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510 S Chestnut St
B- Composite 66.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$121,910

510 S Chestnut St · Scottdale, PA 15683
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,160 sqft · Other public records · 452 Days on market
Built 1910 4,791 sqft lot $56/sqft · 13% below area Est $153k · 20% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.

Key facts

  • 4,791 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $122k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#440 in PA, #4,017 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Southmoreland SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #359 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $842 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 452 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $107,280 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 452 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.14%
Cash-on-cash
6.59%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$152,841
List price
$121,910
Delta
-20.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,437
Equity at exit
$27,939
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$25,456
Equity at exit
$28,087

Cash invested: $34,135 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15683

Home prices YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,430 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$639
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,025/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$187

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,193
Max offer price $121,910
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,478
Closing costs
$3,657
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $121,910 Active 452 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $121,910 Active 451 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $121,910 Active 450 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $121,910 Active 449 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $121,910 Active 447 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $121,910 Active 446 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $121,910 Active 443 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $121,910 Active 442 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $121,910 Active 441 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $121,910 Active 440 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $121,910 Active 437 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $121,910 Active 436 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $121,910 Active 435 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $121,910 Active 434 DOM
  15. 2026-04-09
    price $121,910 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.

  16. 2025-10-23
    price $141,950 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.

  17. 2025-07-21
    price $143,620 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.

  18. 2025-03-24
    status Active 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.

  19. 2025-01-31
    historical 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.

  20. 2025-01-30
    listed $132,600 Active 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    AUCTION-HOME CANNOT BE SHOWN - This Colonial style single family home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with approximately 2349 square feet of living space on a 0.11 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. The seller has closing representation in this transaction. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company, or may use the seller s title company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. In the event the buyer chooses their own title/closing company, the buyer will be responsible for additional costs for coordinating the closing that are completed by the seller s title company. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,025 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,025 · $252/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,157
− Mortgage interest
−$6,829
− Property taxes
−$3,025
− Insurance
−$610
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,373
− Management
−$1,373
− Depreciation
−$3,546
Taxable income
$402
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$97
After-tax cash flow
$2,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southmoreland SD
NCES district ID
4222410
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$43,274
Composite
33.76/100
National rank
#5368
State rank
#359 of 539 in PA

Livability — Scottdale

Score
75/100
State rank
#440
US rank
#4017

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottdale, PA
Population (ZIP)
7,855

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
342,555 people
By 2030
331,717 · -3.2%
By 2040
304,976 · -11.0%
By 2050
277,444 · -19.0%
By 2075
224,607 · -34.4%
By 2100
171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.25%
Current HPI
284.1099
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $121,910 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $141,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $143,620 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-24 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-30 Listed $132,600 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,025 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…