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20461 Victor Ave
A- Composite 81.89
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

20461 Victor Ave · Omaha, NE 68022
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 813 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1954 6,960 sqft lot Est $146k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Sweat Equity potential in the heart of Olde Towne Elkhorn. Steps away from Elkhorn's business district with many restaurants and shops.

Key facts

  • 6,960 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1954

Tags

HEART OF OLDE TOWNE ELKHORNELKHORN BUSINESS DISTRICTMANY RESTAURANTS AND SHOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($788/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Elkhorn Public Schools (urban): math 77% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #1 of 111 in NE (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Westridge Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #27 of 502 statewide, top 7%, 364 students, 21% FRL); Elkhorn Middle School (math 68% / reading 61%, grade A-, #10 of 128 statewide, top 8%, 607 students, 20% FRL); Elkhorn High School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade B+, #10 of 261 statewide, top 4%, 741 students, 16% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 793 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($148k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
11.55%
Cash-on-cash
18.79%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,340
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20461 Victor Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 813 (0%) 1mo $146,000 $180 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-12,681
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$5,156
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68022

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
793
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,764 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,260/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,681
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $134 -5% $100 +0% $66 +5% $32 +10% $-2
Rent -10% $-74 -5% $-4 +0% $66 +5% $135 +10% $205
Rate -1.0pp $126 -0.5pp $96 base $66 +0.5pp $35 +1.0pp $3

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1999 Veterans Dr Elkhorn, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1015 $2,387 $2.35 3d 9 0.49mi
19910 Lake Plz Elkhorn, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1401 $1,924 $1.37 3d 13 0.57mi
20038 Elkhorn Ridge Dr Omaha, NE 1.0 1.0 900 $975 $1.08 3d 1 0.77mi
17551 Pinkney St Omaha, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1024 $1,632 $1.59 3d 23 0.79mi
3333 N 212th Avenue Plz Elkhorn, NE 3.0 1.0–2.0 1113 $2,447 $2.20 3d 13 0.79mi
1004 N 192nd Ct Unit Beckham 1 Bedroom Elkhorn, NE 1.0 1.0 876 $1,295 $1.48 25d 1 1.21mi
1011 N 192nd Ct Apt 103 Elkhorn, NE 1.0 1.0 695 $1,295 $1.86 22d 1 1.29mi
1010 N 192nd St Elkhorn, NE 3.0 1.0–2.5 1135 $1,862 $1.64 4d 19 1.31mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-03-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-28
    listed $120,000 New
  3. 2009-04-24
    soldstatus $75,000
  4. 1996-06-19
    soldstatus $25,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,260 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,260 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,171
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,260
− Insurance
−$6,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,694
− Management
−$1,694
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$814
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$195
After-tax cash flow
$984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elkhorn Public Schools
NCES district ID
3170110
Math proficiency
77% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$96,478
Composite
69.21/100
National rank
#318
State rank
#1 of 111 in NE

Livability — Omaha

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#663

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Omaha, NE
County
Douglas County · 538,646 people
City population
552,986
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
Population (ZIP)
36,538
Household income
$148,111
Rent vs Own
26.0% rent · 74.0% own
Severe rent burden
651.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
625,245 people
By 2030
661,613 · +5.8%
By 2040
732,395 · +17.1%
By 2050
801,988 · +28.3%
By 2075
968,637 · +54.9%
By 2100
1,101,871 · +76.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.67%
Current HPI
200.1245
Rent YoY
▲ 4.25%
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+370.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $120,000 GPRMLS
  • 2009-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 1996-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,260 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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