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5568 E 34th Pl
D- Composite 39.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$207,000

5568 E 34th Pl · Yuma, AZ 85365
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Manufactured public records · 141 Days on market
Built 2009 Est $205k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

55 + Gated Community with pool & amp; clubhouse for that lifestyle & amp; security your are looking for! This unique subdivision and has several options to fit everyone s needs & amp; budget. LAND OWNED, This 3 bdrm, 2 bath model home is a perfect size for most! Features an open & amp; split floor plan, built-in bookcase, utility room, walk-in closet in master & amp; a carport for parking. HOA dues only $65.00 per month, RV parking available to rent at $40.00 per month. Located between town & amp; the Foothills makes this a perfect midway point!

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Open floor plan
  • Clubhouse

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYPOOLCLUBHOUSELAND OWNEDOPEN FLOOR PLANBUILT-IN BOOKCASE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $207k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($607/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (17.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.9% in Yuma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
  • Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,635 (17.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,200
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5707 E 32 St #1216 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,080 (0%) 2mo $265,000 $245 82
5537 E 34 Pl 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,232 (+14%) 0mo $260,000 $211 75
5584 E 34 Pl 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,226 (+14%) 3mo $212,000 $173 69
5707 E 32 St #6 0.29mi 2/1.5 1,040 (-4%) 20mo $155,000 $149 62
5159 E 33 Pl 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-2%) 19mo $196,000 $186 60
5707 E 32 St #33 0.27mi 2/2.0 948 (-12%) 11mo $200,000 $211 58
5169 E 33 Ln 0.40mi 2/2.0 1,188 (+10%) 10mo $190,000 $160 56
5707 E 32 St #1162 0.33mi 2/1.5 960 (-11%) 14mo $227,500 $237 52
5064 E 33 Ln 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+2%) 22mo $215,000 $195 49
3010 S Tangerine Ave 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,120 (+4%) 18mo $205,000 $183 49
5113 E 33 Pl 0.47mi 2/2.0 972 (-10%) 15mo $185,000 $190 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.8%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-35,404
Equity at exit
$30,864
10-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-46,329
Equity at exit
$17,898

Cash invested: $57,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85365

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
468
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,716 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,086
Tax from tax record
$134 /mo · $1,603/yr
Insurance
$86
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$51

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,652
Max offer price $207,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $168 -5% $109 +0% $51 +5% $-8 +10% $-67
Rent -10% $-85 -5% $-17 +0% $51 +5% $118 +10% $186
Rate -1.0pp $155 -0.5pp $103 base $51 +0.5pp $-3 +1.0pp $-58

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,750
Closing costs
$6,210
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5707 E 32nd St #965 Yuma, AZ 2.0 1.0 780 $1,850 $2.37 14d 1 0.20mi
5707 E 32nd St #40 Yuma, AZ 1.0 1.0 765 $1,200 $1.57 14d 1 0.22mi
6575 E 35th Rd Yuma, AZ 3.0 2.0 1262 $2,500 $1.98 14d 1 1.01mi
6722 E 35th St Yuma, AZ 3.0 2.0 1280 $2,200 $1.72 14d 1 1.13mi
3400 S Avenue 7 E Yuma, AZ 1.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 14d 1 1.26mi
7061 E 36th Pl Yuma, AZ 3.0 2.0 1079 $1,600 $1.48 14d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $207,000 Active 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $207,000 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $207,000 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $207,000 Active 137 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $207,000 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $207,000 Active 135 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $207,000 Active 133 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $207,000 Active 132 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $207,000 Active 130 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $207,000 Active 129 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $207,000 Active 128 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $207,000 Active 127 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $207,000 Active 124 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $207,000 Active 122 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $207,000 Active 121 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $207,000 Active 120 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $207,000 Active 119 DOM
  18. 2026-01-27
    listed $207,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,603 · $134/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,603 · $134/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,596
− Mortgage interest
−$11,595
− Property taxes
−$1,603
− Insurance
−$1,035
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,648
− Management
−$1,648
− Depreciation
−$6,022
Taxable loss
−$2,954
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$709
After-tax cash flow
$1,316/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yuma Union High School District (4507)
NCES district ID
0409630
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$40,512
Composite
12.86/100
National rank
#9592
State rank
#212 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Yuma

Score
71/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#6635

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yuma, AZ
County
Yuma County · 149,809 people
City population
149,809
Metro
Yuma, AZ
Population (ZIP)
54,775
Household income
$70,331
Rent vs Own
20.9% rent · 79.1% own
Severe rent burden
766.0

Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
211,633 people
By 2030
214,114 · +1.2%
By 2040
217,856 · +2.9%
By 2050
220,276 · +4.1%
By 2075
222,359 · +5.1%
By 2100
198,880 · -6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 44% Two or more races 23% Black 2% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 43%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 36% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yuma

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.03%
Current HPI
242.8651
Rent YoY
▼ -0.38%
Metro
Yuma, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $207,000 Fizber.com

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,603 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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