20461 Victor Ave · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sweat Equity potential in the heart of Olde Towne Elkhorn. Steps away from Elkhorn's business district with many restaurants and shops.
Key facts
- 6,960 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1954
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($788/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Elkhorn Public Schools (urban): math 77% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #1 of 111 in NE (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Westridge Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #27 of 502 statewide, top 7%, 364 students, 21% FRL); Elkhorn Middle School (math 68% / reading 61%, grade A-, #10 of 128 statewide, top 8%, 607 students, 20% FRL); Elkhorn High School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade B+, #10 of 261 statewide, top 4%, 741 students, 16% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 793 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($148k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.79%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,340
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20461 Victor Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 813 (0%) | 1mo | $146,000 | $180 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-12,681
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,156
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68022
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 793
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,764 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $66
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $134 | -5% $100 | +0% $66 | +5% $32 | +10% $-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-74 | -5% $-4 | +0% $66 | +5% $135 | +10% $205 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $126 | -0.5pp $96 | base $66 | +0.5pp $35 | +1.0pp $3 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 Veterans Dr Elkhorn, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $2,387 | $2.35 | 3d | 9 | 0.49mi |
| 19910 Lake Plz Elkhorn, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1401 | $1,924 | $1.37 | 3d | 13 | 0.57mi |
| 20038 Elkhorn Ridge Dr Omaha, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 17551 Pinkney St Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1024 | $1,632 | $1.59 | 3d | 23 | 0.79mi |
| 3333 N 212th Avenue Plz Elkhorn, NE | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1113 | $2,447 | $2.20 | 3d | 13 | 0.79mi |
| 1004 N 192nd Ct Unit Beckham 1 Bedroom Elkhorn, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,295 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1011 N 192nd Ct Apt 103 Elkhorn, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $1,295 | $1.86 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1010 N 192nd St Elkhorn, NE | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1135 | $1,862 | $1.64 | 4d | 19 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-03-28$120,000 New
-
2009-04-24soldstatus $75,000
-
1996-06-19soldstatus $25,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,260 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,260 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,171
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,260
- − Insurance
- −$6,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,694
- − Management
- −$1,694
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$814
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$195
- After-tax cash flow
- $984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elkhorn Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3170110
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $96,478
- Composite
- 69.21/100
- National rank
- #318
- State rank
- #1 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,538
- Household income
- $148,111
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 651.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.67%
- Current HPI
- 200.1245
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.25%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+370.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $120,000 GPRMLS
- 2009-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1996-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,260 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…