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195 Moorea Dr
C- Composite 54.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

195 Moorea Dr · Rockfish, NC 28376
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,654 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 2005 0.46 ac lot Est $275k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

-LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL MICKEY 910-309-8001

Key facts

  • One story residence
  • Mature surroundings
  • Spacious lot

Tags

ONE STORY RESIDENCESPACIOUS LOTFENCED BACKYARDMATURE SURROUNDINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned RA
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Main-level garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system installed
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; One story; Completed development
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Concrete and paved roads; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating with heat pump; Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry closet on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (8.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.7% in Rockfish — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#108 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hoke County Schools (suburban): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #123 of 178 in NC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 575 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 685 units permitted in Hoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hoke County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $240k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,991 (8.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.54%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$274,564
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
133 Sanford Ct 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,623 (-2%) 9mo $254,900 $157 78
200 Detroit Ct 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,570 (-5%) 9mo $260,000 $166 78
130 Sanford Ct 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,572 (-5%) 4mo $261,000 $166 75
119 Norris Ct 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,472 (-11%) 4mo $245,000 $166 72
156 Kendall Ct 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-6%) 11mo $249,900 $160 71
122 Kendall Ct 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-9%) 12mo $249,000 $166 63
203 Wildwood Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,597 (-3%) 12mo $275,000 $172 58
122 Spring Valley Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-9%) 4mo $259,000 $171 51
229 Heartwood Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,709 (+3%) 11mo $270,000 $158 50
136 Mosswood Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,883 (+14%) 3mo $292,000 $155 46
260 Chestnut Dr 0.66mi 3/2.5 1,836 (+11%) 9mo $285,000 $155 41
215 Secretariat Ct 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+9%) 12mo $310,000 $172 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-25,121
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-10,802
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28376

Home prices YoY
-24.0%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
575
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,878
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $390 -5% $322 +0% $254 +5% $187 +10% $119
Rent -10% $81 -5% $168 +0% $254 +5% $341 +10% $428
Rate -1.0pp $375 -0.5pp $316 base $254 +0.5pp $192 +1.0pp $129

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
283 Crowville St , NC 4.0 2.0 1866 $2,200 $1.18 15d 1 1.38mi
461 Saint Johns Loop Raeford, NC 4.0 2.5 2201 $2,250 $1.02 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $240,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $240,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $240,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $240,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 30 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
  18. 2026-05-19
    price $250,000
  19. 2026-05-01
    listed $257,000 Active
  20. 2013-04-30
    soldstatus $140,000 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    -LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL MICKEY 910-309-8001

  21. 2013-04-30
    soldstatus $140,000
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    -LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL MICKEY 910-309-8001

  22. 2013-01-19
    listed $145,000 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    -LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL MICKEY 910-309-8001

  23. 2009-10-30
    soldstatus $140,000 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    -LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL BARBARA 910-391-6120

  24. 2009-10-30
    soldstatus $140,000
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    -LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL BARBARA 910-391-6120

  25. 2009-08-09
    listed $142,900 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    -LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS. NEW NEUTRAL PAINT-SHOWS BEAUTIFULLY! LOW MAINT VINYL SIDING,EAT-IN KITCHEN,SECURITY SYSTEM,GARDEN TUB & SEPARATE SHOWER,CERAMIC TILE KITCHEN FLOOR.COVERED OVER PATIO.IMMEDIATE POSSESSION.PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD,LARGE STORAGE BLDG. REFRIGERATOR REMAINS.CALL BARBARA 910-391-6120

  26. 2005-07-13
    soldstatus $131,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,498 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,968 · $164/mo
Expected delta
+$470/yr (+$39/mo · 31.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,399
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,112
− Management
−$2,112
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$949
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$228
After-tax cash flow
$3,282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hoke County Schools
NCES district ID
3702250
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,896
Composite
31.82/100
National rank
#5880
State rank
#123 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rockfish

Score
71/100
State rank
#108
US rank
#6802

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hoke County · 44,880 people
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
44,880
Household income
$66,471
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
897.0

Population outlook (Hoke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,354 people
By 2030
68,361 · +7.9%
By 2040
78,074 · +23.2%
By 2050
86,384 · +36.4%
By 2075
99,517 · +57.1%
By 2100
98,939 · +56.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hoke

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.8pp toward R · 2008: 18.8pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+10.9 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.30%
Current HPI
169.1801
Rent YoY
▲ 1.92%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $250,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $257,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2013-04-30 Sold (MLS) $140,000 TMLS
  • 2013-01-19 Listed $145,000 TMLS
  • 2009-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2009-10-30 Sold (MLS) $140,000 TMLS
  • 2009-08-09 Listed $142,900 TMLS
  • 2005-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $131,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,498 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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