2001 Ostrom Dr · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2001 Ostrom is ready for its new owners! This charming 3-bed, 1-bath home offers convenient access to shopping, dining, and I-10—perfect for anyone seeking comfort and accessibility. Very nice covered deck off the back with a very nice back Yard that is fenced. Call your favorite REALTOR® today to schedule a private showing! Property may be subject to Alabama’s One-Year Right of Redemption.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Fenced back yard
- Convenient access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-807/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $78k (13.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.11%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,156
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -2.34%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1715 Dog River Dr E | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 5mo | $116,500 | $116 | 74 |
| 1706 Bass Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $50 | 73 |
| 1717 Bass Dr | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,008 (+5%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $74 | 69 |
| 1918 Ryders Ln | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-5%) | 18mo | $35,000 | $38 | 67 |
| 2113 Old Military Rd | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (+9%) | 2mo | $205,527 | $196 | 62 |
| 2314 Burgett Rd | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 954 (-1%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $75 | 60 |
| 301 Riverbend Dr #301 | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 885 (-8%) | 1mo | $103,000 | $116 | 56 |
| 2403 Octavia Dr S | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (+7%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $88 | 52 |
| 2014 Bakers Ln | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-13%) | 11mo | $97,500 | $117 | 50 |
| 217 Riverbend Dr #217 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 885 (-8%) | 20mo | $143,000 | $162 | 46 |
| 2360 Vermillion Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+11%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $113 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-12,627
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $11,785
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36605
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $362/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $-67
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Riverbend Dr #207 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,150 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2115 Barron Pl Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2359 Vermillion Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $895 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1601 Neshota Dr Apt 86 Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $900 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1601 Neshota Dr Apt 19 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1601 Neshota Dr Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $825 | $1.01 | 13d | 7 | 0.88mi |
| 2366 White St Unit B Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1815 Ogburn Ave Unit B Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1351 Dauphin Island Pkwy Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,095 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1506 Flowers Dr Unit B Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1302 Navco Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $935 | $0.93 | 13d | 13 | 1.32mi |
| 1466 Darwood Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1053 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1411 Greenbrier Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $995 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $90,000 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
2001 Ostrom is ready for its new owners! This charming 3-bed, 1-bath home offers convenient access to shopping, dining, and I-10—perfect for anyone seeking comfort and accessibility. Very nice covered deck off the back with a very nice back Yard that is fenced. Call your favorite REALTOR® today to schedule a private showing! Property may be subject to Alabama’s One-Year Right of Redemption.
-
2026-04-06price $95,000 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
2001 Ostrom is ready for its new owners! This charming 3-bed, 1-bath home offers convenient access to shopping, dining, and I-10—perfect for anyone seeking comfort and accessibility. Very nice covered deck off the back with a very nice back Yard that is fenced. Call your favorite REALTOR® today to schedule a private showing! Property may be subject to Alabama’s One-Year Right of Redemption.
-
2026-02-26price $100,000 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
2001 Ostrom is ready for its new owners! This charming 3-bed, 1-bath home offers convenient access to shopping, dining, and I-10—perfect for anyone seeking comfort and accessibility. Very nice covered deck off the back with a very nice back Yard that is fenced. Call your favorite REALTOR® today to schedule a private showing! Property may be subject to Alabama’s One-Year Right of Redemption.
-
2025-12-24price $110,000 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
2001 Ostrom is ready for its new owners! This charming 3-bed, 1-bath home offers convenient access to shopping, dining, and I-10—perfect for anyone seeking comfort and accessibility. Very nice covered deck off the back with a very nice back Yard that is fenced. Call your favorite REALTOR® today to schedule a private showing! Property may be subject to Alabama’s One-Year Right of Redemption.
-
2025-11-20$115,000 Active 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
2001 Ostrom is ready for its new owners! This charming 3-bed, 1-bath home offers convenient access to shopping, dining, and I-10—perfect for anyone seeking comfort and accessibility. Very nice covered deck off the back with a very nice back Yard that is fenced. Call your favorite REALTOR® today to schedule a private showing! Property may be subject to Alabama’s One-Year Right of Redemption.
-
2007-04-30soldstatus $143,170
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $362 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $369 · $31/mo
- Expected delta
- +$7/yr (+$1/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,654
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$362
- − Insurance
- −$5,568
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,092
- − Management
- −$1,092
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable loss
- −$2,121
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$509
- After-tax cash flow
- $-298/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,104
- Household income
- $43,538
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1521.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 27% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.46%
- Current HPI
- 125.9526
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.26%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-37.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $90,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $95,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $100,000 GCMLS AL
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $110,000 GCMLS AL
- 2025-11-20 Listed $115,000 GCMLS AL
- 2007-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $143,170 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $362 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…