730 N Johnson St · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious home on the north side of Amarillo featuring 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a versatile floor plan. Offers two living areas, a dedicated office, and a utility room for added convenience. The kitchen has been updated with granite countertops, providing both style and functionality. Exterior features a brick main level with stucco on the upper level, creating unique curb appeal. Includes a backyard storage building with potential, ideal for extra storage or workshop space. Great opportunity with plenty of room to grow--schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Utility room
- Two living areas
- Dedicated office
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($728/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.79%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $367,262
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -60.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-19,547
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-11,708
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79107
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,469 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$279 /mo · $3,352/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $61
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 N Monroe St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 603 N Monroe St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $1,500 | $0.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 302 N Madison St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $1,500 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1819 Darden St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,095 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1314 NW 10th Ave Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,100 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2012 Ron Dr Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1463 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-04-03$145,000 Active 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
Spacious home on the north side of Amarillo featuring 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a versatile floor plan. Offers two living areas, a dedicated office, and a utility room for added convenience. The kitchen has been updated with granite countertops, providing both style and functionality. Exterior features a brick main level with stucco on the upper level, creating unique curb appeal. Includes a backyard storage building with potential, ideal for extra storage or workshop space. Great opportunity with plenty of room to grow--schedule your showing today!
-
2023-10-27price $155,000
-
2023-07-14price $159,000
-
2023-07-12price $169,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,352 · $279/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,352 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,633
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$3,352
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,411
- − Management
- −$1,411
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,606
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$385
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,114/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Potter County · 72,216 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,662
- Household income
- $40,671
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1019.0
Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,296 people
- By 2030
- 120,883 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 119,668 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 117,788 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 110,250 · -9.1%
- By 2100
- 92,923 · -23.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% Black 25% Two or more races 17% White 16% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Potter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.01%
- Current HPI
- 215.7976
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-14.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $145,000 AARMLS
- 2023-10-27 Price Changed $155,000 AARMLS
- 2023-07-14 Price Changed $159,000 AARMLS
- 2023-07-12 Price Changed $169,000 AARMLS
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,352 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…