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177 Washburn St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 60.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

177 Washburn St · Lockport, NY 14094
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,591 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1900 4,792 sqft lot Est $207k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.

Key facts

  • Tenant occupied
  • Conveniently located
  • 4,792 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYCURRENT RENTAL INCOMETENANT OCCUPIEDCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Quarterly association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story frame home; Existing construction; Block foundation
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (35 x 120)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $139,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$206,830) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.5% in Lockport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#232 in NY, #3,669 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Lockport City School District (town): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #452 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $61k; list at $140k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $137,801 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.57%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,830
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8 Blackley Ct 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,658 (+4%) 2mo $135,000 $81 79
44 Erie St 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,528 (-4%) 3mo $180,000 $118 71
62 Grand St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,505 (-5%) 4mo $45,000 $30 65
99 Elmwood Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,376 (-14%) 3mo $159,900 $116 65
69 Morrow Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,510 (-5%) 1mo $195,000 $129 62
20 Morton Ave 0.66mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,578 (-1%) 3mo $205,000 $130 59
55 Chapel St 0.41mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,458 (-8%) 2mo $122,000 $84 58
314 Locust St 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,448 (-9%) 1mo $221,000 $153 58
293 Pine St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,480 (-7%) 2mo $275,000 $186 54
603 Walnut St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,718 (+8%) 2mo $225,000 $131 51
65 Morrow Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,424 (-10%) 1mo $230,000 $162 49
100 Regent St 0.61mi 3/2.5 1,795 (+13%) 0mo $248,000 $138 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-10,128
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$10,084
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14094

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
357
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,412 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,700/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,182
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $261 -5% $221 +0% $182 +5% $142 +10% $103
Rent -10% $70 -5% $126 +0% $182 +5% $238 +10% $293
Rate -1.0pp $252 -0.5pp $217 base $182 +0.5pp $146 +1.0pp $109

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
47 Waterman St Unit 3 Lockport, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 24d 1 0.34mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $139,900 Active
  17. 2023-07-26
    soldstatus $61,000
  18. 2023-07-24
    soldstatus $61,000 Closed Sale or Rented 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.

  19. 2023-06-26
    status Pending Sale 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.

  20. 2023-04-01
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.

  21. 2022-12-20
    price $79,000 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.

  22. 2022-11-04
    price $89,000 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.

  23. 2022-09-22
    listed $99,000 Active 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,700 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,032 · $169/mo
Expected delta
+$332/yr (+$28/mo · 19.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,943
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,700
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,355
− Management
−$1,355
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$73
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$18
After-tax cash flow
$2,200/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lockport City School District
NCES district ID
3617670
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$43,793
Composite
39.28/100
National rank
#3997
State rank
#452 of 590 in NY

Livability — Lockport

Score
76/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#3669

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lockport, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
50,153
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
50,153
Household income
$75,427
Rent vs Own
28.1% rent · 71.9% own
Severe rent burden
1112.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -262.57%
Current HPI
303.6109
Rent YoY
▲ 3.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $139,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-24 Sold (MLS) $61,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-06-26 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2023-04-01 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2022-12-20 Price Changed $79,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-11-04 Price Changed $89,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-09-22 Listed $99,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,700 · -29.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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