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5 West Pine Crest Dr
C Composite 57.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$265,000

5 West Pine Crest Dr · Clayton, GA 30525
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,640 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 351 Days on market
Built 1988 6,838 sqft lot $100/sqft · 45% below area ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.

Key facts

  • Separate entrance
  • 2 separate kitchens
  • Inlaws suite

Tags

2 SEPARATE KITCHENSINLAWS SUITESEPARATE ENTRANCETWO POSSIBLE RENTALS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (5.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.6% in Clayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#197 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rabun County (rural): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #37 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 147 units permitted in Rabun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Rabun County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 351 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $233,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 351 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.26%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$726,099
List price
$265,000
Delta
-63.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
687 Summer Ln 0.75mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,370 (-10%) 19mo $695,000 $293 21
689 Summer Ln 0.75mi 4/4.5 (+1) 2,376 (-10%) 17mo $765,000 $322 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$25,341
Equity at exit
$86,047
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$98,073
Equity at exit
$111,006

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30525

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
256
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,054/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$387

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,010
Max offer price $265,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
38 Bulldog Ln Clayton, GA 2.0 2.0 2030 $2,500 $1.23 23d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $265,000 Active 351 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $265,000 Active 350 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $265,000 Active 349 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $265,000 Active 348 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $265,000 Active 346 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $265,000 Active 345 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $265,000 Active 342 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $265,000 Active 341 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $265,000 Active 340 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $265,000 Active 339 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $265,000 Active 336 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $265,000 Active 335 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $265,000 Active 334 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 333 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 332 DOM
  16. 2026-03-19
    price $265,000 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.

  17. 2025-12-30
    status Back On Market 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.

  18. 2025-12-28
    historical 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.

  19. 2025-11-07
    price $285,000 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.

  20. 2025-06-30
    listed $315,000 New 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,054 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,438 · $203/mo
Expected delta
+$1,384/yr (+$115/mo · 131.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$1,054
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable income
$268
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$64
After-tax cash flow
$4,580/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rabun County
NCES district ID
1304320
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$35,980
Composite
35.64/100
National rank
#4882
State rank
#37 of 174 in GA

Livability — Clayton

Score
66/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#12208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clayton, GA
Population (ZIP)
7,265

Population outlook (Rabun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,227 people
By 2030
16,000 · -1.4%
By 2040
15,213 · -6.2%
By 2050
13,974 · -13.9%
By 2075
10,717 · -34.0%
By 2100
7,824 · -51.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rabun

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.9) · D 21.3% · R 78.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.9pp · 2024: -56.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.9 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+56.4 2008: R+45.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.68%
Current HPI
310.5456
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $265,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-12-28 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $285,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Listed $315,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,054 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…