🏷️ Likely Rental
200 W 20th St Unit A21 · Rifle, CO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$111,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5%* down with21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look! Buyer and anyone over 18 years old residing must be approved by the mobile home park.
Key facts
- 11x11 shed
- Fenced yard
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Inclusions: Dryer, Oven, Refrigerator, Washer, Range, Dishwasher; Exclusion: Microwave; Directions: From I-70, take the Rifle exit (Exit 90), head north on CO-13 (Railroad Ave), then turn west onto the HWY 13 bypass. From the bypass, turn right into the community and follow signs to 200 W 20th St (Kings Crown Mobile Home Park).
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present; Association amenities include professional management and pets allowed for owner; Association fee includes water, trash, and sewer
Exterior
- Utilities: Association covers water, trash, and sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home (HUD model)
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Not new construction; Located in the Kings Crown subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Good condition; HUD model
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($521/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (7.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $98k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.2% in Rifle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#217 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Garfield School District No. Re-2 (town): math 16% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #61 of 86 in CO (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Wamsley Elementary School (math 5% / reading 27%, grade F, #781 of 966 statewide, top 82%, 395 students, 51% FRL); Rifle Middle School (math 13% / reading 22%, grade F, #219 of 270 statewide, top 81%, 623 students, 44% FRL); Rifle High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #244 of 381 statewide, top 66%, 791 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 171 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $774 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Garfield County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $112k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.66%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $356,160
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Cowboy Dr | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 820 (-2%) | 1mo | $347,475 | $424 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-15,353
- Equity at exit
- $16,685
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-9,747
- Equity at exit
- $9,675
Cash invested: $31,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81650
- Home prices YoY
- -23.5%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,034 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$587
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$140 /mo · $1,678/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $43
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $121 | -5% $82 | +0% $43 | +5% $5 | +10% $-34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-38 | -5% $3 | +0% $43 | +5% $84 | +10% $125 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $100 | -0.5pp $72 | base $43 | +0.5pp $14 | +1.0pp $-15 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,975
- Closing costs
- $3,357
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
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2026-06-22days on market $111,900 Active 199 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $111,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $111,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $111,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $111,900 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $111,900 Active 192 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $111,900 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $111,900 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $111,900 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $111,900 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $111,900 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $111,900 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $111,900 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $111,900 Active 178 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $111,900 Active 177 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $111,900 Active 176 DOM
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2026-05-14price $111,900
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2026-02-02price $119,900
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2025-12-05$129,999 Active
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2022-08-31soldstatus $72,000 Closed 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5% * down with 21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look!
-
2022-08-31soldstatus $72,000 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5% * down with 21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look!
-
2022-07-30status Pending 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5%* down with21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look! Buyer and anyone over 18 years old residing must be approved by the mobile home park.
-
2022-07-02status Active 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5%* down with21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look! Buyer and anyone over 18 years old residing must be approved by the mobile home park.
-
2022-06-27status Pending 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5%* down with21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look! Buyer and anyone over 18 years old residing must be approved by the mobile home park.
-
2022-06-24price $77,500 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5%* down with21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look! Buyer and anyone over 18 years old residing must be approved by the mobile home park.
-
2022-05-20status Active 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5%* down with21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look! Buyer and anyone over 18 years old residing must be approved by the mobile home park.
-
2022-05-17status Pending 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5%* down with21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look! Buyer and anyone over 18 years old residing must be approved by the mobile home park.
-
2022-04-04$80,000 Active 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5% * down with 21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look!
-
2022-04-04$77,500 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home sits on a large lot on a cul de sac with no neighbors behind it in King's Crown Park Mobile Home Park. Notice the many upgrades---New metal roof, tiled shower in bathroom and new flooring in kitchen and bathroom were added in 2020----water heater new in 2018--New evaporative window cooler installed in 2021. Notice also the bonus storage room off the hallway across from the washer and dryer and the mudroom as you enter the home. The 11 x 11 shed in the backyard stays along with the surveillance cameras. This home could be yours with financing for as little as 5% * down with 21st Mortgage. Lot rent is $575/month. Come take a look!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,406
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,268
- − Property taxes
- −$1,678
- − Insurance
- −$560
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$992
- − Management
- −$992
- − Depreciation
- −$3,255
- Taxable loss
- −$1,341
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$322
- After-tax cash flow
- $842/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garfield School District No. Re-2
- NCES district ID
- 0806240
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,207
- Composite
- 23.78/100
- National rank
- #7811
- State rank
- #61 of 86 in CO
Livability — Rifle
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #17329
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rifle, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,071
Population outlook (Garfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,756 people
- By 2030
- 63,255 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 64,952 · +5.2%
- By 2050
- 64,937 · +5.2%
- By 2075
- 62,413 · +1.1%
- By 2100
- 55,730 · -9.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (54%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Garfield
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 47.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.1pp toward D · 2008: -0.0pp · 2024: 2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.1 2020: D+2.3 2016: R+7.1 2012: R+4.9 2008: R+0.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -170.08%
- Current HPI
- 553.9863
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+39.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $111,900 AGMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $119,900 AGMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $129,999 AGMLS
- 2022-08-31 Sold (MLS) $72,000 GJARA
- 2022-08-31 Sold (MLS) $72,000 AGMLS
- 2022-07-30 Pending — AGMLS
- 2022-07-02 Relisted — AGMLS
- 2022-06-27 Pending — AGMLS
- 2022-06-24 Price Changed $77,500 AGMLS
- 2022-05-20 Relisted — AGMLS
- 2022-05-17 Pending — AGMLS
- 2022-04-04 Listed $77,500 GJARA
- 2022-04-04 Listed $80,000 AGMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…