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934 W Independence St
B+ Composite 79.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$55,000

934 W Independence St · Coal, PA 17866
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 444 sqft · Other · 92 Days on market
Built 1900 871 sqft lot $124/sqft · 21% below area Est $70k · 21% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This cozy and affordable turn-key half double that is ready for its next owner! Recently renovated, this home features fresh paint and new flooring throughout, creating a clean and updated feel from top to bottom. Enjoy the small fenced in yard for low maintenance outdoor space. With low taxes and minimal upkeep, this property is a great opportunity for a searching homeowner or a quick addition to your investment portfolio. To schedule your showing, call or text Kyleigh at 570-554-5428. Square footage derived from county tax card; buyer should independently verify. Cash and conventional only.

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • New flooring
  • Recently renovated

Tags

FENCED IN YARDRECENTLY RENOVATEDFRESH PAINTNEW FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($955 rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $711 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $50,050 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.33%
Cash-on-cash
32.29%
DSCR
2.44
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$70,049
List price
$55,000
Delta
-21.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$21,521
Equity at exit
$12,508
10-year hold
IRR
35.7%
Equity multiple
4.66×
Total profit
$56,432
Equity at exit
$12,490

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17866

Home prices YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$955 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $345/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$414

Break-even live

Break-even rent $430
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,000 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    days on market $55,000 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $55,000 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-05-18
    price $55,000 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    This cozy and affordable turn-key half double that is ready for its next owner! Recently renovated, this home features fresh paint and new flooring throughout, creating a clean and updated feel from top to bottom. Enjoy the small fenced in yard for low maintenance outdoor space. With low taxes and minimal upkeep, this property is a great opportunity for a searching homeowner or a quick addition to your investment portfolio. To schedule your showing, call or text Kyleigh at 570-554-5428. Square footage derived from county tax card; buyer should independently verify. Cash and conventional only.

  12. 2026-03-13
    listed $58,000 Active 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    This cozy and affordable turn-key half double that is ready for its next owner! Recently renovated, this home features fresh paint and new flooring throughout, creating a clean and updated feel from top to bottom. Enjoy the small fenced in yard for low maintenance outdoor space. With low taxes and minimal upkeep, this property is a great opportunity for a searching homeowner or a quick addition to your investment portfolio. To schedule your showing, call or text Kyleigh at 570-554-5428. Square footage derived from county tax card; buyer should independently verify. Cash and conventional only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$345 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$607 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$262/yr (+$22/mo · 76.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,461
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$345
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$917
− Management
−$917
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$4,326
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,038
After-tax cash flow
$3,935/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shamokin Area SD
NCES district ID
4221240
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,380
Composite
24.31/100
National rank
#7709
State rank
#450 of 539 in PA

Livability — Coal

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Edgewood, PA
Population (ZIP)
9,808

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Iranian 4% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.29%
Current HPI
111.3788
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $55,000 CSVBR
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $58,000 CSVBR

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $345 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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