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1709 21st St E
C Composite 56.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

1709 21st St E · Tuscaloosa, AL 35404
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,784 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1980 0.29 ac lot Est $301k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 4 bedroom charmer in the center of town is a must-see! The spacious family room boasts hardwood floors and a wood burning fireplace with a gas starter. The updated kitchen includes wood floors, new countertops and cabinets. Both bathrooms have been completely remodeled with tile floors, new tub, a walk-in shower, new toilets and one of them even has a beautiful shiplap wall. The fourth bedroom has a separate entrance and would be ideal as an office space. The backyard was made for entertaining with a large deck and separate patio inside a fenced in yard. The roof was replaced in 2018.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Large deck
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

CORNER LOTHARDWOOD FLOORINGUPDATED KITCHENREMODELED BATHROOMSNEW ROOFLARGE DECK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick veneer and other exterior materials; Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; No pool

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Gas log fireplace (1 fireplace); Water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (8.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Tuscaloosa City (urban): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #74 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Arcadia Elementary School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #457 of 627 statewide, top 74%, 440 students, 52% FRL); Eastwood Middle School (math 3% / reading 31%, grade F, #201 of 257 statewide, top 79%, 758 students, 78% FRL); Paul W Bryant High School (math 3% / reading 7%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 1,042 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Tuscaloosa City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,196/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1531% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,559 (8.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.10%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$301,496
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2270 Cross Creek Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,744 (-2%) 2mo $295,000 $169 68
2305 Cross Creek Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,849 (+4%) 2mo $255,000 $138 67
2330 Cross Creek Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,719 (-4%) 6mo $290,000 $169 63
2515 Linda Dr 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,906 (+7%) 3mo $250,000 $131 61
125 Circlewood 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,702 (-5%) 1mo $166,500 $98 56
19 Fairway Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,715 (-4%) 1mo $230,000 $134 56
126 Brookhaven Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,822 (+2%) 6mo $329,500 $181 51
1623 23rd Ave E 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-10%) 1mo $195,000 $122 50
26 Brookhaven Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,665 (-7%) 0mo $293,500 $176 50
2437 21st St E 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (-11%) 3mo $323,000 $203 48
2082 Idlewood Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,579 (-12%) 6mo $275,000 $174 42
68 Cedar Knl 0.60mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,591 (-11%) 1mo $239,900 $151 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-15,592
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$43,770
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35404

Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,196 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,766/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$229

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,905
Max offer price $239,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
105 Eastwood Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1891 $1,525 $0.81 21d 1 0.65mi
1305 12th St E Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1377 $1,615 $1.17 21d 1 0.74mi
1901 5th Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.0 1336 $2,300 $1.72 21d 1 0.85mi
1810 5th Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 3.0 1748 $2,400 $1.37 43d 1 0.92mi
1726 10th St E Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.0 1760 $2,250 $1.28 13d 2 0.92mi
1010 23rd Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1251 $1,500 $1.20 43d 1 0.95mi
927 Kicker Rd Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.0 1412 $3,075 $2.18 21d 2 0.99mi
1540 4th Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.0 1604 $2,175 $1.36 43d 1 1.05mi
242 Cedar Crst Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.0 1655 $1,900 $1.15 43d 1 1.08mi
1525 Forest Lake Dr Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.5 1840 $3,000 $1.63 43d 1 1.11mi
829 21st Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.5 1792 $2,569 $1.43 43d 1 1.14mi
3014 3rd Ct E Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1449 $1,675 $1.16 13d 1 1.19mi
20 16th St Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1320 $3,000 $2.27 43d 4 1.27mi
3218 Veterans Memorial Pkwy Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.0–3.5 1484 $1,950 $1.31 21d 1 1.28mi
80 16th St Unit 1-8 Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1320 $3,000 $2.27 43d 4 1.29mi
1619 1st Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1656 $1,600 $0.97 13d 1 1.30mi
2919 University Blvd E Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.5 1968 $1,800 $0.91 43d 1 1.38mi
2402 Prince Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.0 1796 $2,300 $1.28 21d 1 1.46mi
2150 3rd Ct Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.0 1886 $2,150 $1.14 13d 1 1.47mi
2150 3rd Ct #602 Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 3.0 1886 $2,695 $1.43 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $239,900 Active
  2. 2023-02-15
    listed $269,900 Active
  3. 2020-09-21
    soldstatus $210,900
  4. 2020-09-11
    soldstatus $210,900 596-char remark
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    This 4 bedroom charmer in the center of town is a must-see! The spacious family room boasts hardwood floors and a wood burning fireplace with a gas starter. The updated kitchen includes wood floors, new countertops and cabinets. Both bathrooms have been completely remodeled with tile floors, new tub, a walk-in shower, new toilets and one of them even has a beautiful shiplap wall. The fourth bedroom has a separate entrance and would be ideal as an office space. The backyard was made for entertaining with a large deck and separate patio inside a fenced in yard. The roof was replaced in 2018.

  5. 2020-07-26
    listed $209,900 596-char remark
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    This 4 bedroom charmer in the center of town is a must-see! The spacious family room boasts hardwood floors and a wood burning fireplace with a gas starter. The updated kitchen includes wood floors, new countertops and cabinets. Both bathrooms have been completely remodeled with tile floors, new tub, a walk-in shower, new toilets and one of them even has a beautiful shiplap wall. The fourth bedroom has a separate entrance and would be ideal as an office space. The backyard was made for entertaining with a large deck and separate patio inside a fenced in yard. The roof was replaced in 2018.

  6. 2019-09-04
    soldstatus $197,000
  7. 2019-08-30
    soldstatus $197,000
  8. 2019-06-27
    listed $195,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,766 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,766 · $147/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,347
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$1,766
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,108
− Management
−$2,108
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$1,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$300
After-tax cash flow
$3,052/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuscaloosa City
NCES district ID
0103360
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$37,474
Composite
24.51/100
National rank
#7647
State rank
#74 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tuscaloosa

Score
77/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#2909

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tuscaloosa, AL
County
Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
City population
134,228
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
Population (ZIP)
22,445
Household income
$48,932
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1531.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,293 people
By 2030
240,551 · +5.4%
By 2040
263,856 · +15.6%
By 2050
286,491 · +25.5%
By 2075
335,783 · +47.1%
By 2100
370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 46% White 44% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.00%
Current HPI
170.026
Rent YoY
▲ 6.81%
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+23.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $239,900 WAMLS
  • 2023-02-15 Listed $269,900 WAMLS
  • 2020-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $210,900 Public Records
  • 2020-09-11 Sold (MLS) $210,900 WAMLS
  • 2020-07-26 Listed $209,900 WAMLS
  • 2019-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $197,000 Public Records
  • 2019-08-30 Sold (MLS) $197,000 WAMLS
  • 2019-06-27 Listed $195,000 WAMLS

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,766 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…