253 Ridge Ave · New Kensington, PA 15068

$54,900

6 bd · None ba · 2,054 sqft · Other public records · 19 Days on market

Built 1910 3,576 sqft lot ↓ 26% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

2 BONUS ROOMS ON THIRD FLOOR NEWER CERAMIC BATH WITH STALL SHOWER ON FIRST FLOOR GARAGE COULD BE PUT BACK INTO A 2CAR GARAGE MODERN KITHEN WITH BREAKFAST BAR HOME HAS BEEN WELL MAINTENED SHOWS WELL NEWER HIGH EFF FURNACE NEWER H2O NEWER ELE. PANEL 2 PAD FANS

Key facts

• Covered front porch
• Hardwood flooring
• Original woodwork

Tags

• COVERED FRONT PORCH
• DETACHED GARAGE
• ORIGINAL WOODWORK
• HARDWOOD FLOORING
• RENOVATIONS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 6-bed/?-bath other listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
• Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 28.6% vs local median 7.2% in New Kensington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#840 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
• New Kensington-Arnold SD (suburban): math 16% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #483 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $54,076 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.55% ✓
• Cap rate: 28.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 79.59%
• DSCR: 4.54
• GRM: 2.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 78.4%
• Equity multiple: 4.51×
• Total profit: $54,021
• Equity at exit: $8,186

10-year hold

• IRR: 81.6%
• Equity multiple: 8.97×
• Total profit: $122,563
• Equity at exit: $4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 15068

• Home prices YoY: -12.2%
• Rents YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 167
• Price-to-rent: 2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,948 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$208 /mo · $2,500/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$409
• Net cashflow: $1,020

Break-even live

Break-even rent $657

Max offer price $54,900

Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,725
• Closing costs: $1,647
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1922 Kenneth Ave New Kensington, PA	5.0	2.0	1800	$2,150	$1.19	8d	1	0.96mi
1922 Kenneth Ave New Kensington, PA	5.0	2.0	1800	$2,100	$1.17	2d	1	0.96mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-03-30
   soldstatus $55,000
2. 2026-02-09
   status Pending
3. 2026-01-30
   price $54,900
4. 2026-01-21
   listed $59,900 Active
5. 2011-05-05
   listed $73,900 258-char remark

   Show marketing remark (258 chars)

   2 BONUS ROOMS ON THIRD FLOOR NEWER CERAMIC BATH WITH STALL SHOWER ON FIRST FLOOR GARAGE COULD BE PUT BACK INTO A 2CAR GARAGE MODERN KITHEN WITH BREAKFAST BAR HOME HAS BEEN WELL MAINTENED SHOWS WELL NEWER HIGH EFF FURNACE NEWER H2O NEWER ELE. PANEL 2 PAD FANS

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,500 · $208/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,500 · $208/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,372
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,075
• − Property taxes: −$2,500
• − Insurance: −$274
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,870
• − Management: −$1,870
• − Depreciation: −$1,597
• Taxable income: $12,185
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,924
• After-tax cash flow: $9,310/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: New Kensington-Arnold SD
• NCES district ID: 4216740
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $34,386
• Composite: 19.26/100
• National rank: #8805
• State rank: #483 of 539 in PA

Livability — New Kensington

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #840
• US rank: #8791

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New Kensington, PA
• County: Westmoreland County · 183,777 people
• City population: 36,203
• Metro: Pittsburgh, PA
• Population (ZIP): 36,203
• Household income: $63,426
• Rent vs Own: 27.8% rent · 72.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 967.0

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 342,555 people
• By 2030: 331,717 · -3.2%
• By 2040: 304,976 · -11.0%
• By 2050: 277,444 · -19.0%
• By 2075: 224,607 · -34.4%
• By 2100: 171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 12% Subsaharan African 2% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -42.50%
• Current HPI: 305.926
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.90%
• Metro: Pittsburgh, PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

-25.6% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
• 2026-02-09 Pending — West Penn MLS
• 2026-01-30 Price Changed $54,900 West Penn MLS
• 2026-01-21 Listed $59,900 West Penn MLS
• 2011-05-05 Listed $73,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,500 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.