🏷️ Likely Rental
177 Washburn St · Lockport, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.
Key facts
- Tenant occupied
- Conveniently located
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Quarterly association fee
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story frame home; Existing construction; Block foundation
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (35 x 120)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.5% in Lockport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#232 in NY, #3,669 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Lockport City School District (town): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #452 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $140k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.57%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,830
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Blackley Ct | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (+4%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $81 | 79 |
| 44 Erie St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,528 (-4%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $118 | 71 |
| 62 Grand St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,505 (-5%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $30 | 65 |
| 99 Elmwood Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (-14%) | 3mo | $159,900 | $116 | 65 |
| 69 Morrow Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,510 (-5%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $129 | 62 |
| 20 Morton Ave | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,578 (-1%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $130 | 59 |
| 55 Chapel St | 0.41mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,458 (-8%) | 2mo | $122,000 | $84 | 58 |
| 314 Locust St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,448 (-9%) | 1mo | $221,000 | $153 | 58 |
| 293 Pine St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (-7%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $186 | 54 |
| 603 Walnut St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,718 (+8%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $131 | 51 |
| 65 Morrow Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (-10%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $162 | 49 |
| 100 Regent St | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,795 (+13%) | 0mo | $248,000 | $138 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-10,128
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $10,084
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14094
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 357
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,412 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $261 | -5% $221 | +0% $182 | +5% $142 | +10% $103 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $70 | -5% $126 | +0% $182 | +5% $238 | +10% $293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $252 | -0.5pp $217 | base $182 | +0.5pp $146 | +1.0pp $109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Waterman St Unit 3 Lockport, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$139,900 Active
-
2023-07-26soldstatus $61,000
-
2023-07-24soldstatus $61,000 Closed Sale or Rented 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.
-
2023-06-26status Pending Sale 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.
-
2023-04-01status Under Contract- Do Not Show 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.
-
2022-12-20price $79,000 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.
-
2022-11-04price $89,000 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.
-
2022-09-22$99,000 Active 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Cute starter home or good investment property close to many amenities. This solid, 3 bedroom, 1 full bathroom with 1,591 sq ft home is currently tenant occupied at $910/month. Tear off roof completed in 2005, furnace replaced in 2013, and how water tank replaced in 2014. Great opportunity to own this affordable home or your very first investment property. Won’t last long. Showings start immediately. Seller will consider a package offer of this property plus 185 & 189 Washburn.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,700 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,032 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$332/yr (+$28/mo · 19.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,700
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,355
- − Management
- −$1,355
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$73
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$18
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,200/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lockport City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3617670
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,793
- Composite
- 39.28/100
- National rank
- #3997
- State rank
- #452 of 590 in NY
Livability — Lockport
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #232
- US rank
- #3669
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lockport, NY
- County
- Niagara County · 157,377 people
- City population
- 50,153
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,153
- Household income
- $75,427
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1112.0
Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 204,149 people
- By 2030
- 197,900 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 182,239 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 165,198 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 129,416 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 96,222 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Niagara
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -262.57%
- Current HPI
- 303.6109
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+41.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $139,900 WNYREIS
- 2023-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2023-07-24 Sold (MLS) $61,000 WNYREIS
- 2023-06-26 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2023-04-01 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2022-12-20 Price Changed $79,000 WNYREIS
- 2022-11-04 Price Changed $89,000 WNYREIS
- 2022-09-22 Listed $99,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,700 · -29.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…