7115 W Porpoise Dr · Homosassa Springs, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 4 income producing units in these 2 duplexes. Each duplex has a 2 bedroom/ 1 bath unit and a 1 bedroom /1 bath unit. Metal roof was installed in 2018. Convenient location within a few miles to HWY 19 for shopping, dining, and banking. Also, a few miles to 589 (Suncoast Parkway) for easy access to Crystal River, Brooksville and Tampa. This affordable investment by this motivated seller won't last long. Citrus County is growing with the new shopping center and extension of the Suncoast Parkway. Come see all this property has to offer on the Nature Coast of Florida.
Key facts
- Easy access
- Metal roof
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: MDR
- Financial info: Current rents: $575, $1,000, $700, $600
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway; Unpaved parking areas
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Duplex (residential income property)
- Construction: Block and concrete construction; Block and slab foundation; Metal roof; Built as a duplex
- Exterior features: Level, rectangular, wooded lot; Paved roads with county road frontage; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units; Two 1-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Two 1-bath units (for the 2-bedroom units); Two 1-bath units (for the 1-bedroom units)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Electric oven; Electric range; Central heating; Central electric cooling
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-672/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (4.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (11.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#391 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Homosassa Elementary School (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 411 students, 78% FRL); Crystal River Middle School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #286 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 900 students, 64% FRL); Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 582 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $219k implies a 313% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.20%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-38,974
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-38,207
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34446
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Active inventory
- 582
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,948 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$289 /mo · $3,466/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $-56
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5323 S Knobhill Ter Homosassa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5900 S Oakridge Dr Homosassa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,575 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-21$219,000 Active
-
1977-10-01soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,466 · $289/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,466 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,377
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,466
- − Insurance
- −$1,892
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,870
- − Management
- −$1,870
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$4,360
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,046
- After-tax cash flow
- $374/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Homosassa Springs
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #391
- US rank
- #6877
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,102
- Household income
- $58,802
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 121.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.11%
- Current HPI
- 277.2576
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+313.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — RACC
- 2026-05-21 Listed $219,000 RACC
- 1977-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,466 · +16.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…