216 Moore Rd Unit 4M · Avon Lake, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$123,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bright, updated, and move-in ready! This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath condo offers comfortable, low-maintenance living in a convenient location near Lake Erie, shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Enjoy new flooring, fresh paint, and updated bathrooms that give the home a clean, modern feel making it easy to settle right in and feel at home. The living spaces create a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. Residents also enjoy access to the community pool opening in June, shared laundry facility, and detached garage for additional storage and parking. A great opportunity to own an updated condo at an affordable price — this one won’t last long! Seller currently pays $306.74 per mo
Key facts
- Community pool
- Updated bathrooms
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Cats allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee covers management, gas, insurance, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, parking, recreation facilities, reserve fund, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water; Community laundry facilities; Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (1 car); On-site parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story property; Entry on level 1; Updated / remodeled condition
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Private pool; Association / community pool; Smoke detectors
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Two bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning (gas)
- Interior features: Pantry; Five total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $123k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.1% in Avon Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#52 in OH, #736 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Avon Lake City (suburban): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #48 of 656 in OH (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Westview Elementary School (math 77% / reading 67%, grade A-, #323 of 1,584 statewide, top 23%, 255 students, 14% FRL); Troy Intermediate Elementary School (math 76% / reading 82%, grade A+, #54 of 654 statewide, top 9%, 549 students, 12% FRL); Avon Lake High School (math 67% / reading 87%, grade A-, #56 of 781 statewide, top 8%, 1,152 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $123k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.92%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,434
- Equity at exit
- $18,340
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $18,805
- Equity at exit
- $10,635
Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44012
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,756 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,544/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$306
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $256
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $326 | -5% $291 | +0% $256 | +5% $221 | +10% $186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $117 | -5% $187 | +0% $256 | +5% $325 | +10% $395 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $318 | -0.5pp $287 | base $256 | +0.5pp $224 | +1.0pp $192 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,750
- Closing costs
- $3,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 Moore Rd Avon Lake, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,250 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 181 Somerset Ln Avon Lake, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $1,787 | $1.71 | 3d | 14 | 0.13mi |
| 407 Rachel Ln Avon Lake, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,850 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 455 Rachel Ln Avon Lake, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,670 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 33168 Beverly Ln Avon Lake, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,850 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 33803 Electric Blvd Unit G10 Avon Lake, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1001 | $1,480 | $1.48 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 750 Aqua Marine Blvd Avon Lake, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $2,000 | $1.96 | 3d | 11 | 0.83mi |
| 201 Erieview Blvd Sheffield Lake, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $2,000 | $2.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 345 Lynne Dr Sheffield Lake, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,395 | $1.53 | 9d | 1 | 1.14mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $306 · $3,672/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-17status $123,000 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $123,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $123,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $123,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $123,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $123,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $123,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $123,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $123,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $123,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $123,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $123,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $123,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$123,000 Active
-
2021-06-02soldstatus $57,000
-
2002-12-17soldstatus $53,000
-
1996-11-15soldstatus $41,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,544 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,732 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- +$187/yr (+$16/mo · 12.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,066
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,890
- − Property taxes
- −$1,544
- − Insurance
- −$615
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,685
- − Management
- −$1,685
- − HOA
- −$3,672
- − Depreciation
- −$3,578
- Taxable income
- $1,396
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$335
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,736/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Avon Lake City
- NCES district ID
- 3904812
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,608
- Composite
- 69.66/100
- National rank
- #296
- State rank
- #48 of 656 in OH
Livability — Avon Lake
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #736
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Avon Lake, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 25,752
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,752
- Household income
- $115,567
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 290.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.16%
- Current HPI
- 207.1177
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $123,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2002-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1996-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,544 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…