Duplex
1009 E Center St · Rochester, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.6/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great location for this two story duplex. Main level is vacant so perfect for an owner-occupied rental property. Upstairs tenant just signed a long-term lease to provide extra stability for the new owner! Great opportunity to own a rental property that's a short walk from the Mayo Clinic. New egress windows and front door in the main level apartment plus other recent updates.
Key facts
- Two story duplex
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $343/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $219k).
- Recommended offer: $212k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.5% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 92/100 on livability (#1 in MN, #27 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+.
- Rochester Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #152 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln K-8 District-Wide School (math 60% / reading 64%, grade B, #180 of 857 statewide, top 23%, 469 students, 14% FRL); Kellogg Middle (math 42% / reading 53%, grade C-, #93 of 258 statewide, top 37%, 856 students, 43% FRL); Century Senior High (math 37% / reading 67%, grade D+, #111 of 471 statewide, top 26%, 1,698 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,267 units permitted in Olmsted County in 2024 (915 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Olmsted County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; list at $219k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.42%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $5,733
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $51,353
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55904
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,768 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$261 /mo · $3,136/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$581
- Net cashflow
- $686
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $810 | -5% $748 | +0% $686 | +5% $624 | +10% $562 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $467 | -5% $576 | +0% $686 | +5% $795 | +10% $904 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $796 | -0.5pp $741 | base $686 | +0.5pp $629 | +1.0pp $571 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,768 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,384 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,384 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,768 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449 E Center St Rochester, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1165 | $3,795 | $3.26 | 16d | 40 | 0.32mi |
| 705 1st Ave SW Rochester, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1135 | $3,875 | $3.41 | 16d | 91 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-23days on market $219,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $219,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $219,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $219,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $219,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Active 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
Great location for this two story duplex. Main level is vacant so perfect for an owner-occupied rental property. Upstairs tenant just signed a long-term lease to provide extra stability for the new owner! Great opportunity to own a rental property that's a short walk from the Mayo Clinic. New egress windows and front door in the main level apartment plus other recent updates.
-
2026-01-28$219,000 Active 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
Great location for this two story duplex. Main level is vacant so perfect for an owner-occupied rental property. Upstairs tenant just signed a long-term lease to provide extra stability for the new owner! Great opportunity to own a rental property that's a short walk from the Mayo Clinic. New egress windows and front door in the main level apartment plus other recent updates.
-
2019-12-31historical
-
2019-10-04price $159,900
-
2019-08-12$165,000 Active
-
2018-02-08soldstatus $128,500
-
2018-02-06soldstatus $128,500
-
2017-09-26$129,900
-
2006-09-26$100,000
-
1996-08-27soldstatus $36,000
-
1992-09-01soldstatus $56,900
-
1991-04-01soldstatus $55,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,136 · $261/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,136 · $261/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,136
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,657
- − Management
- −$2,657
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable income
- $5,032
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,208
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,020/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2731800
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,540
- Composite
- 40.6/100
- National rank
- #3695
- State rank
- #152 of 301 in MN
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 92/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #27
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, MN
- County
- Olmsted County · 135,035 people
- City population
- 135,035
- Metro
- Rochester, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,639
- Household income
- $77,016
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 864.0
Population outlook (Olmsted County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,999 people
- By 2030
- 172,425 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 183,785 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 192,981 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 215,284 · +29.7%
- By 2100
- 224,887 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Olmsted
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.7) · D 54.3% · R 43.6% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.4pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 10.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.7 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+0.8 2012: D+3.2 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -161.04%
- Current HPI
- 267.168
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- Metro
- Rochester, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+291.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-28 Listed $219,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-31 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-04 Price Changed $159,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-12 Listed $165,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-08 Sold (MLS) $128,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $128,500 Public Records
- 2017-09-26 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-26 Listed $100,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 1992-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,900 Public Records
- 1991-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,136 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…