129 Walnut St · Windham, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Antique Colonial - Prime Windham Location Step back in time and experience the warmth and character of this classic 1915 Antique Colonial, beautifully situated on a desirable corner lot in Windham. This inviting home offers four spacious bedrooms and one full bath, along with a generously sized living room perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The bright eat-in kitchen provides a welcoming space for gatherings and everyday living. Enjoy peaceful mornings or cozy seasonal evenings in the sun-filled three-season room, complete with stairs leading directly out to the backyard. The property is surrounded by a charming white picket fence, enhancing its timeless New England appeal. A standout feature is the impressive two-story garage with access from two streets, offering exceptional convenience, storage, or potential workshop space. The full walk-out lower level adds additional functionality and flexibility. Ideally located close to local colleges, this property presents an excellent opportunity for investors, owner-occupants, or those seeking rental potential. Enjoy nearby delicious eateries, unique shops, and easy commuting access to surrounding towns and major routes. This is a truly charming and classic New England home that must be seen to be fully appreciated.
Key facts
- Two-story garage
- Three-season room
- White picket fence
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($993/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (7.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Windham School District (town): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #143 of 153 in CT (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,016/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1122% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.62%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,094
- List price
- $219,000
- Delta
- -15.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Schoolhouse Ln | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+1%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $201 | 85 |
| 285 Jackson St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+0%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $250 | 66 |
| 35 Peru St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 7mo | $262,000 | $252 | 60 |
| 15 Chapman St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,040 (-4%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $240 | 58 |
| 497 Pleasant St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (+1%) | 15mo | $239,000 | $220 | 56 |
| 285 Church St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-4%) | 20mo | $240,000 | $233 | 55 |
| 65 Hewitt St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (+8%) | 9mo | $271,000 | $232 | 55 |
| 294 North St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+11%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $267 | 49 |
| 4 Gifford Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,036 (-4%) | 13mo | $219,900 | $212 | 48 |
| 7 Ardman Dr | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,158 (+7%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $199 | 47 |
| 446 High St | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,134 (+5%) | 12mo | $295,000 | $260 | 45 |
| 170 S Park St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,184 (+10%) | 20mo | $145,000 | $122 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-30,187
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-19,382
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06226
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,016 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$270 /mo · $3,244/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $83
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $207 | -5% $145 | +0% $83 | +5% $21 | +10% $-41 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-77 | -5% $3 | +0% $83 | +5% $162 | +10% $242 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $193 | -0.5pp $138 | base $83 | +0.5pp $26 | +1.0pp $-32 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 Valley St Willimantic, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 248 Ivan Hill St Willimantic, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $2,800 | $2.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3 Milk St Unit 2A Willimantic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 173 Mansfield Ave Willimantic, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 7 W Park St Willimantic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,375 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 84 Ash St Willimantic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1 Ardman Dr Willimantic, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $2,300 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 49 Brook St Apt 3 Willimantic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 53 Lynwood Dr Willimantic, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $2,200 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 466 Ash St Willimantic, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 145 Foster Dr Willimantic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 687 | $1,830 | $2.66 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 15 Patriots Sq Mansfield Center, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1276 | $2,600 | $2.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $219,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $219,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-04-18price $229,000 1291-char remark
Show marketing remark (1291 chars)
Charming Antique Colonial - Prime Windham Location Step back in time and experience the warmth and character of this classic 1915 Antique Colonial, beautifully situated on a desirable corner lot in Windham. This inviting home offers four spacious bedrooms and one full bath, along with a generously sized living room perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The bright eat-in kitchen provides a welcoming space for gatherings and everyday living. Enjoy peaceful mornings or cozy seasonal evenings in the sun-filled three-season room, complete with stairs leading directly out to the backyard. The property is surrounded by a charming white picket fence, enhancing its timeless New England appeal. A standout feature is the impressive two-story garage with access from two streets, offering exceptional convenience, storage, or potential workshop space. The full walk-out lower level adds additional functionality and flexibility. Ideally located close to local colleges, this property presents an excellent opportunity for investors, owner-occupants, or those seeking rental potential. Enjoy nearby delicious eateries, unique shops, and easy commuting access to surrounding towns and major routes. This is a truly charming and classic New England home that must be seen to be fully appreciated.
-
2026-03-12$237,500 Active 1291-char remark
Show marketing remark (1291 chars)
Charming Antique Colonial - Prime Windham Location Step back in time and experience the warmth and character of this classic 1915 Antique Colonial, beautifully situated on a desirable corner lot in Windham. This inviting home offers four spacious bedrooms and one full bath, along with a generously sized living room perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The bright eat-in kitchen provides a welcoming space for gatherings and everyday living. Enjoy peaceful mornings or cozy seasonal evenings in the sun-filled three-season room, complete with stairs leading directly out to the backyard. The property is surrounded by a charming white picket fence, enhancing its timeless New England appeal. A standout feature is the impressive two-story garage with access from two streets, offering exceptional convenience, storage, or potential workshop space. The full walk-out lower level adds additional functionality and flexibility. Ideally located close to local colleges, this property presents an excellent opportunity for investors, owner-occupants, or those seeking rental potential. Enjoy nearby delicious eateries, unique shops, and easy commuting access to surrounding towns and major routes. This is a truly charming and classic New England home that must be seen to be fully appreciated.
-
2025-09-25historical
-
2025-08-23price $228,500
-
2025-08-05price $229,000
-
2025-08-03price $234,500
-
2025-08-02price $235,000
-
2025-07-26price $239,000
-
2025-07-22$239,500 Active
-
2025-07-10historical
-
2025-06-09price $245,000
-
2025-05-13price $249,000
-
2025-04-30$259,000 Active
-
2024-08-21soldstatus $215,000 Closed
-
2024-08-12status Under Contract
-
2024-07-18historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2024-07-09$199,129 Active
-
2022-02-02historical
-
2022-01-24$135,000 Active
-
2022-01-12historical
-
2021-12-03price $135,000
-
2021-11-15$139,900 Active
-
2011-01-13historical
-
2010-12-09$99,000
-
2006-12-31historical
-
2006-11-01soldstatus $104,000
-
2006-06-05$117,990
-
2006-06-04historical
-
2005-12-13$139,900
-
2004-03-02soldstatus $101,900
-
2004-03-02soldstatus $101,900
-
2004-01-14$101,900
-
2004-01-14$101,900
-
2001-10-01soldstatus $79,890
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,244 · $270/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,965 · $330/mo
- Expected delta
- +$721/yr (+$60/mo · 22.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,244
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,936
- − Management
- −$1,936
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$2,654
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$637
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,630/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Windham School District
- NCES district ID
- 0905190
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,956
- Composite
- 17.01/100
- National rank
- #9128
- State rank
- #143 of 153 in CT
Livability — Windham
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Willimantic, CT
- County
- Windham County · 30,529 people
- Metro
- Worcester, MA-CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,344
- Household income
- $47,162
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1122.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 44% Two or more races 20% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 30% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Guatemala, China
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 33% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.01%
- Current HPI
- 301.9706
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Worcester, MA-CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+472.5% since first listed42 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $229,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $237,500 Smart MLS
- 2025-09-25 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $228,500 Smart MLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $229,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-08-03 Price Changed $234,500 Smart MLS
- 2025-08-02 Price Changed $235,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $239,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-07-22 Listed $239,500 Smart MLS
- 2025-07-10 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $245,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $249,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-04-30 Listed $259,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-08-21 Sold (MLS) $215,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-08-12 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2024-07-18 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2024-07-09 Listed $199,129 Smart MLS
- 2022-02-02 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2022-01-24 Listed $135,000 Smart MLS
- 2022-01-12 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2021-12-03 Price Changed $135,000 Smart MLS
- 2021-11-15 Listed $139,900 Smart MLS
- 2011-01-13 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2010-12-09 Listed $99,000 Smart MLS
- 2006-12-31 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2006-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-05 Listed $117,990 Smart MLS
- 2006-06-04 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2005-12-13 Listed $139,900 Smart MLS
- 2004-03-02 Sold (MLS) $101,900 Smart MLS
- 2004-03-02 Sold (MLS) $101,900 Smart MLS
- 2004-01-14 Listed $101,900 Smart MLS
- 2004-01-14 Listed $101,900 Smart MLS
- 2001-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $79,890 Public Records
- 2001-09-28 Sold (MLS) $79,890 Smart MLS
- 2001-08-10 Listed $79,890 Smart MLS
- 2000-11-24 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2000-10-30 Listed $79,890 Smart MLS
- 1998-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 1998-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 1997-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 1997-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2023): $3,244 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…