609 24th Ave N · Texas City, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A nice 2/1/1 home in Mainland Park. The house has a nice sized living room and master bedroom. It has a large backyard with alley access. The house is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS'' The house did not flood.
Key facts
- Outdoor entertaining
- Fenced backyard
- 9,003 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller disclosure available
- HOA & community: Curbs in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property built in 1970; Faces north; Slab foundation
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Fenced backyard; Porch; Private yard; Concrete road/driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (16 x 9)
- Bedrooms: Three possible bedrooms (two bedrooms: 13 x 11 and 15 x 13) — all on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Pantry; Bonus room (14 x 13)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.3% in Texas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#907 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Texas City ISD (suburban): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #655 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Roosevelt-Wilson El (math 36% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 492 students, 77% FRL); Blocker Middle (math 33% / reading 36%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 865 students, 80% FRL); Texas City H S (math 32% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,002 of 1,632 statewide, top 62%, 1,718 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.34%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 24th Ave N | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,076 (+2%) | 2mo | $139,000 | $129 | 81 |
| 322 24th Ave N | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,072 (+1%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $145 | 69 |
| 404 17th Ave N | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (-3%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $171 | 65 |
| 1025 24th Ave N | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,179 (+11%) | 1mo | $177,520 | $151 | 61 |
| 221 18th Ave N | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,129 (+6%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $89 | 56 |
| 908 19th Ave N | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 936 (-12%) | 8mo | $189,900 | $203 | 54 |
| 311 25th Ave N | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,203 (+14%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $141 | 53 |
| 809 18th Ave N | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,178 (+11%) | 9mo | $169,990 | $144 | 49 |
| 721 16th Ave N | 0.45mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,194 (+13%) | 6mo | $52,000 | $44 | 48 |
| 813 12th Ave N | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,126 (+6%) | 1mo | $164,999 | $147 | 46 |
| 1216 15th Ave N | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,180 (+11%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $140 | 45 |
| 2033 Bay St N | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,194 (+13%) | 2mo | $169,000 | $142 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-5,695
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $18,746
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77590
- Home prices YoY
- -19.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,337 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$220 /mo · $2,639/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $147
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $210 | -5% $178 | +0% $147 | +5% $116 | +10% $85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $42 | -5% $95 | +0% $147 | +5% $200 | +10% $253 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $203 | -0.5pp $175 | base $147 | +0.5pp $119 | +1.0pp $90 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 22nd Ave N Texas City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1011 | $1,386 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 422 19th Ave N Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 324 17th Ave N Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 221 18th Ave N Texas City, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,550 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1116 11th St N Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,129 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 626 8th Ave N Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 17d | 2 | 0.92mi |
| 1001 9th Ave N Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,250 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 813 Bay St N Texas City, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1010 | $1,128 | $1.12 | 2d | 9 | 1.11mi |
| 1028 5th Ave N Unit 1 Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $945 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1228 6th Ave N Unit 1 Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $945 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2602 21st St N Texas City, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $1,175 | $1.53 | 2d | 44 | 1.22mi |
| 2608 21st St N Texas City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $1,400 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1919 13th Ave N Texas City, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,239 | $1.30 | 2d | 6 | 1.31mi |
| 2202 16th Ave N Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 860 | $975 | $1.13 | 12d | 4 | 1.38mi |
| 1112 1st Ave N Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $945 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1114 1st Ave N Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $945 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Pending 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Pending 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$109,900 Active
-
2017-10-27soldstatus
-
2017-10-26soldstatus Sold 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
A nice 2/1/1 home in Mainland Park. The house has a nice sized living room and master bedroom. It has a large backyard with alley access. The house is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS'' The house did not flood.
-
2017-09-27status Pending 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
A nice 2/1/1 home in Mainland Park. The house has a nice sized living room and master bedroom. It has a large backyard with alley access. The house is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS'' The house did not flood.
-
2017-09-16status Option Pending 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
A nice 2/1/1 home in Mainland Park. The house has a nice sized living room and master bedroom. It has a large backyard with alley access. The house is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS'' The house did not flood.
-
2017-09-07price $89,900 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
A nice 2/1/1 home in Mainland Park. The house has a nice sized living room and master bedroom. It has a large backyard with alley access. The house is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS'' The house did not flood.
-
2017-08-31$95,000 Active 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
A nice 2/1/1 home in Mainland Park. The house has a nice sized living room and master bedroom. It has a large backyard with alley access. The house is being sold ''AS IS WHERE IS'' The house did not flood.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,639 · $220/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,639 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,038
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,639
- − Insurance
- −$1,347
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,283
- − Management
- −$1,283
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $133
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$32
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,736/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Texas City ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842510
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,875
- Composite
- 24.47/100
- National rank
- #7664
- State rank
- #655 of 826 in TX
Livability — Texas City
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #907
- US rank
- #16268
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Texas City, TX
- County
- Galveston County · 357,330 people
- City population
- 49,936
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,642
- Household income
- $65,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1821.0
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 20% Black 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.35%
- Current HPI
- 244.5809
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+15.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $109,900 HARMLS
- 2017-10-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-10-26 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2017-09-27 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-09-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-09-07 Price Changed $89,900 HARMLS
- 2017-08-31 Listed $95,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,639 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…