510 S Chestnut St · Scottdale, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$121,910
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $122k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $122k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#440 in PA, #4,017 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Southmoreland SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #359 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $842 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 452 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 452 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.59%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,841
- List price
- $121,910
- Delta
- -20.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,437
- Equity at exit
- $27,939
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $25,456
- Equity at exit
- $28,087
Cash invested: $34,135 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15683
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,430 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$639
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $187
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,478
- Closing costs
- $3,657
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $121,910 Active 452 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $121,910 Active 451 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $121,910 Active 450 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $121,910 Active 449 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $121,910 Active 447 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $121,910 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $121,910 Active 443 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $121,910 Active 442 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $121,910 Active 441 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $121,910 Active 440 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $121,910 Active 437 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $121,910 Active 436 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $121,910 Active 435 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $121,910 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $121,910 763-char remark
Show marketing remark (763 chars)
AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.
-
2025-10-23price $141,950 763-char remark
Show marketing remark (763 chars)
AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.
-
2025-07-21price $143,620 763-char remark
Show marketing remark (763 chars)
AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.
-
2025-03-24status Active 763-char remark
Show marketing remark (763 chars)
AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.
-
2025-01-31historical 763-char remark
Show marketing remark (763 chars)
AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.
-
2025-01-30$132,600 Active 763-char remark
Show marketing remark (763 chars)
AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,025 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,025 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,829
- − Property taxes
- −$3,025
- − Insurance
- −$610
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,373
- − Management
- −$1,373
- − Depreciation
- −$3,546
- Taxable income
- $402
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$97
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southmoreland SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222410
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,274
- Composite
- 33.76/100
- National rank
- #5368
- State rank
- #359 of 539 in PA
Livability — Scottdale
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #440
- US rank
- #4017
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scottdale, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,855
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.25%
- Current HPI
- 284.1099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-8.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $121,910 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $141,950 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $143,620 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-24 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-30 Listed $132,600 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $3,025 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…