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204 Davis St
C Composite 57.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,999

204 Davis St · Thomasville, GA 31792
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1981 6,534 sqft lot $150/sqft · at area comps Est $142k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming property full of potential! This home is being sold AS-IS and offers a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. 3 bedroom, 1 full bath and 1 half bath. Spacious layout, and endless possibilities to make it your own. Property comes with outside storage shed for added functionality. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major highways.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1981

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Road surface: asphalt; Road frontage: city street; County: Thomas - GA; Directions: Once in Thomasville, continue toward downtown and turn onto Davis Street to reach 204 Davis St; nearby landmarks include The Big Oak and Jack Hadley Black History Museums

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available; Water available
  • Home design: One-level property; Resale condition; Foundation details: see remarks; Construction materials: other; Roof: other
  • Construction: Construction materials: other; Roof: other; Foundation details: see remarks; Property condition: resale
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Exterior storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Appliances: Other
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Bedroom features: none specified
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level full bathroom; One main-level half bathroom; Master bathroom: none specified
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: No common walls; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.7% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#77 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
  • Thomasville City (town): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #87 of 174 in GA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Macintyre Park Middle School (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #221 of 470 statewide, top 48%, 558 students, 92% FRL); Thomasville High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 797 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 60% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 203 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Thomas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Thomas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $140k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,799 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.31%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,467
List price
$139,999
Delta
-1.73%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1811 Fletcher St 0.20mi 3/1.0 936 (0%) 6mo $156,000 $167 86
114 Elizabeth St 0.55mi 3/1.5 936 (0%) 3mo $105,000 $112 70
1003 Wright St 0.55mi 3/1.0 948 (+1%) 9mo $156,000 $165 65
311 Jones St 0.66mi 3/1.0 954 (+2%) 2mo $16,500 $17 64
1501 Wright St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (0%) 15mo $70,500 $75 62
104 Neel St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 927 (-1%) 2mo $20,000 $22 60
138 Augusta Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,073 (+15%) 8mo $118,000 $110 54
207 6th St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 891 (-5%) 12mo $15,500 $17 54
108 School St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (-6%) 8mo $22,000 $25 47
801 Magnolia St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (+11%) 8mo $24,900 $24 37
622 Lester St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (+11%) 11mo $30,000 $29 36
218 Teddy St 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,068 (+14%) 11mo $45,500 $43 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,364
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$17,699
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31792

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,568 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $139,999
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $368 -5% $320 +0% $272 +5% $223 +10% $175
Rent -10% $148 -5% $210 +0% $272 +5% $334 +10% $396
Rate -1.0pp $342 -0.5pp $307 base $272 +0.5pp $235 +1.0pp $198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1720 S Pinetree Blvd Thomasville, GA 3.0 2.0 924 $1,150 $1.24 21d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,999 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,999 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,999 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,999 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,999 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $139,999 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $140,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 390-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
  18. 2026-05-17
    listed $140,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Welcome to this charming property full of potential! This home is being sold AS-IS and offers a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. 3 bedroom, 1 full bath and 1 half bath. Spacious layout, and endless possibilities to make it your own. Property comes with outside storage shed for added functionality. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major highways.

  19. 2026-05-17
    listed $140,000 New 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Welcome to this charming property full of potential! This home is being sold AS-IS and offers a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. 3 bedroom, 1 full bath and 1 half bath. Spacious layout, and endless possibilities to make it your own. Property comes with outside storage shed for added functionality. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major highways.

  20. 2026-05-13
    historical $140,000 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Welcome to this charming property full of potential! This home is being sold AS-IS and offers a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. 3 bedroom, 1 full bath and 1 half bath. Spacious layout, and endless possibilities to make it your own. Property comes with outside storage shed for added functionality. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major highways.

  21. 2026-05-11
    price $140,000
  22. 2026-05-11
    historical $150,000
  23. 2008-01-01
    soldstatus $79,500
  24. 2006-11-01
    soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,822
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,506
− Management
−$1,506
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$1,095
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$263
After-tax cash flow
$2,996/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thomasville City
NCES district ID
1304950
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$31,040
Composite
26.85/100
National rank
#7106
State rank
#87 of 174 in GA

Livability — Thomasville

Score
71/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#6678

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Thomasville, GA
County
Thomas County · 22,962 people
City population
22,962
Metro
Thomasville, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,962
Household income
$50,460
Rent vs Own
44.6% rent · 55.4% own
Severe rent burden
1059.0

Population outlook (Thomas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,303 people
By 2030
45,052 · -0.6%
By 2040
44,034 · -2.8%
By 2050
42,310 · -6.6%
By 2075
37,569 · -17.1%
By 2100
30,676 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 47% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Thomas

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.9%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.17%
Current HPI
228.0107
Rent YoY
Metro
Thomasville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+145.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $139,999 FMLS
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $139,999 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $140,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $140,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $140,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $140,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Coming Soon $150,000 FMLS
  • 2008-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $79,500 Public Records
  • 2006-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $191 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…