1032 Ripley 142e-4 · Doniphan, MO 63935

$199,900

5 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Other public records

Built 1995

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.3/30.0
• Appreciation +7.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.3/10.0
• 1% rule +1.6/10.0

Listing remarks

5 Bedroom, 3 baths all brick home with full walkout basement. Home offers open floorplan, kitchen/livingroom/dining room with newer updates. All appliances stay including washer, dryer, deep freeze and bar stools at island. Basement is half finished and has material to finish it. Outside offers nice covered deck, covered patio, 2 attached carports, a 24x32 shop with lean-to, electric and concrete floor, a storage shed, new wood furnace and shed for wood. It is all situated nicely on 110x242 lot only 3 miles to town. A Must See!!

Key facts

• Built 1995

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $200k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-181 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (16.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (34.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $132k (34.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.6% in Doniphan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#568 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
• Doniphan R-I (rural): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #254 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
• Ripley County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $131,742 (34.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.66% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.20%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.89%
• DSCR: 0.83
• GRM: 12.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.64×
• Total profit: $36,046
• Equity at exit: $114,980

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.11×
• Total profit: $118,105
• Equity at exit: $199,859

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63935

• Home prices YoY: 4.4%
• Active inventory: 127
• Price-to-rent: 12.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,317 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,048
• Tax from tax record: −$90 /mo · $1,086/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$277
• Net cashflow: $-181

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,547

Max offer price $167,872

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,975
• Closing costs: $5,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2023-06-15
   historical
2. 2023-05-12
   soldstatus
3. 2023-02-05
   listed $199,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,086 · $90/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,939 · $162/mo
• Expected delta: +$853/yr (+$71/mo · 78.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,809
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,198
• − Property taxes: −$1,086
• − Insurance: −$1,000
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,265
• − Management: −$1,265
• − Depreciation: −$5,815
• Taxable loss: −$5,818
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,396
• After-tax cash flow: $-779/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Doniphan R-I
• NCES district ID: 2910920
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $31,818
• Composite: 26.91/100
• National rank: #7085
• State rank: #254 of 324 in MO

Livability — Doniphan

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #568
• US rank: #20561

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 8,017

Population outlook (Ripley County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,011 people
• By 2030: 12,515 · -3.8%
• By 2040: 11,512 · -11.5%
• By 2050: 10,427 · -19.9%
• By 2075: 7,833 · -39.8%
• By 2100: 5,692 · -56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (93%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Ripley

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+73.0) · D 13.2% · R 86.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -43.0pp toward R · 2008: -30.1pp · 2024: -73.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+73.0 2020: R+70.1 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+30.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.14%
• Current HPI: 122.3339
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2023-06-15 Listing Removed — CARMLS
• 2023-05-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2023-02-05 Listed $199,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,086 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.