103 Bell St · Havana, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this quiet and cozy 4-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow nestled in a well-established neighborhood. This home offers great potential and just needs a little TLC to truly shine. Featuring a newer roof and newer HVAC system, many of the major updates have already been taken care of for you. With solid bones and plenty of space, this property is ready for its new owners to make it their own. This Sale also includes Parcel Id 2-26-3N-2W-0210-0000C-0510 which is approx . 0086 of an acre. Whether you're looking for your next investment opportunity or a place to call home, this bungalow is full of possibilities!
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Newer hvac system
- 4,356 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.1% in Havana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#272 in FL, #4,420 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Gadsden (rural): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #70 of 73 in FL (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 107 units permitted in Gadsden County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gadsden County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.46%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,166
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -43.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 Washington Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-12%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $58 | 68 |
| 129 Horseshoe Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,325 (+4%) | 22mo | $92,500 | $70 | 65 |
| 322 Garland Rd | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,269 (-0%) | 13mo | $239,000 | $188 | 62 |
| 360 Bostick Rd | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,197 (-6%) | 15mo | $207,000 | $173 | 59 |
| 504 NE 2nd St | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,264 (-0%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $142 | 58 |
| 703 NE 3rd St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+6%) | 15mo | $130,000 | $97 | 53 |
| 898 Circle Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,377 (+8%) | 14mo | $345,000 | $251 | 52 |
| 204 E 3rd Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-10%) | 10mo | $167,500 | $147 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $12,545
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $47,608
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32333
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $204/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $450
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $506 | -5% $478 | +0% $450 | +5% $309 | +10% $274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $347 | -5% $398 | +0% $450 | +5% $501 | +10% $552 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $499 | -0.5pp $475 | base $450 | +0.5pp $424 | +1.0pp $398 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 NE 1st St Havana, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-03-30price $99,000 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Welcome to this quiet and cozy 4-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow nestled in a well-established neighborhood. This home offers great potential and just needs a little TLC to truly shine. Featuring a newer roof and newer HVAC system, many of the major updates have already been taken care of for you. With solid bones and plenty of space, this property is ready for its new owners to make it their own. This Sale also includes Parcel Id 2-26-3N-2W-0210-0000C-0510 which is approx . 0086 of an acre. Whether you're looking for your next investment opportunity or a place to call home, this bungalow is full of possibilities!
-
2026-03-30price $110,000 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Welcome to this quiet and cozy 4-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow nestled in a well-established neighborhood. This home offers great potential and just needs a little TLC to truly shine. Featuring a newer roof and newer HVAC system, many of the major updates have already been taken care of for you. With solid bones and plenty of space, this property is ready for its new owners to make it their own. This Sale also includes Parcel Id 2-26-3N-2W-0210-0000C-0510 which is approx . 0086 of an acre. Whether you're looking for your next investment opportunity or a place to call home, this bungalow is full of possibilities!
-
2026-03-30price $99,000 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Welcome to this quiet and cozy 4-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow nestled in a well-established neighborhood. This home offers great potential and just needs a little TLC to truly shine. Featuring a newer roof and newer HVAC system, many of the major updates have already been taken care of for you. With solid bones and plenty of space, this property is ready for its new owners to make it their own. This Sale also includes Parcel Id 2-26-3N-2W-0210-0000C-0510 which is approx . 0086 of an acre. Whether you're looking for your next investment opportunity or a place to call home, this bungalow is full of possibilities!
-
2026-02-11$130,000 Active 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Welcome to this quiet and cozy 4-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow nestled in a well-established neighborhood. This home offers great potential and just needs a little TLC to truly shine. Featuring a newer roof and newer HVAC system, many of the major updates have already been taken care of for you. With solid bones and plenty of space, this property is ready for its new owners to make it their own. This Sale also includes Parcel Id 2-26-3N-2W-0210-0000C-0510 which is approx . 0086 of an acre. Whether you're looking for your next investment opportunity or a place to call home, this bungalow is full of possibilities!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $204 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $822 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$618/yr (+$51/mo · 302.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$204
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $3,979
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$955
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gadsden
- NCES district ID
- 1200600
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,470
- Composite
- 25.75/100
- National rank
- #7373
- State rank
- #70 of 73 in FL
Livability — Havana
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #272
- US rank
- #4420
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,379
Population outlook (Gadsden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,956 people
- By 2030
- 40,878 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 36,218 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 31,502 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 21,828 · -49.2%
- By 2100
- 14,480 · -66.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Gadsden
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 65.0% · R 34.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+36.6 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+40.6 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.83%
- Current HPI
- 155.9185
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-23.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $99,000 CATRS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $110,000 CATRS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $99,000 CATRS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $130,000 CATRS
Property tax history
-3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $204 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…