195 Moorea Dr · Rockfish, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 74.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
-LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL MICKEY 910-309-8001
Key facts
- One story residence
- Mature surroundings
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned RA
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Main-level garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system installed
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; One story; Completed development
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete and paved roads; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating with heat pump; Central air (electric)
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry closet on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (8.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.7% in Rockfish — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#108 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Hoke County Schools (suburban): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #123 of 178 in NC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 575 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 685 units permitted in Hoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hoke County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $240k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.54%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $274,564
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Sanford Ct | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,623 (-2%) | 9mo | $254,900 | $157 | 78 |
| 200 Detroit Ct | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (-5%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $166 | 78 |
| 130 Sanford Ct | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (-5%) | 4mo | $261,000 | $166 | 75 |
| 119 Norris Ct | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (-11%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $166 | 72 |
| 156 Kendall Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-6%) | 11mo | $249,900 | $160 | 71 |
| 122 Kendall Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-9%) | 12mo | $249,000 | $166 | 63 |
| 203 Wildwood Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,597 (-3%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $172 | 58 |
| 122 Spring Valley Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-9%) | 4mo | $259,000 | $171 | 51 |
| 229 Heartwood Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,709 (+3%) | 11mo | $270,000 | $158 | 50 |
| 136 Mosswood Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,883 (+14%) | 3mo | $292,000 | $155 | 46 |
| 260 Chestnut Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,836 (+11%) | 9mo | $285,000 | $155 | 41 |
| 215 Secretariat Ct | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+9%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $172 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-25,121
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-10,802
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28376
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 575
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $254
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $390 | -5% $322 | +0% $254 | +5% $187 | +10% $119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $81 | -5% $168 | +0% $254 | +5% $341 | +10% $428 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $375 | -0.5pp $316 | base $254 | +0.5pp $192 | +1.0pp $129 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 283 Crowville St , NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1866 | $2,200 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 461 Saint Johns Loop Raeford, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2201 | $2,250 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $240,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $240,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $240,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $240,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $250,000
-
2026-05-01$257,000 Active
-
2013-04-30soldstatus $140,000 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
-LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL MICKEY 910-309-8001
-
2013-04-30soldstatus $140,000
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
-LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL MICKEY 910-309-8001
-
2013-01-19$145,000 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
-LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL MICKEY 910-309-8001
-
2009-10-30soldstatus $140,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
-LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL BARBARA 910-391-6120
-
2009-10-30soldstatus $140,000
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
-LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL BARBARA 910-391-6120
-
2009-08-09$142,900 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
-LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL BARBARA 910-391-6120
-
2005-07-13soldstatus $131,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,498 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,968 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- +$470/yr (+$39/mo · 31.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,399
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$949
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hoke County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702250
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,896
- Composite
- 31.82/100
- National rank
- #5880
- State rank
- #123 of 178 in NC
Livability — Rockfish
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #6802
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hoke County · 44,880 people
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,880
- Household income
- $66,471
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 897.0
Population outlook (Hoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,354 people
- By 2030
- 68,361 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 78,074 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 86,384 · +36.4%
- By 2075
- 99,517 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 98,939 · +56.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hoke
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.8pp toward R · 2008: 18.8pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+10.9 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.30%
- Current HPI
- 169.1801
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+90.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $250,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $257,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-30 Sold (MLS) $140,000 TMLS
- 2013-01-19 Listed $145,000 TMLS
- 2009-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2009-10-30 Sold (MLS) $140,000 TMLS
- 2009-08-09 Listed $142,900 TMLS
- 2005-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $131,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,498 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…