living area, or a versatile bonus space, the choice is yours. This home combines comfort, privacy, and flexibility to fit your family's lifestyle.
-
2025-07-24price $385,000
Show marketing remark (891 chars)
Welcome to your private family retreat, perfectly situated at the end of a quiet, private road. This spacious home offers plenty of room for the whole family, featuring 3 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. The main level includes a comfortable master suite with its own bathroom, as well as a guest bedroom and full bath. Soaring vaulted ceilings in the living room and kitchen create an open, airy atmosphere—ideal for entertaining and everyday living. Downstairs, the walk-out basement with a private entrance provides additional living space, including an oversized bedroom, a full bathroom, and a large laundry room. The opposite side of the basement offers endless possibilities—whether you envision a media room, game room, second living area, or a versatile bonus space, the choice is yours. This home combines comfort, privacy, and flexibility to fit your family's lifestyle.
-
2025-06-09$399,900 Active 891-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
LESS THAN 15 MINUTES TO DOWNTOWN BLUE RIDGE! Welcome to your private family retreat, perfectly situated at the end of a quiet, private road. This spacious home offers plenty of room for the whole family, featuring 3 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. The main level includes a comfortable primary suite with its own bathroom, as well as a guest bedroom and full bath. Soaring vaulted ceilings in the living room and kitchen create an open, airy atmosphere—ideal for entertaining and everyday living. Downstairs, the walk-out basement with a private entrance provides additional living space, including an oversized bedroom, a full bathroom, and a large laundry room. The opposite side of the basement offers endless possibilities—whether you envision a media room, game room, second living area, or a versatile bonus space, the choice is yours. This home combines comfort, privacy, and flexibility to fit your family's lifestyle.
-
2025-06-09$399,900 Active 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
LESS THAN 15 MINUTES TO DOWNTOWN BLUE RIDGE! Welcome to your private family retreat, perfectly situated at the end of a quiet, private road. This spacious home offers plenty of room for the whole family, featuring 3 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. The main level includes a comfortable primary suite with its own bathroom, as well as a guest bedroom and full bath. Soaring vaulted ceilings in the living room and kitchen create an open, airy atmosphere—ideal for entertaining and everyday living. Downstairs, the walk-out basement with a private entrance provides additional living space, including an oversized bedroom, a full bathroom, and a large laundry room. The opposite side of the basement offers endless possibilities—whether you envision a media room, game room, second living area, or a versatile bonus space, the choice is yours. This home combines comfort, privacy, and flexibility to fit your family's lifestyle.
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2025-05-06$419,000 Active
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2025-02-10price $429,000
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2024-09-25$469,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $979 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,127 · $261/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,148/yr (+$179/mo · 219.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,040
- − Property taxes
- −$979
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,360
- − Management
- −$3,360
- − Depreciation
- −$9,888
- Taxable income
- $3,674
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$882
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,230/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fannin County
- NCES district ID
- 1302100
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,693
- Composite
- 32.92/100
- National rank
- #5597
- State rank
- #51 of 174 in GA
Livability — Morganton
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #21670
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,194
Population outlook (Fannin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,218 people
- By 2030
- 25,519 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 25,548 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 25,008 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 23,359 · -7.4%
- By 2100
- 20,129 · -20.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Scottish 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fannin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.4% · R 82.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.7pp toward R · 2008: -49.1pp · 2024: -64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.8 2020: R+64.6 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+49.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.58%
- Current HPI
- 316.822
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-25.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $349,900 MLBOR
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $349,900 NEGBOR
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $385,000 NEGBOR
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $385,000 MLBOR
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $385,000 GAMLS
- 2025-06-09 Listed $399,900 NEGBOR
- 2025-06-09 Listed $399,900 MLBOR
- 2025-05-06 Listed $419,000 NEGBOR
- 2025-02-10 Price Changed $429,000 NEGBOR
- 2024-09-25 Listed $469,000 NEGBOR
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $979 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…