1127 Daniels Ave · Woodlawn, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!
Key facts
- Huge basement
- 2-car driveway
- Fenced back yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt driveway with two driveway spaces; Total of two garage and parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Average condition; Ownership is fee simple
- Construction: Built per assessor records; Block and vinyl siding construction; Block and concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Ground rent paid annually; Lot dimensions recorded by assessor
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Concrete floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Basement present with unfinished space, rear entrance and windows; Not in a federal flood zone; Assessor-recorded living area
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-438 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (28.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (36.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (36.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in MD, #2,926 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $210k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.95%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 13.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $283,532
- List price
- $270,000
- Delta
- -4.77%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5907 Prince George | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 864 (0%) | 10mo | $278,000 | $322 | 77 |
| 1135 Wilson Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 905 (+5%) | 21mo | $295,900 | $327 | 67 |
| 6011 Cecil Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 978 (+13%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $240 | 42 |
| 5910 Hilltop Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+8%) | 18mo | $240,000 | $256 | 41 |
| 5948 Baltimore St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 979 (+13%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $204 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $113,902
- Equity at exit
- $233,444
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.81×
- Total profit
- $363,881
- Equity at exit
- $493,362
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21207
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 13.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,722 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$270 /mo · $3,240/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $-438
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-285 | -5% $-361 | +0% $-438 | +5% $-514 | +10% $-591 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-574 | -5% $-506 | +0% $-438 | +5% $-370 | +10% $-302 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-302 | -0.5pp $-369 | base $-438 | +0.5pp $-508 | +1.0pp $-579 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 930 Masefield Rd Unit 1 Woodlawn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,650 | $2.45 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1314 Dorchester Ave Unit B, UPPER LEVEL ONLY Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 407 Cedar Run Pl Catonsville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $1,546 | $2.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 408 Shade Tree Pl Catonsville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $1,812 | $2.25 | 6d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1205 St Agnes Ln Woodlawn, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 542 | $1,283 | $2.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2 Walden Birch Ct Woodlawn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1022 | $1,792 | $1.75 | 6d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1661 N Forest Park Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,625 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1546 Ingleside Ave Woodlawn, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,600 | $1.95 | 0d | 3 | 0.82mi |
| 1729 Champlain Dr Woodlawn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 614 | $1,574 | $2.56 | 0d | 10 | 1.11mi |
| 351 Suter Rd Catonsville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 753 | $1,566 | $2.08 | 0d | 19 | 1.18mi |
| 5364 Jamestowne Ct Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 787 | $1,905 | $2.42 | 5d | 13 | 1.33mi |
| 220 Stonecroft Rd Unit 230-D Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 220 Stonecroft Rd Unit 232-I Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 131 N Bend Rd Unit 131-1B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 910 | $1,225 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $270,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 580-char remark
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $270,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $278,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $278,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $278,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $278,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $278,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08price $278,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,950 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $289,950 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,950 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,950 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $289,950 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$299,500 Active 503-char remark
-
2021-04-26soldstatus $210,000
-
2021-01-31soldstatus $210,000 Closed 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!
-
2021-01-22Active Under Contract 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!
-
2021-01-08soldstatus $210,000 Closed 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!
-
2020-12-03status Pending 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!
-
2020-11-22$210,000 Active 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,240 · $270/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,240 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,669
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$3,240
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,654
- − Management
- −$1,654
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$10,207
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,450
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,803/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Woodlawn
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #2926
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Woodlawn, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 49,599
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $67,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2139.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.50%
- Current HPI
- 843.63
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.23%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+28.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $270,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-07 Price Changed $278,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $289,950 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $299,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2021-01-31 Sold (MLS) $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-01-22 Listed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-01-08 Sold (MLS) $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-12-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-11-22 Listed $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,240 · -14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…