934 W Independence St · Coal, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cozy and affordable turn-key half double that is ready for its next owner! Recently renovated, this home features fresh paint and new flooring throughout, creating a clean and updated feel from top to bottom. Enjoy the small fenced in yard for low maintenance outdoor space. With low taxes and minimal upkeep, this property is a great opportunity for a searching homeowner or a quick addition to your investment portfolio. To schedule your showing, call or text Kyleigh at 570-554-5428. Square footage derived from county tax card; buyer should independently verify. Cash and conventional only.
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- New flooring
- Recently renovated
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($955 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $711 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.29%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,049
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -21.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $21,521
- Equity at exit
- $12,508
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.66×
- Total profit
- $56,432
- Equity at exit
- $12,490
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17866
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $955 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $345/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $414
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $55,000 600-char remark
Show marketing remark (600 chars)
This cozy and affordable turn-key half double that is ready for its next owner! Recently renovated, this home features fresh paint and new flooring throughout, creating a clean and updated feel from top to bottom. Enjoy the small fenced in yard for low maintenance outdoor space. With low taxes and minimal upkeep, this property is a great opportunity for a searching homeowner or a quick addition to your investment portfolio. To schedule your showing, call or text Kyleigh at 570-554-5428. Square footage derived from county tax card; buyer should independently verify. Cash and conventional only.
-
2026-03-13$58,000 Active 600-char remark
Show marketing remark (600 chars)
This cozy and affordable turn-key half double that is ready for its next owner! Recently renovated, this home features fresh paint and new flooring throughout, creating a clean and updated feel from top to bottom. Enjoy the small fenced in yard for low maintenance outdoor space. With low taxes and minimal upkeep, this property is a great opportunity for a searching homeowner or a quick addition to your investment portfolio. To schedule your showing, call or text Kyleigh at 570-554-5428. Square footage derived from county tax card; buyer should independently verify. Cash and conventional only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $345 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $607 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$262/yr (+$22/mo · 76.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$345
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$917
- − Management
- −$917
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $4,326
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,038
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,935/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shamokin Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221240
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,380
- Composite
- 24.31/100
- National rank
- #7709
- State rank
- #450 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coal
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edgewood, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,808
Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,896 people
- By 2030
- 89,084 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 84,822 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,521 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 72,152 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 62,257 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Iranian 4% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.29%
- Current HPI
- 111.3788
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-5.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $55,000 CSVBR
- 2026-03-13 Listed $58,000 CSVBR
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2026): $345 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…