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730 N Johnson St
D Composite 44.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

730 N Johnson St · Amarillo, TX 79107
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,608 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1926 $90/sqft · 61% below area ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious home on the north side of Amarillo featuring 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a versatile floor plan. Offers two living areas, a dedicated office, and a utility room for added convenience. The kitchen has been updated with granite countertops, providing both style and functionality. Exterior features a brick main level with stucco on the upper level, creating unique curb appeal. Includes a backyard storage building with potential, ideal for extra storage or workshop space. Great opportunity with plenty of room to grow--schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Utility room
  • Two living areas
  • Dedicated office

Tags

TWO LIVING AREASDEDICATED OFFICEUTILITY ROOMGRANITE COUNTERTOPSBRICK MAIN LEVELSTUCCO ON UPPER LEVEL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($728/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $136,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.79%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$367,262
List price
$145,000
Delta
-60.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-19,547
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-11,708
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79107

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,469 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$279 /mo · $3,352/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$61

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,393
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
609 N Monroe St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 44d 1 0.86mi
603 N Monroe St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 2200 $1,500 $0.68 21d 1 0.87mi
302 N Madison St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 2200 $1,500 $0.68 44d 1 0.97mi
1819 Darden St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1114 $1,095 $0.98 44d 1 1.30mi
1314 NW 10th Ave Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,100 $0.90 21d 1 1.36mi
2012 Ron Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.5 1463 $1,795 $1.23 21d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 57 DOM
  16. 2026-04-03
    listed $145,000 Active 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    Spacious home on the north side of Amarillo featuring 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a versatile floor plan. Offers two living areas, a dedicated office, and a utility room for added convenience. The kitchen has been updated with granite countertops, providing both style and functionality. Exterior features a brick main level with stucco on the upper level, creating unique curb appeal. Includes a backyard storage building with potential, ideal for extra storage or workshop space. Great opportunity with plenty of room to grow--schedule your showing today!

  17. 2023-10-27
    price $155,000
  18. 2023-07-14
    price $159,000
  19. 2023-07-12
    price $169,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,352 · $279/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,352 · $279/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,633
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$3,352
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,411
− Management
−$1,411
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,606
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$385
After-tax cash flow
$1,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amarillo ISD
NCES district ID
4808130
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,478
Composite
35.96/100
National rank
#4798
State rank
#336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
County
Potter County · 72,216 people
City population
185,802
Metro
Amarillo, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,662
Household income
$40,671
Rent vs Own
44.0% rent · 56.0% own
Severe rent burden
1019.0

Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,296 people
By 2030
120,883 · -0.3%
By 2040
119,668 · -1.3%
By 2050
117,788 · -2.9%
By 2075
110,250 · -9.1%
By 2100
92,923 · -23.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% Black 25% Two or more races 17% White 16% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41%
Common ancestry
Ukrainian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Potter

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.01%
Current HPI
215.7976
Rent YoY
Metro
Amarillo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $145,000 AARMLS
  • 2023-10-27 Price Changed $155,000 AARMLS
  • 2023-07-14 Price Changed $159,000 AARMLS
  • 2023-07-12 Price Changed $169,000 AARMLS

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,352 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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