93 Beech St · Halls, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$168,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You ask and here it is. .. Located in Halls school district on a quiet dead end street. . This home has the feel of home with 4BR 2Ba or the 4th BR can easily make a separate dining room. The renovated kitchen is convenient for preparing your favorite meals and the back deck built from Trex decking is a step out the back door. If front porch sitting is your favorite spot you will find this home perfect for you. Call now to schedule your private showing.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Renovated kitchen
- Back deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $168k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-148 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (15.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (34.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (34.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#63 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Lauderdale County (town): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #132 of 139 in TN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lauderdale County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $168k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.79%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $81,974
- Equity at exit
- $151,348
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.29×
- Total profit
- $248,689
- Equity at exit
- $326,387
Cash invested: $47,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38040
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$881
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $792/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $-148
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,000
- Closing costs
- $5,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-03-13status Pending 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
You ask and here it is. .. Located in Halls school district on a quiet dead end street. . This home has the feel of home with 4BR 2Ba or the 4th BR can easily make a separate dining room. The renovated kitchen is convenient for preparing your favorite meals and the back deck built from Trex decking is a step out the back door. If front porch sitting is your favorite spot you will find this home perfect for you. Call now to schedule your private showing.
-
2026-03-13status Pending
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
You ask and here it is. .. Located in Halls school district on a quiet dead end street. . This home has the feel of home with 4BR 2Ba or the 4th BR can easily make a separate dining room. The renovated kitchen is convenient for preparing your favorite meals and the back deck built from Trex decking is a step out the back door. If front porch sitting is your favorite spot you will find this home perfect for you. Call now to schedule your private showing.
-
2026-03-05$168,000 Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
You ask and here it is. .. Located in Halls school district on a quiet dead end street. . This home has the feel of home with 4BR 2Ba or the 4th BR can easily make a separate dining room. The renovated kitchen is convenient for preparing your favorite meals and the back deck built from Trex decking is a step out the back door. If front porch sitting is your favorite spot you will find this home perfect for you. Call now to schedule your private showing.
-
2026-03-05$168,000 Active
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
You ask and here it is. .. Located in Halls school district on a quiet dead end street. . This home has the feel of home with 4BR 2Ba or the 4th BR can easily make a separate dining room. The renovated kitchen is convenient for preparing your favorite meals and the back deck built from Trex decking is a step out the back door. If front porch sitting is your favorite spot you will find this home perfect for you. Call now to schedule your private showing.
-
2024-06-04price $178,000
-
2019-06-11soldstatus $82,000
-
2019-06-11soldstatus $82,000
-
2019-05-29soldstatus $82,000 Closed
-
2019-04-15status Pending
-
2019-03-27$79,900 Active
-
2016-06-07soldstatus $60,420
-
2015-12-11soldstatus $30,000 Closed
-
2015-11-24status Pending
-
2015-10-29$32,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $792 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,193 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$400/yr (+$33/mo · 50.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,411
- − Property taxes
- −$792
- − Insurance
- −$840
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$4,887
- Taxable loss
- −$4,847
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,163
- After-tax cash flow
- $-618/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lauderdale County
- NCES district ID
- 4702310
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,108
- Composite
- 11.31/100
- National rank
- #9717
- State rank
- #132 of 139 in TN
Livability — Halls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8345
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Halls, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,689
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,081 people
- By 2030
- 25,421 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 23,824 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 22,283 · -14.6%
- By 2075
- 19,016 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 15,472 · -40.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.5pp toward R · 2008: -6.5pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+27.7 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+7.0 2008: R+6.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.27%
- Current HPI
- 255.205
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+425.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Pending — CWTAR
- 2026-03-13 Pending — Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $168,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $168,000 CWTAR
- 2024-06-04 Price Changed $178,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2019-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-29 Sold (MLS) $82,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2019-04-15 Pending — Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2019-03-27 Listed $79,900 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2016-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $60,420 Public Records
- 2015-12-11 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2015-11-24 Pending — Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2015-10-29 Listed $32,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $792 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…