5 West Pine Crest Dr · Clayton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.
Key facts
- Separate entrance
- 2 separate kitchens
- Inlaws suite
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (5.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.6% in Clayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#197 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Rabun County (rural): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #37 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 147 units permitted in Rabun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- Rabun County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 351 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 351 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.26%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $726,099
- List price
- $265,000
- Delta
- -63.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 687 Summer Ln | 0.75mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,370 (-10%) | 19mo | $695,000 | $293 | 21 |
| 689 Summer Ln | 0.75mi | 4/4.5 (+1) | 2,376 (-10%) | 17mo | $765,000 | $322 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $25,341
- Equity at exit
- $86,047
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $98,073
- Equity at exit
- $111,006
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30525
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 256
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,054/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Bulldog Ln Clayton, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2030 | $2,500 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $265,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $265,000 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-03-19price $265,000 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.
-
2025-12-30status Back On Market 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.
-
2025-12-28historical 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.
-
2025-11-07price $285,000 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.
-
2025-06-30$315,000 New 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
2 STORY HOME CLOSE TO TOWN. 2 SEPARATE KITCHENS ON EACH FLOOR. 3 BED 2 BATH MAIN LEVEL. 1 BED ,1 BATH, FAMILY ROOM, AND A BONUS ROOM ON THE.LOWER LEVEL. CAN BE USED A INLAWS SUITE WITH A SEPARATE ENTRANCE. OR TWO POSSIBLE RENTALS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,054 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,438 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,384/yr (+$115/mo · 131.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$1,054
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable income
- $268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$64
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,580/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rabun County
- NCES district ID
- 1304320
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,980
- Composite
- 35.64/100
- National rank
- #4882
- State rank
- #37 of 174 in GA
Livability — Clayton
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #12208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clayton, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,265
Population outlook (Rabun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,227 people
- By 2030
- 16,000 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 15,213 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 13,974 · -13.9%
- By 2075
- 10,717 · -34.0%
- By 2100
- 7,824 · -51.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rabun
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.9) · D 21.3% · R 78.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.9pp · 2024: -56.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.9 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+56.4 2008: R+45.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- Current HPI
- 310.5456
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-15.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $265,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-30 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-12-28 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $285,000 GAMLS
- 2025-06-30 Listed $315,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,054 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…