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1127 Daniels Ave
D Composite 40.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$270,000

1127 Daniels Ave · Woodlawn, MD 21207
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1969 5,000 sqft lot $312/sqft · at area comps Est $284k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!

Key facts

  • Huge basement
  • 2-car driveway
  • Fenced back yard

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSNEWER HVAC SYSTEMHUGE BASEMENT2-CAR DRIVEWAYFENCED BACK YARDSPACIOUS BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt driveway with two driveway spaces; Total of two garage and parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling; Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Detached property; Average condition; Ownership is fee simple
  • Construction: Built per assessor records; Block and vinyl siding construction; Block and concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Ground rent paid annually; Lot dimensions recorded by assessor

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Concrete floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Basement present with unfinished space, rear entrance and windows; Not in a federal flood zone; Assessor-recorded living area
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-438 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (28.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (36.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (36.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in MD, #2,926 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
  • Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $210k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,241 (36.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
4.35%
Cash-on-cash
-6.95%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
13.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$283,532
List price
$270,000
Delta
-4.77%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5907 Prince George 0.22mi 3/2.0 864 (0%) 10mo $278,000 $322 77
1135 Wilson Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 905 (+5%) 21mo $295,900 $327 67
6011 Cecil Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 978 (+13%) 9mo $235,000 $240 42
5910 Hilltop Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 936 (+8%) 18mo $240,000 $256 41
5948 Baltimore St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 979 (+13%) 5mo $200,000 $204 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$113,902
Equity at exit
$233,444
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
5.81×
Total profit
$363,881
Equity at exit
$493,362

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21207

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,722 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$270 /mo · $3,240/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$-438

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,276
Max offer price $192,682
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-285 -5% $-361 +0% $-438 +5% $-514 +10% $-591
Rent -10% $-574 -5% $-506 +0% $-438 +5% $-370 +10% $-302
Rate -1.0pp $-302 -0.5pp $-369 base $-438 +0.5pp $-508 +1.0pp $-579

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
930 Masefield Rd Unit 1 Woodlawn, MD 3.0 1.5 1080 $2,650 $2.45 4d 1 0.39mi
1314 Dorchester Ave Unit B, UPPER LEVEL ONLY Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 45d 1 0.44mi
407 Cedar Run Pl Catonsville, MD 2.0 1.0 544 $1,546 $2.84 21d 1 0.49mi
408 Shade Tree Pl Catonsville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 805 $1,812 $2.25 6d 1 0.52mi
1205 St Agnes Ln Woodlawn, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 542 $1,283 $2.36 6d 1 0.66mi
2 Walden Birch Ct Woodlawn, MD 3.0 1.5 1022 $1,792 $1.75 6d 1 0.78mi
1661 N Forest Park Ave Gwynn Oak, MD 2.0 1.0 790 $1,625 $2.06 25d 1 0.79mi
1546 Ingleside Ave Woodlawn, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 820 $1,600 $1.95 0d 3 0.82mi
1729 Champlain Dr Woodlawn, MD 2.0 1.0 614 $1,574 $2.56 0d 10 1.11mi
351 Suter Rd Catonsville, MD 2.0 1.0 753 $1,566 $2.08 0d 19 1.18mi
5364 Jamestowne Ct Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–1.5 787 $1,905 $2.42 5d 13 1.33mi
220 Stonecroft Rd Unit 230-D Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 900 $1,395 $1.55 23d 1 1.35mi
220 Stonecroft Rd Unit 232-I Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 900 $1,295 $1.44 19d 1 1.35mi
131 N Bend Rd Unit 131-1B Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 910 $1,225 $1.35 23d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on marketlisting id $270,000 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 580-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $270,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $278,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $278,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $278,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $278,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $278,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    price $278,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,950 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $289,950 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,950 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,950 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    price $289,950 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,500 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,500 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $299,500 Active 503-char remark
  18. 2021-04-26
    soldstatus $210,000
  19. 2021-01-31
    soldstatus $210,000 Closed 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!

  20. 2021-01-22
    listed Active Under Contract 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!

  21. 2021-01-08
    soldstatus $210,000 Closed 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!

  22. 2020-12-03
    status Pending 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!

  23. 2020-11-22
    listed $210,000 Active 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Single family home at a townhouse price! Be in by the end of 2020! Easy, convenient one level living. Hardwood floors throughout first floor. Central air, 3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, gas stove, pull down attic steps. HUGE basement ready for you to finish, or make a home office, or gym. .. or both . .. with walkout stairs to nice sized, fenced rear yard. Driveway holds 2 cars, plenty of street parking. Single Family Home for this price will not last. .. come see today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,240 · $270/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,240 · $270/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,669
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$3,240
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,654
− Management
−$1,654
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$10,207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,450
After-tax cash flow
$-2,803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400120
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$66,746
Composite
23.17/100
National rank
#7948
State rank
#11 of 24 in MD

Livability — Woodlawn

Score
77/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#2926

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Woodlawn, MD
County
Baltimore County · 769,527 people
City population
49,599
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
47,099
Household income
$67,060
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
2139.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
885,518 people
By 2030
909,272 · +2.7%
By 2040
951,547 · +7.5%
By 2050
990,955 · +11.9%
By 2075
1,086,411 · +22.7%
By 2100
1,135,078 · +28.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Swedish 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
843.63
Rent YoY
▲ 5.23%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+28.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $270,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-07 Price Changed $278,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $289,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $299,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-31 Sold (MLS) $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-01-22 Listed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-01-08 Sold (MLS) $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-12-03 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-11-22 Listed $210,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,240 · -14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…